Spaeri vs Gagra: match statistics
Spaeri vs Gagra: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Spaeri play Gagra in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match date is 11 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Spaeri: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Gagra: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Spaeri scores 1.37 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Gagra scores 0.95 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Spaeri 58%, Gagra 58%. Over 2.5: Spaeri 58%, Gagra 42%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Spaeri has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.36. Spaeri: 10.7 shots per match, Gagra: 10.3.
Match halves
Spaeri: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.95. Gagra: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Spaeri: 76-90+ (9 goals). Gagra: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Erovnuli Liga: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back an away win (Gagra) based on superior away metrics and form: Gagra have a 40% away win rate, 40% draws and only 20% losses, while Spaeri win just 17% at home and lose 50%. In their last 5 matches Gagra scored 5 goals and hold a 1-2-2 record (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses) with 1.0 points per game; Spaeri have managed only 3 goals in their last 5, remain winless (0-2-3) and average 0.4 points per game. Defensively Gagra are more stable on the road: they concede 1.0 goals on average away and keep 20% clean sheets, whereas Spaeri concede 1.33 at home with 0% clean sheets. In chance quality Spaeri produce more on-target shots at home (4.33 per game vs 3.00 for Gagra away) and have a higher xG at home (1.38 vs 1.21), but the gap is small, so the match projects as low-scoring given averages of 2.5 goals for the home side and 2.0 for away. Considering all figures, I estimate Gagra’s win probability at ~50%, draw 30% and Spaeri win 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Spaeri | Gagra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gagra is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Spaeri · 2.2 pts / match - Gagra
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Spaeri is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Spaeri · 0.95 goals / match - Gagra
Spaeri scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Gagra keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
Gagra scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Spaeri keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Spaeri
Over / Under — Gagra
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Spaeri is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Spaeri · 0.89 pts / match - Gagra
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spaeri - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gagra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Spaeri
Gagra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Spaeri | Liga | Gagra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.63 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 52% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 28% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 65% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 72% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Spaeri 1 - 0 - 0 Gagra. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Spaeri vs Gagra?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Spaeri 3:0 Gagra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Spaeri vs Gagra?
Spaeri score 1.37 goals per game on average and Gagra 0.95. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Spaeri's matches and 58% of Gagra's.
What form are Spaeri and Gagra in?
Over the last 5 games Spaeri have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Gagra 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spaeri vs Gagra?
The statistical background for Spaeri vs Gagra — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.