Sofapaka vs Tusker: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Sofapaka played against Tusker in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on December 11, 2025. Final score: 0:2.

Recent form

Sofapaka has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Tusker has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Sofapaka scores 0.92 goals per game and allows 1.17. Tusker scores 0.83 and allows 0.83. Games in this league average 1.94 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Sofapaka's games and 42% of Tusker's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 25%, compared with league averages of 40% for BTTS and 30% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Tusker has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.45 per game. Sofapaka takes 10.2 shots per game, while Tusker takes 12.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Sofapaka leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.42 goals per game after halftime. Tusker leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.42 after halftime.

When the teams score

Sofapaka's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Tusker, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Kenyan Premier League games average 1.94 goals. Both teams score in 40% of games, and 30% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

52Possession (%)48
SofapakaTusker
7Shots9
SofapakaTusker
1Shots on target4
SofapakaTusker
1.09xG1.33
SofapakaTusker
8Corners4
SofapakaTusker
78Dangerous attacks66
SofapakaTusker
-1Fouls-1
SofapakaTusker
-1Cards-1
SofapakaTusker

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.92Goals scored / game0.83
SofapakaTusker
1.17Goals allowed / game0.83
SofapakaTusker
46%Average possession49%
SofapakaTusker
3.83Shots on target / game4.42
SofapakaTusker

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.17Shots per game12.75
SofapakaTusker
3.83Shots on target4.42
SofapakaTusker
9%Shot conversion6.5%
SofapakaTusker
46%Possession49%
SofapakaTusker
1.45xG for1.6
SofapakaTusker
1.55xG against1.53
SofapakaTusker

Shooting quality

Sofapaka: BalancedTusker: Balanced
SofapakaTusker
Accuracy (shots on target)38%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.19

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Tusker is 125% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Sofapaka · 1.8 pts / game - Tusker

Sofapaka
WLLDL
Season result split
25% W25% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-6
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-3
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Tusker
WLLWW
Season result split
42% W25% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-4
1.50 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WDWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sofapaka is 11% better for: goals scored per game.

0.92 goals / game - Sofapaka · 0.83 goals / game - Tusker

Tusker is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.17 goals / game - Sofapaka · 0.83 goals / game - Tusker

Sofapaka scoring profile: mixed

Sofapaka scores in 50% of games (6 of 12 games), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 games).

Tusker scoring profile: very strong

Tusker scores in 75% of games (9 of 12 games), while Sofapaka keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 games).

11Goals scored (season)10
SofapakaTusker
14Goals conceded (season)10
SofapakaTusker
2.08Average goals per game1.67
SofapakaTusker
3Goals scored (last 5)4
SofapakaTusker
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
SofapakaTusker

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal75%
SofapakaTusker
33%2 goals8%
SofapakaTusker
8%3 goals0%
SofapakaTusker
0%4 goals0%
SofapakaTusker

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal58%
SofapakaTusker
33%2 goals25%
SofapakaTusker
8%3 goals0%
SofapakaTusker
0%4 goals0%
SofapakaTusker

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time8%
SofapakaTusker
0%BTTS in both halves0%
SofapakaTusker
17%Scored in both halves8%
SofapakaTusker

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
SofapakaTusker
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
SofapakaTusker
20%BTTS - last 520%
SofapakaTusker

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

58%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
SofapakaTusker
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
SofapakaTusker
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
SofapakaTusker

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time42%
SofapakaTusker
17%Min. 2 goals after half-time17%
SofapakaTusker
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
SofapakaTusker

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sofapaka is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / game - Sofapaka · 1.08 pts / game - Tusker

Sofapaka - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Tusker - half-time state
25% leading33% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per game (1st half)1.08
SofapakaTusker
0.42Goals scored (1st half)0.33
SofapakaTusker
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
SofapakaTusker
0.83Average goals (1st half)1
SofapakaTusker
67%Clean sheet before half-time58%
SofapakaTusker
67%No goal before half-time67%
SofapakaTusker

After half-time (2nd half)

1.08Points per game (2nd half)1.5
SofapakaTusker
0.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
SofapakaTusker
0.42Goals conceded (2nd half)0.17
SofapakaTusker
0.83Average goals (2nd half)0.58
SofapakaTusker
67%Clean sheet after half-time83%
SofapakaTusker
75%No goal after half-time58%
SofapakaTusker

Sofapaka - second-half results

17% W58% D25% L
15
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Tusker - second-half results

25% W75% D0% L
13
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding168%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.5

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Sofapaka - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.20
Goals scored / game0.20.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game0.60.4
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Tusker - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.40
Goals scored / game0.40.2
Goals allowed / game0.60.0
Average goals per game1.00.2
1 goal80%20%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Sofapaka
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Tusker
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
0
4
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.88
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Sofapaka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Tusker

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.77
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.70
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

SofapakaLigaTusker
Average goals per game 2.081.94 1.67
Both teams scored 33%40% 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%30% 25%
Clean sheets 25%38% 42%
Goal before half-time 58%38% 67%
Goal after half-time 50%41% 42%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.94
Average goals per game
40%
Both teams scored
30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
0.89
Home goals / game
1.04
Away goals / game
+-14%
Home attack advantage
+-17%
Home defensive advantage
+-16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
38%
1 goal
17%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
41%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Sofapaka vs Tusker?

The Kenyan Premier League match finished Sofapaka 0:2 Tusker. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Sofapaka vs Tusker?

Sofapaka score 0.92 goals per game on average and Tusker 0.83. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Sofapaka's matches and 42% of Tusker's.

What form are Sofapaka and Tusker in?

Over the last 5 games Sofapaka have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Tusker 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sofapaka vs Tusker?

The statistical background for Sofapaka vs Tusker — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.