Spaeri vs Rustavi: match statistics
Spaeri vs Rustavi: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Spaeri played against Rustavi in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The game was played on April 18, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Spaeri has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Rustavi has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Spaeri scores 1.83 goals per game and allows 1.33. Rustavi scores 1.33 and allows 0.83. Games in this league average 2.15 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Spaeri's games and 50% of Rustavi's. The Over 2.5 rates are 83% and 67%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Spaeri has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.28 per game. Spaeri takes 13.2 shots per game, while Rustavi takes 9.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Spaeri leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.17 goals per game after halftime. Rustavi leads at halftime in 67% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Spaeri's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). For Rustavi, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Erovnuli Liga games average 2.15 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Spaeri has a clear offensive advantage at home — scoring an average of 2.5 goals per match with 11.5 shots and 4.5 on target, and a conversion rate of 22%. Rustavi away scores an average of 1.0 goal with 7.67 shots and 3 on target, has a lower conversion of 13% and fails to score in 33% of away matches. However, Spaeri concedes an average of 1.5 goals at home and has not kept a clean sheet yet (0%), while Rustavi concedes 1.0 goal away and has 33% clean sheets — this indicates realistic scoring chances for both teams. In xG terms Spaeri generates 1.39 xG at home versus an actual 2.5 goals (outperforming xG), whereas Rustavi posts 1.10 xG away while their opponents record 1.52 xG, which favors the quality of chances for the hosts. Considering higher possession (51% vs 43%), greater shot volume and better efficiency, I assess the probability of a Spaeri win at 60%, draw 25% and away win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Spaeri at home averages 1.67 goals scored and concedes only 0.67 goals per match this season; they have 67% home clean sheets and only 33% matches with both teams scoring (BTTS 33%), indicating strong home defense. Rustavi as away side have a seasonal BTTS 67% and score 1.0 goals on average away, but their away xG 1.10 is lower than the xG hosts typically allow (1.29), so the visitors create fewer clear chances. In the last 5 matches both teams show a 60% BTTS rate and Spaeri conceded 7 goals in that span (1.4 per match), significantly above the seasonal 0.67, showing some recent defensive weakening. However, Spaeri’s high home clean sheet rate 67%, the league-wide clean sheet rate 70% and a low league average goals 2.1 favor a No Goal scenario; therefore I assign 65% for BTTS - No and 35% for BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model comparing attacks and defenses gives Spaeri 1.49 xG and Rustavi 1.20 xG, totaling 2.69 expected goals. A Poisson distribution with λ=2.69 indicates roughly a 75% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) and about a 51% chance of at least 3 goals (Over 2.5). Seasonal data confirm goal activity: Over 2.5 occurred in 67% of both teams' matches this season, and in the last 5 matches the Over 2.5 rate rose to 80%, so my adjusted assessment for Over 2.5 is ~67%. On the other hand there have been no matches with 4+ goals this season (Over 3.5 = 0%), so the risk for Over 3.5 remains low (I estimate 29% for Over 3.5). As a result the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5 (75% per the model supported by the season 67% and recent form), hence the recommendation: Over on the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Spaeri appears to be the favorite: average goals 1.67 versus 1.00 for Rustavi, xG 1.46 versus 1.10 and 11.67 shots versus 7.67 (on target 4.67 vs 3.0) indicate clearer chance creation by the hosts. The hosts lead at the break in 67% of matches (2 of 3) and score on average 0.67 goals in the first half while conceding 0.0, and the season first-half clean sheet rate is 100%, which increases the likelihood of a Half-Time lead. Over the full match Spaeri have a 67% win rate and average 2.0 points at home, while Rustavi average 1.33 points and concede 1.0 goal per match, which favors maintaining the lead. Considering the xG advantage, higher shot volume and more frequent leads at the break, the most likely HT/FT scenario is 1/1 (Spaeri leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time). Therefore I assigned 45% to 1/1 and an additional 15% to X/1 as the second-strongest scenario; variants starting with '2' I rate at 0% in line with the statistic of hosts not trailing at Half-Time (trailingAtHTPercentage_home 0%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Spaeri | Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Spaeri is 38% better for: goals scored per game.
1.83 goals / game - Spaeri · 1.33 goals / game - Rustavi
Rustavi is 60% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Spaeri · 0.83 goals / game - Rustavi
Spaeri scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 meczów), while Rustavi keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 meczów).
Rustavi scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 meczów), while Spaeri keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Spaeri
Over / Under - Rustavi
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rustavi is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / game - Spaeri · 2.33 pts / game - Rustavi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spaeri - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Rustavi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 50%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Spaeri
Rustavi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Spaeri | Liga | Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.17 | 2.15 | • 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 50% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 68% | • 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Spaeri vs Rustavi?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Spaeri 1:1 Rustavi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Spaeri vs Rustavi?
Spaeri score 1.83 goals per game on average and Rustavi 1.33. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Spaeri's matches and 50% of Rustavi's.
What form are Spaeri and Rustavi in?
Over the last 5 games Spaeri have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Rustavi 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spaeri vs Rustavi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Spaeri vs Rustavi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.