England - ChampionshipSt. Mary's StadiumData current as of October 16, 2026

Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Southampton plays Bolton Wanderers in Championship (England). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: St. Mary's Stadium.

Recent form

Southampton has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Bolton Wanderers has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Southampton scores 2.10 goals per game and allows 1.00. Bolton Wanderers scores 1.50 and allows 1.80. Games in this league average 2.92 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 80% of Southampton's games and 60% of Bolton Wanderers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 70%, compared with league averages of 66% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Southampton has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.53 per game. Southampton takes 15.3 shots per game, while Bolton Wanderers takes 13.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Southampton leads at halftime in 60% of its games and scores 1.20 goals per game after halftime. Bolton Wanderers leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.70 after halftime.

When the teams score

Southampton's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Bolton Wanderers, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.92 goals. Both teams score in 66% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.46)
(4.60)
(5.83)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
2.1Goals scored / game1.5
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
1Goals allowed / game1.8
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
57%Average possession52%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
4.6Shots on target / game4.9
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.3Shots per game13.8
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
4.6Shots on target4.9
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
13.7%Shot conversion10.9%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
57%Possession52%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
1.59xG for1.53
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
1.5xG against1.49
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers

Shooting quality

Southampton: DominantBolton Wanderers: Balanced
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
Accuracy (shots on target)30%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.460.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Southampton is 33% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - Southampton · 1.8 pts / game - Bolton Wanderers

Southampton
WWLWW
Season result split
60% W20% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-2
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Bolton Wanderers
LWWLW
Season result split
40% W10% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-5
1.30 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Southampton is 40% better for: goals scored per game.

2.1 goals / game - Southampton · 1.5 goals / game - Bolton Wanderers

Southampton is 80% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Southampton · 1.8 goals / game - Bolton Wanderers

Southampton scoring profile: very strong

Southampton scores in 100% of games (10 of 10 games), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).

Bolton Wanderers scoring profile: very strong

Bolton Wanderers scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Southampton keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).

21Goals scored (season)15
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
10Goals conceded (season)18
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
3.1Average goals per game3.3
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
10Goals scored (last 5)11
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
4Goals conceded (last 5)9
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal70%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
40%2 goals50%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
40%3 goals20%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
20%4 goals10%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal80%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
20%2 goals50%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
0%3 goals40%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
0%4 goals10%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

66%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time30%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
0%BTTS in both halves20%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
40%Scored in both halves30%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
60%BTTS - last 580%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

90%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Southampton is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / game - Southampton · 1.2 pts / game - Bolton Wanderers

Southampton - half-time state
60% leading20% draw20% trailing
Bolton Wanderers - half-time state
20% leading60% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per game (1st half)1.2
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
0.9Goals scored (1st half)0.8
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
1.4Average goals (1st half)1.5
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
60%Clean sheet before half-time50%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
30%No goal before half-time50%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.8Points per game (2nd half)1.1
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
1.2Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)1.1
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
1.7Average goals (2nd half)1.8
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
50%Clean sheet after half-time20%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
30%No goal after half-time50%
SouthamptonBolton Wanderers

Southampton - second-half results

50% W30% D20% L
20
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Bolton Wanderers - second-half results

30% W20% D50% L
12
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Southampton - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.80
Goals scored / game0.81.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game1.01.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Bolton Wanderers - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.00
Goals scored / game1.01.2
Goals allowed / game1.00.8
Average goals per game2.02.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Southampton
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
5
1
31-45
4
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Bolton Wanderers
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
4
1
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
4
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.20
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.0 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Southampton

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Bolton Wanderers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

SouthamptonLigaBolton Wanderers
Average goals per game▲ 3.102.92▲ 3.30
Both teams scored▲ 80%66%▼ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 60%63%▲ 70%
Clean sheets• 20%20%• 20%
Goal before half-time▲ 90%78%▼ 70%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%79%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.92
Average goals per game
66%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / game
1.32
Away goals / game
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Southampton and Bolton Wanderers play?

Southampton face Bolton Wanderers on October 17, 2026 in Championship at St. Mary's Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers?

Southampton score 2.10 goals per game on average and Bolton Wanderers 1.50. The Championship average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Southampton's matches and 60% of Bolton Wanderers's.

What form are Southampton and Bolton Wanderers in?

Over the last 5 games Southampton have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Bolton Wanderers 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.