SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a very even chance for both teams. SKRA Częstochowa shows solid home form with a 55% win rate at home and an average of 2.27 goals per match, yet their defense raises concerns – they concede an average of 1.64 goals per game. Zagłębie Lubin II, despite playing away, boasts a better seasonal goal difference (55 goals scored) and an advantage in ball possession (69%). Both teams have identical form in their last five matches (2 points per game) and similar xG metrics, suggesting comparable offensive potential. Zagłębie's high draw rate away from home (45%), coupled with the even quality of both sides, argues for a share of the points. We anticipate an open, high-scoring encounter ending in a draw.
SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
SKRA Częstochowa played against Zagłębie Lubin II in 3 Liga Group 3 (Poland). The game was played on March 28, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
SKRA Częstochowa has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Zagłębie Lubin II has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
SKRA Częstochowa scores 1.96 goals per game and allows 1.78. Zagłębie Lubin II scores 2.50 and allows 1.64. Games in this league average 3.29 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 78% of SKRA Częstochowa's games and 64% of Zagłębie Lubin II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 70% and 73%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Zagłębie Lubin II has the higher season xG average, 1.91 to 1.56 per game. SKRA Częstochowa takes 11.5 shots per game, while Zagłębie Lubin II takes 12.3.
First-half and second-half trends
SKRA Częstochowa leads at halftime in 9% of its games and scores 0.22 goals per game after halftime. Zagłębie Lubin II leads at halftime in 5% and scores 0.32 after halftime.
When the teams score
SKRA Częstochowa's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (37 goals). For Zagłębie Lubin II, it is minutes 0-15 (44 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3 Liga Group 3 games average 3.29 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 7.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a very even chance for both teams. SKRA Częstochowa shows solid home form with a 55% win rate at home and an average of 2.27 goals per match, yet their defense raises concerns – they concede an average of 1.64 goals per game. Zagłębie Lubin II, despite playing away, boasts a better seasonal goal difference (55 goals scored) and an advantage in ball possession (69%). Both teams have identical form in their last five matches (2 points per game) and similar xG metrics, suggesting comparable offensive potential. Zagłębie's high draw rate away from home (45%), coupled with the even quality of both sides, argues for a share of the points. We anticipate an open, high-scoring encounter ending in a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data strongly supports BTTS: both teams have 64% of matches with goals from both sides, and goal averages are high (SKRA 3.0 scored and 1.73 conceded; Zagłębie II 2.0 scored and 1.55 conceded). Creation metrics also suggest goals from both sides (xG: 1.98 vs 1.72), and defenses are not stable, as evidenced by low clean sheet rates (27% each). SKRA generates numerous chances (16.18 shots and 6.73 on target per match), increasing the likelihood they score even against an improved visiting defense. Conversely, in their last 5 matches, SKRA concedes an average of 2.4 goals, so Zagłębie II has favorable conditions to find the net despite their recently better GA (0.8). The only notable deterrent for BTTS is the low BTTS rate for the visitors in last5 (20%), but the overall profile of both teams and the high league-wide BTTS propensity (61%) still point to 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal model indicates a high-scoring game: total expected goals are 3.10 (1.68 for Skra and 1.42 for Zagłębie II), which is close to the league average of 3.26. Skra has a very high goal output this season (3.0 goals scored per match) while also conceding a lot (1.73), and Zagłębie II also scores regularly (2.0) with 1.55 goals conceded. Season-long market data supports a scenario with at least 2 goals: Skra has 100% of matches over 1.5, and Zagłębie II 73%, with BTTS at 64% for both teams. High chance volumes (shots: 16.18 vs 12.43; on target: 6.73 vs 5.43) and solid xG (1.98 and 1.72) increase the reliability of the goal forecast. Therefore, the strongest play is over 1.5, as it combines the highest probability with season-long data confirming the frequent hitting of this line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for HT is a draw: Skra has a 100% rate of matches drawn at half-time, and Zagłębie II also very frequently draws at the break (83%), with low first-half goal averages (AVGHT 1.0 vs 0.83). Over the full match, the quality and offensive potential advantage lies with Skra (PPG 2.18 and win% 73% with 3.0 goals/match, along with higher average shots and shots on target). At the same time, Zagłębie II's profile suggests they can "hold the score" and perform stronger in the second half (ppg_2hg 1.83, gd_2hg +4, conceded_2hg_avg 0.33), which increases the risks of X/X and X/2. In the last 5 matches, Zagłębie II has significantly improved its defense (0.8 goals conceded/match), but Skra continues to deliver points (2.0 PPG), tipping the scale in favor of the hosts by the end. Given the frequent half-time draw and Skra's higher baseline strength over the season, the most likely outcome is a draw at half-time and a Skra win at full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| SKRA Częstochowa | Zagłębie Lubin II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.51 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zagłębie Lubin II is 28% better for: goals scored per game.
1.96 goals / game - SKRA Częstochowa · 2.5 goals / game - Zagłębie Lubin II
Zagłębie Lubin II is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.78 goals / game - SKRA Częstochowa · 1.64 goals / game - Zagłębie Lubin II
SKRA Częstochowa scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while Zagłębie Lubin II keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 meczów).
Zagłębie Lubin II scores in 86% of games (19 of 22 meczów), while SKRA Częstochowa keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - SKRA Częstochowa
Over / Under - Zagłębie Lubin II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
SKRA Częstochowa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Zagłębie Lubin II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 5% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (37 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (35). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (44 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (29). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
SKRA Częstochowa
Zagłębie Lubin II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 3).
Teams vs league
| SKRA Częstochowa | Liga | Zagłębie Lubin II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.74 | 3.29 | ▲ 4.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 62% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 66% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 22% | 32% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 13% | 34% | ▼ 32% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from SKRA Częstochowa's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Zagłębie Lubin II. Games average 7.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
The 3 Liga Group 3 match finished SKRA Częstochowa 3:0 Zagłębie Lubin II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
SKRA Częstochowa score 1.96 goals per game on average and Zagłębie Lubin II 2.50. The 3 Liga Group 3 average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 78% of SKRA Częstochowa's matches and 64% of Zagłębie Lubin II's.
What form are SKRA Częstochowa and Zagłębie Lubin II in?
Over the last 5 games SKRA Częstochowa have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Zagłębie Lubin II 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
The statistical background for SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.