Smiltene vs JFK Ventspils: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match between two teams from the lower part of the table. Smiltene occupies 8th place and in their last five matches, they have averaged 1.2 points per game with a record of 1-3-1, while JFK Ventspils is in 9th position with slightly poorer form (1.0 points per game, record 1-2-2). The hosts have a minimal advantage due to playing at home and their slightly better form, yet both teams demonstrate a similar level of offensive efficiency (10 goals for Smiltene vs 5 for Ventspils in the last 5 matches) and defensive solidity (10 and 6 goals conceded respectively). The lack of detailed home and away match statistics makes a precise assessment difficult, but the overall form and league positions suggest that the most probable outcome is a draw. The slight advantage for the hosts stems from the home factor, although the difference in team strength is minimal.
Smiltene vs JFK Ventspils: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Smiltene play JFK Ventspils in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match date is 28 March 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Smiltene: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. JFK Ventspils: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Smiltene scores 1.00 and concedes 2.54 goals per match. JFK Ventspils scores 1.23 and concedes 1.77. League average: 3.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Smiltene 46%, JFK Ventspils 62%. Over 2.5: Smiltene 54%, JFK Ventspils 62%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
JFK Ventspils has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.13. Smiltene: 8.2 shots per match, JFK Ventspils: 6.3.
Match halves
Smiltene: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.77. JFK Ventspils: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Smiltene: 76-90+ (5 goals). JFK Ventspils: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.43 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match between two teams from the lower part of the table. Smiltene occupies 8th place and in their last five matches, they have averaged 1.2 points per game with a record of 1-3-1, while JFK Ventspils is in 9th position with slightly poorer form (1.0 points per game, record 1-2-2). The hosts have a minimal advantage due to playing at home and their slightly better form, yet both teams demonstrate a similar level of offensive efficiency (10 goals for Smiltene vs 5 for Ventspils in the last 5 matches) and defensive solidity (10 and 6 goals conceded respectively). The lack of detailed home and away match statistics makes a precise assessment difficult, but the overall form and league positions suggest that the most probable outcome is a draw. The slight advantage for the hosts stems from the home factor, although the difference in team strength is minimal.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Smiltene | JFK Ventspils | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
JFK Ventspils is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Smiltene · 1.4 pts / match - JFK Ventspils
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
JFK Ventspils is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Smiltene · 1.23 goals / match - JFK Ventspils
JFK Ventspils is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.54 goals / match - Smiltene · 1.77 goals / match - JFK Ventspils
Smiltene scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while JFK Ventspils keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
JFK Ventspils scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Smiltene keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Smiltene
Over / Under — JFK Ventspils
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
JFK Ventspils is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.77 pts / match - Smiltene · 1.23 pts / match - JFK Ventspils
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Smiltene - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 8%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
JFK Ventspils - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Smiltene
JFK Ventspils
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Smiltene | Liga | JFK Ventspils | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.54 | 3.43 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 60% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 68% | ▼ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 23% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 84% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Smiltene 0 - 1 - 1 JFK Ventspils. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Smiltene vs JFK Ventspils?
The 1. Liga match finished Smiltene 3:3 JFK Ventspils. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Smiltene and JFK Ventspils?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Smiltene won 0, JFK Ventspils won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Smiltene vs JFK Ventspils?
Smiltene score 1.00 goals per game on average and JFK Ventspils 1.23. The 1. Liga average is 3.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Smiltene's matches and 62% of JFK Ventspils's.
What form are Smiltene and JFK Ventspils in?
Over the last 5 games Smiltene have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and JFK Ventspils 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Smiltene vs JFK Ventspils?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.