Sliema Wanderers vs Hibernians: match statistics

Both teams have shown almost identical form in their last five matches: Sliema Wanderers and Hibernians have each recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, averaging 1 point per game. The hosts scored 6 goals during this period, one more than Hibernians, but both teams conceded 7, or 1.4 per match. Sliema’s run ends with two consecutive defeats, while the visitors have won once and drawn once in their last two matches, slightly improving their current trend. The lack of seasonal data on home and away results limits the assessment of home advantage, while the highly similar form record and leaky defenses point towards a share of the points. A scoring draw appears the most likely outcome, as both sides have been finding the net regularly, but neither has managed to stabilise their defensive performance.

Data from the last five matches points to a moderate preference for the both-teams-to-score scenario: Sliema Wanderers recorded BTTS in 80% of their matches, while Hibernians did so in 40%. During this period, the hosts averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, whereas the visitors scored 1.0 goals per game and conceded the same average of 1.4. Both defenses allowed 7 goals across five appearances, increasing the likelihood that the opponent will convert their chances. The chance-quality indicators are similar and exceed one expected goal for both sides: 1.10 for Sliema and 1.30 for Hibernians, with 1.29 xG against each team. The lack of complete season data reduces confidence in the prediction, but current form and the hosts’ regular defensive concessions slightly favor BTTS - Yes.

In their last five matches, Sliema Wanderers averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Hibernians recorded averages of 1.0 and 1.4 goals, respectively. The combined xG averages of both teams indicate moderate attacking potential: 1.10 for the home side and 1.30 for the visitors. Sliema’s matches produced an average of 2.6 goals during this period, compared with 2.4 in Hibernians’ games, placing the expected total close to 2.45 goals. Over 2.5 goals landed in 60% of the home side’s last five matches, but in only 40% of the visitors’ games, so there is clearly insufficient evidence to support a very high-scoring game. The Under 3.5 goals line has the edge, as it requires at least four goals to lose, while the recent data from both teams points more towards a total of two to three goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Sliema win after the match, as the hosts were level at the break in 75% of their recent games, compared with 60% for Hibernians. Sliema did not lead at half-time on any occasion during this period, but scored an average of 0.75 goals after the interval, compared with just 0.20 for Hibernians. The hosts won the second half in 50% of their recent matches and averaged 1.75 points in those halves, while the visitors won them in only 20% of cases. Both teams have identical records across their last five matches: 1.0 point per game, a 20% win rate and 40% draws, which further supports the likelihood of an even start. Sliema’s second-half advantage, combined with Hibernians’ low attacking output after the break, provides the strongest basis for the X/1 outcome.