Skanste vs JFK Ventspils: match statistics
Skanste vs JFK Ventspils: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Skanste played against JFK Ventspils in 1. Liga (Latvia). The game was played on July 11, 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Recent form
Skanste has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. JFK Ventspils has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Skanste scores 1.82 goals per game and allows 1.91. JFK Ventspils scores 1.09 and allows 1.82. Games in this league average 3.48 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Skanste's games and 64% of JFK Ventspils's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 55%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 67% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Skanste has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.29 per game. Skanste takes 9.7 shots per game, while JFK Ventspils takes 6.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Skanste leads at halftime in 9% of its games and scores 1.09 goals per game after halftime. JFK Ventspils leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.64 after halftime.
When the teams score
Skanste's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For JFK Ventspils, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1. Liga games average 3.48 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 67% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win ('1') because Skanste hold the edge in home metrics: they average 1.6 goals at home with xG 1.54, 12 shots and 54% possession, versus Ventspils' 9.5 shots and 47% possession on the road. Defensively hosts also perform better at the stadium — Skanste concede 1.0 goal per home match and keep clean sheets in 40% of home games, while Ventspils concede 2.33 goals per away match with 0% clean sheets. The visitors, however, show superior short-term form: 2 wins and 7 goals in the last 5 matches and 1.4 points per game in that period, and their shot conversion rate away is 18% versus the hosts' 13%. Skanste also have a better home goal difference (+3) while Ventspils carry -4 on the road, underscoring the home advantage despite the visitors' better form. I therefore set the probability distribution at Home 60%, Draw 25% and Away 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics favor the 'both teams to score' scenario: JFK Ventspils has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100%, and the league BTTS rate is 63%, with BTTS in the last 5 matches at 60% for both teams (Skanste 60%, Ventspils 60%). Ventspils away generates average xG 1.47, registers 4.75 shots on target per match and has a conversion rate of 18%, increasing the likelihood of them scoring against the hosts. Skanste scores only 0.4 goals at home seasonally, but in the last 5 matches they scored 6 goals (avg 1.2) and have a recent xG of 1.78, while conceding 13 goals in those five matches (avg 2.6). Since Ventspils has no clean sheets this season (0% clean sheets) and concedes 2.33 goals away on average, I combine these signals and assign BTTS - Yes a 78% probability versus No 22%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on the home xG of 1.14 and the away defense conceding xG of 1.43, I project Skanste to score on average 1.29 goals; similarly, JFK Ventspils with xG 1.47 against a home defense xG conceded of 1.29 yields 1.38 goals for the visitors, totaling ~2.67 goals. Additionally, JFK Ventspils has 83% of matches over 2.5 goals and 100% over 1.5 goals this season, while the league records 67% of games over 2.5, which strengthens the over signal. Although Skanste only scores 0.4 goals on average this season with a low shot conversion of 6%, their average xG in the last 5 matches rose to 1.78 and they conceded 2.6 goals on average in those five matches, increasing the risk of more goals. Ventspils, meanwhile, scores 1.67 goals this season with an 18% conversion rate and 100% of their matches have seen goals from both teams, so I expect the visitors to convert their chances. For these reasons the strongest data-driven signal is Over 2.5 (over), combining the expected 2.67 goals with Ventspils’ high share of matches above that line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is the away side taking the lead before half-time: the home team did not lead at the break in any match (leadingAtHT_home = 0.0, 0%), while the away team led at half-time in 3 matches, representing 50% (leadingAtHT_away = 3.0, 50%). Offensively the away team is clearly more effective — seasonal goals average 1.67 versus 0.4 for the home side (seasonScoredAVG_away 1.67 vs seasonScoredAVG_home 0.4), xG 1.47 vs 1.14 and a better conversion rate of 18% versus 6%, with an average of 4.75 shots on target compared to 2.4. The second half reinforces the projection: away matches average 2.5 goals after the break (AVG_2hg_away 2.5) versus 0.6 for the home team (AVG_2hg_home 0.6), and the away team scores on average 1.0 goals after half-time compared to 0.2 for the home side, which favors maintaining or increasing the lead. Additionally, the seasonal BTTS rate for the away team is 100% (seasonBTTSPercentage_away = 100.0), while the home team has a 0% home win rate (winPercentage_home = 0.0), which together suggest the away team will lead at half-time and finish the match as winners. Based on this I assign the highest probability to the 2/2 Half-Time/Full-Time scenario (55%), with the remaining outcomes totaling 45%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Skanste | JFK Ventspils | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Skanste is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Skanste · 0.8 pts / game - JFK Ventspils
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Skanste is 67% better for: goals scored per game.
1.82 goals / game - Skanste · 1.09 goals / game - JFK Ventspils
JFK Ventspils is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.91 goals / game - Skanste · 1.82 goals / game - JFK Ventspils
Skanste scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 meczów), while JFK Ventspils keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 meczów).
JFK Ventspils scores in 64% of games (7 of 11 meczów), while Skanste keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Skanste
Over / Under - JFK Ventspils
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
JFK Ventspils is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.64 pts / game - Skanste · 1.09 pts / game - JFK Ventspils
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Skanste - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
JFK Ventspils - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 9%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Skanste
JFK Ventspils
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Skanste | Liga | JFK Ventspils | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.73 | 3.48 | ▼ 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 63% | • 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 64% | 67% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 22% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 71% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 86% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Skanste's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against JFK Ventspils. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Skanste vs JFK Ventspils?
The 1. Liga match finished Skanste 0:3 JFK Ventspils. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Skanste and JFK Ventspils?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Skanste won 0, JFK Ventspils won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Skanste vs JFK Ventspils?
Skanste score 1.82 goals per game on average and JFK Ventspils 1.09. The 1. Liga average is 3.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Skanste's matches and 64% of JFK Ventspils's.
What form are Skanste and JFK Ventspils in?
Over the last 5 games Skanste have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and JFK Ventspils 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Skanste vs JFK Ventspils?
The statistical background for Skanste vs JFK Ventspils — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


