SK Poltava vs Hirnyk: match statistics
SK Poltava vs Hirnyk: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
SK Poltava play Hirnyk in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match date is 1 May 2026 at 14:30. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
SK Poltava: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Hirnyk: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
SK Poltava scores 0.77 and concedes 2.47 goals per match. Hirnyk scores 1.77 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: SK Poltava 47%, Hirnyk 60%. Over 2.5: SK Poltava 60%, Hirnyk 67%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Hirnyk has higher xG: 1.50 vs 0.91. SK Poltava: 7.8 shots per match, Hirnyk: 12.9.
Match halves
SK Poltava: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.33. Hirnyk: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
SK Poltava: 0-15 (5 goals). Hirnyk: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ukrainian Premier League: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Hirnyk is the favorite in this match due to a clear advantage in the table and goal output: the visitors sit sixth with 11 wins and 43 goals scored, while SK Poltava are 16th with only 2 wins and 20 goals. Recent form over the last five matches also favors Hirnyk — the visitors scored 12 goals and average 1.8 points per game, winning 3 of 5, whereas SK scored 4 goals, failed to win any and average 0.4 points per game. In attack and quality of chances Hirnyk averages 10.83 shots and 3.08 on target away, with a conversion rate of 12% and xG 1.21, while SK at home records 8 shots, 2.5 on target, 9% conversion and xG 0.9. Defensively the hosts perform worse — SK concedes 2.5 goals per home game on average (63 conceded this season) and has only 8% clean sheets, whereas Hirnyk concedes 1.58 away and maintains 25% clean sheets. Considering the goal difference (43–20), PPG in the last 5 matches (1.8–0.4) and the hosts’ weaker defense, I assign a 65% chance to Hirnyk to win, 20% to a draw and 15% to an SK upset.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| SK Poltava | Hirnyk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hirnyk is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - SK Poltava · 1.6 pts / match - Hirnyk
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hirnyk is 130% better for: goals scored per match.
0.77 goals / match - SK Poltava · 1.77 goals / match - Hirnyk
Hirnyk is 61% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.47 goals / match - SK Poltava · 1.53 goals / match - Hirnyk
SK Poltava scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while Hirnyk keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
Hirnyk scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while SK Poltava keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — SK Poltava
Over / Under — Hirnyk
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hirnyk is 115% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.87 pts / match - SK Poltava · 1.87 pts / match - Hirnyk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
SK Poltava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 7%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hirnyk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 43%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
SK Poltava
Hirnyk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| SK Poltava | Liga | Hirnyk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.23 | 2.57 | ▲ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 43% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 47% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 33% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 68% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: SK Poltava 0 - 1 - 0 Hirnyk. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of SK Poltava vs Hirnyk?
The Ukrainian Premier League match finished SK Poltava 3:3 Hirnyk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before SK Poltava vs Hirnyk?
SK Poltava score 0.77 goals per game on average and Hirnyk 1.77. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 47% of SK Poltava's matches and 60% of Hirnyk's.
What form are SK Poltava and Hirnyk in?
Over the last 5 games SK Poltava have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Hirnyk 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for SK Poltava vs Hirnyk?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.