Smiltene vs Mārupe: match statistics
Smiltene vs Mārupe: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Smiltene played against Mārupe in 1. Liga (Latvia). The game was played on October 31, 2026. Venue: Tepera stadions. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Smiltene has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Mārupe has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Smiltene scores 1.58 goals per game and allows 2.54. Mārupe scores 1.58 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 3.71 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Smiltene's games and 50% of Mārupe's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 71%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 71% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mārupe has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.28 per game. Smiltene takes 8.5 shots per game, while Mārupe takes 8.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Smiltene leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Mārupe leads at halftime in 17% and scores 1.08 after halftime.
When the teams score
Smiltene's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). For Mārupe, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1. Liga games average 3.71 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 71% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Smiltene have won their last five matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding 5, while Mārupe recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat over the same period. This run favors the hosts, who average 1.83 goals per game at home, compared with Mārupe’s 1.45 away from home. However, the visitors have a clearly stronger defense: they concede an average of 1.45 goals away, while Smiltene concede as many as 2.58 at home. The quality of chances created is similar, with an xG of 1.36 for the hosts and 1.48 for the visitors, so Smiltene’s edge is based primarily on their current finishing form. I’m backing a home win, although their defensive issues mean Mārupe still have a significant chance.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I’m backing both teams to score, as Smiltene average 1.69 goals and Mārupe 1.45, while conceding 1.85 and 1.45 goals on average, respectively. Their attacking potential is reflected in xG figures of 1.33 for the hosts and 1.48 for the visitors, while in their last 5 matches, their opponents created chances worth an average of 1.84 and 1.76 xG. Both teams scored in 80% of Smiltene’s last 5 matches, compared with just 40% for Mārupe, which reduces confidence in the prediction. Across the season, those rates stand at 46% and 55%, but the league average of 62% and the vulnerability of both defenses tip the assessment towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Smiltene average 1.69 goals per match, while Mārupe average 1.45; the hosts also concede 1.85 goals, supporting the prospect of both teams finding the net. At least two goals were scored in 85% of Smiltene’s matches and 73% of Mārupe’s, giving Over 1.5 stronger statistical backing than higher lines. The hosts’ last five matches averaged 4.0 goals, while the visitors’ averaged 3.4, although these results may be more volatile than their season averages. The 3.30-goal forecast also supports Over 2.5, but Over 1.5 remains the safest pick, with an estimated probability of 85%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Smiltene have won their last five matches and led at the break in every one of them, making a home lead at both half-time and full-time the strongest signal. During this run, they averaged 1.8 goals before the break, while Mārupe failed to score in the first half in 3 of their last 5 matches. The hosts also maintained their advantage after the interval: across their last five matches, they averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded in the second half, compared with 0.6 and 0.8 respectively for the visitors. Caution is nevertheless warranted, as Mārupe averaged 1.55 points per match over the season compared with Smiltene’s 1.23, and the hosts led at the break in only 23% of their matches. Even so, the difference in recent form—five wins for Smiltene compared with two for Mārupe in their last five matches—favors a scenario in which the hosts lead at the break and go on to win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Smiltene | Mārupe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Smiltene is 88% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Smiltene · 1.6 pts / game - Mārupe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mārupe is 52% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.54 goals / game - Smiltene · 1.67 goals / game - Mārupe
Smiltene scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 games), while Mārupe keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 games).
Mārupe scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 games), while Smiltene keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Smiltene
Over / Under - Mārupe
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Smiltene is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - Smiltene · 0.88 pts / game - Mārupe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Smiltene - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Mārupe - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Smiltene
Mārupe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Smiltene | Liga | Mārupe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.13 | 3.71 | ▼ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | • 63% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 71% | 71% | • 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 83% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MārupeGoalKristaps Strupišs
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Smiltene's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Mārupe. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Smiltene vs Mārupe?
The 1. Liga match finished Smiltene 1:1 Mārupe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Smiltene and Mārupe?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Smiltene won 1, Mārupe won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Smiltene vs Mārupe?
Smiltene score 1.58 goals per game on average and Mārupe 1.58. The 1. Liga average is 3.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Smiltene's matches and 50% of Mārupe's.
What form are Smiltene and Mārupe in?
Over the last 5 games Smiltene have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Mārupe 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Smiltene vs Mārupe?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.