Southampton vs Watford: match statistics
Southampton is in significantly better form than Watford, having earned 10 points in their last 5 matches (3 wins) compared to the visitors' mere 3 points (0 wins). The hosts have a clear home advantage with a 43% win rate and a positive goal difference (+6), while Watford wins only 21% of their away matches with a negative goal difference (-3). Southampton scores an average of 1.36 goals per match at home with an xG of 1.77, indicating an underestimation of their offensive potential. Meanwhile, Watford scores only 1.07 goals per away match with an xG of 1.23. The visitors' form is alarmingly poor – in their last 5 matches they have scored only 2 goals and conceded 6. Combined with their weak away defense (14% clean sheets), this makes them highly susceptible to defeat. Considering all the statistics, Southampton should capitalize on their home advantage and secure all three points.
Southampton vs Watford: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Southampton played against Watford in Championship (England). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Southampton has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Watford has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Southampton scores 1.43 goals per game and allows 1.37. Watford scores 1.30 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 73% of Southampton's games and 63% of Watford's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 47%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Southampton has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.49 per game. Southampton takes 14.5 shots per game, while Watford takes 13.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Southampton leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Watford leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.70 after halftime.
When the teams score
Southampton's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (12 goals). For Watford, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Southampton is in significantly better form than Watford, having earned 10 points in their last 5 matches (3 wins) compared to the visitors' mere 3 points (0 wins). The hosts have a clear home advantage with a 43% win rate and a positive goal difference (+6), while Watford wins only 21% of their away matches with a negative goal difference (-3). Southampton scores an average of 1.36 goals per match at home with an xG of 1.77, indicating an underestimation of their offensive potential. Meanwhile, Watford scores only 1.07 goals per away match with an xG of 1.23. The visitors' form is alarmingly poor – in their last 5 matches they have scored only 2 goals and conceded 6. Combined with their weak away defense (14% clean sheets), this makes them highly susceptible to defeat. Considering all the statistics, Southampton should capitalize on their home advantage and secure all three points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Southampton | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Southampton is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Southampton · 0.6 pts / game - Watford
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Southampton is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.43 goals / game - Southampton · 1.3 goals / game - Watford
Watford is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.37 goals / game - Southampton · 1.17 goals / game - Watford
Southampton scores in 83% of games (25 of 30 meczów), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 meczów).
Watford scores in 77% of games (23 of 30 meczów), while Southampton keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Southampton
Over / Under - Watford
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Southampton is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / game - Southampton · 1.1 pts / game - Watford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Southampton - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Watford - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Southampton
Watford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Southampton | Liga | Watford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.80 | 2.57 | • 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 57% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 72% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Southampton's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Watford. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Southampton vs Watford?
The Championship match finished Southampton 1:0 Watford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Southampton vs Watford?
Southampton score 1.43 goals per game on average and Watford 1.30. The Championship average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Southampton's matches and 63% of Watford's.
What form are Southampton and Watford in?
Over the last 5 games Southampton have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Watford 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Southampton vs Watford?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Southampton vs Watford: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.