Smiltene vs Super Nova II: match statistics
Smiltene vs Super Nova II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Smiltene play Super Nova II in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match date is 13 May 2026 at 19:15. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Smiltene: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Super Nova II: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Smiltene scores 1.00 and concedes 2.54 goals per match. Super Nova II scores 1.54 and concedes 1.46. League average: 3.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Smiltene 46%, Super Nova II 69%. Over 2.5: Smiltene 54%, Super Nova II 46%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
Super Nova II has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.13. Smiltene: 8.2 shots per match, Super Nova II: 7.9.
Match halves
Smiltene: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.77. Super Nova II: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Smiltene: 76-90+ (5 goals). Super Nova II: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.43 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I back the away win. Super Nova II has a clear edge defensively and in form: they have conceded 8 goals this season versus 22 for Smiltene, with an away concession rate of 1.0 goals compared to Smiltene’s 2.0 at home. The visitors create more chances and shots on target – averaging 10 shots and 4.5 on target per match versus the hosts’ 7.67 and 3.33 – and their average xG is 1.34 against Smiltene’s 1.11. In the last 5 matches Super Nova scored 7 goals and averaged 1.4 points per game, while Smiltene managed only 2 goals and 0.2 PPG, conceding 16 goals in those 5 fixtures (3.2 per game). Additionally, Smiltene are yet to win at home this season (0 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses) and have 33% of home matches without scoring, while the visitors have 0% FTS on the road, which increases the likelihood of Super Nova’s success.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Smiltene | Super Nova II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Super Nova II is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Smiltene · 1 pts / match - Super Nova II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Super Nova II is 54% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Smiltene · 1.54 goals / match - Super Nova II
Super Nova II is 74% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.54 goals / match - Smiltene · 1.46 goals / match - Super Nova II
Smiltene scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while Super Nova II keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
Super Nova II scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Smiltene keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Smiltene
Over / Under — Super Nova II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Super Nova II is 110% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.77 pts / match - Smiltene · 1.62 pts / match - Super Nova II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Smiltene - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 8%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Super Nova II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Smiltene
Super Nova II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Smiltene | Liga | Super Nova II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.54 | 3.43 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 60% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 68% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 23% | • 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 84% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Smiltene vs Super Nova II?
The 1. Liga match finished Smiltene 0:2 Super Nova II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Smiltene vs Super Nova II?
Smiltene score 1.00 goals per game on average and Super Nova II 1.54. The 1. Liga average is 3.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Smiltene's matches and 69% of Super Nova II's.
What form are Smiltene and Super Nova II in?
Over the last 5 games Smiltene have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Super Nova II 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Smiltene vs Super Nova II?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Smiltene vs Super Nova II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.