Smouha SC vs Al Ahly: match statistics
Al Ahly demonstrates significantly higher quality and efficiency this season, confirmed by a record of 9 wins with only 1 loss and 27 goals scored. The visitors dominate in terms of possession (68% on average away) and generate more chances (18 shots per match vs 12.75 for the hosts), translating to a higher xG (1.96 vs 1.48). Smouha SC has a solid home record (50% wins), but the recent form of both teams is comparable (1.8 PPG), and Al Ahly remains unbeaten in the last 5 matches. Al Ahly's high percentage of away draws (71%) suggests a cautious game, yet the visitors' qualitative and offensive advantage points towards their victory. I expect a difficult match for the hosts, with the advantage going to Al Ahly, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to Smouha's defensive solidity at home.
Smouha SC vs Al Ahly: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Smouha SC played against Al Ahly in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The game was played on February 23, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Smouha SC has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Al Ahly has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Smouha SC scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 0.65. Al Ahly scores 1.69 and allows 0.94. Games in this league average 1.99 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Smouha SC's games and 63% of Al Ahly's. The Over 2.5 rates are 18% and 44%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 33% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Ahly has the higher season xG average, 1.85 to 1.27 per game. Smouha SC takes 10.6 shots per game, while Al Ahly takes 16.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Smouha SC leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.41 goals per game after halftime. Al Ahly leads at halftime in 56% and scores 0.81 after halftime.
When the teams score
Smouha SC's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Al Ahly, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Egyptian Premier League games average 1.99 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 33% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahly demonstrates significantly higher quality and efficiency this season, confirmed by a record of 9 wins with only 1 loss and 27 goals scored. The visitors dominate in terms of possession (68% on average away) and generate more chances (18 shots per match vs 12.75 for the hosts), translating to a higher xG (1.96 vs 1.48). Smouha SC has a solid home record (50% wins), but the recent form of both teams is comparable (1.8 PPG), and Al Ahly remains unbeaten in the last 5 matches. Al Ahly's high percentage of away draws (71%) suggests a cautious game, yet the visitors' qualitative and offensive advantage points towards their victory. I expect a difficult match for the hosts, with the advantage going to Al Ahly, although a draw is also a realistic scenario due to Smouha's defensive solidity at home.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Smouha SC | Al Ahly | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Ahly is 22% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Smouha SC · 2.2 pts / game - Al Ahly
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahly is 92% better for: goals scored per game.
0.88 goals / game - Smouha SC · 1.69 goals / game - Al Ahly
Smouha SC is 45% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.65 goals / game - Smouha SC · 0.94 goals / game - Al Ahly
Smouha SC scores in 59% of games (10 of 17 meczów), while Al Ahly keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 meczów).
Al Ahly scores in 81% of games (13 of 16 meczów), while Smouha SC keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Smouha SC
Over / Under - Al Ahly
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahly is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / game - Smouha SC · 1.88 pts / game - Al Ahly
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Smouha SC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Al Ahly - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Smouha SC
Al Ahly
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Smouha SC | Liga | Al Ahly | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.53 | 1.99 | ▲ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 46% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 33% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | • 35% | 35% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 56% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | • 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Smouha SC vs Al Ahly?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished Smouha SC 0:1 Al Ahly. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Smouha SC vs Al Ahly?
Smouha SC score 0.88 goals per game on average and Al Ahly 1.69. The Egyptian Premier League average is 1.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Smouha SC's matches and 63% of Al Ahly's.
What form are Smouha SC and Al Ahly in?
Over the last 5 games Smouha SC have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Al Ahly 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Smouha SC vs Al Ahly?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Smouha SC vs Al Ahly: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.