Southampton vs Watford: match statistics
Southampton is in significantly better form than Watford, having earned 10 points in their last 5 matches (3 wins) compared to the visitors' mere 3 points (0 wins). The hosts have a clear home advantage with a 43% win rate and a positive goal difference (+6), while Watford wins only 21% of their away matches with a negative goal difference (-3). Southampton scores an average of 1.36 goals per match at home with an xG of 1.77, indicating an underestimation of their offensive potential. Meanwhile, Watford scores only 1.07 goals per away match with an xG of 1.23. The visitors' form is alarmingly poor – in their last 5 matches they have scored only 2 goals and conceded 6. Combined with their weak away defense (14% clean sheets), this makes them highly susceptible to defeat. Considering all the statistics, Southampton should capitalize on their home advantage and secure all three points.
Southampton vs Watford: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Southampton play Watford in Championship (England). The match date is 7 February 2026 at 13:31. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Southampton: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Watford: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Southampton scores 1.75 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Watford scores 1.15 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Southampton 71%, Watford 59%. Over 2.5: Southampton 63%, Watford 48%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Southampton has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.49. Southampton: 14.4 shots per match, Watford: 13.8.
Match halves
Southampton: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.98. Watford: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Southampton: 76-90+ (18 goals). Watford: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Southampton is in significantly better form than Watford, having earned 10 points in their last 5 matches (3 wins) compared to the visitors' mere 3 points (0 wins). The hosts have a clear home advantage with a 43% win rate and a positive goal difference (+6), while Watford wins only 21% of their away matches with a negative goal difference (-3). Southampton scores an average of 1.36 goals per match at home with an xG of 1.77, indicating an underestimation of their offensive potential. Meanwhile, Watford scores only 1.07 goals per away match with an xG of 1.23. The visitors' form is alarmingly poor – in their last 5 matches they have scored only 2 goals and conceded 6. Combined with their weak away defense (14% clean sheets), this makes them highly susceptible to defeat. Considering all the statistics, Southampton should capitalize on their home advantage and secure all three points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Southampton | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Southampton is 52% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - Southampton · 1.15 goals / match - Watford
Southampton is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Southampton · 1.41 goals / match - Watford
Southampton scores in 88% of matches (42 of 48 matches), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 15% (7 of 46 matches).
Watford scores in 70% of matches (32 of 46 matches), while Southampton keeps a clean sheet in 25% (12 of 48 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Southampton
Over / Under — Watford
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Southampton is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Southampton · 0.98 pts / match - Watford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Southampton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Watford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -7 | -8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Southampton
Watford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Southampton | Liga | Watford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.59 | • 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 50% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Southampton 0 - 1 - 0 Watford. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Southampton vs Watford?
The Championship match finished Southampton 1:0 Watford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Southampton vs Watford?
Southampton score 1.75 goals per game on average and Watford 1.15. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Southampton's matches and 59% of Watford's.
What form are Southampton and Watford in?
Over the last 5 games Southampton have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Watford 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Southampton vs Watford?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Southampton vs Watford: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.