Spaeri vs Samgurali: match statistics
The analysis indicates a very tight match between two top league teams. Spaeri is in first place but has a disastrous home record - a 0% win rate and 100% loss rate at home, which is a serious issue. Second-placed Samgurali presents a solid defense in away games (100% clean sheets, 0 average goals conceded), though they struggle with scoring (50% FTS%). The key factor is form - Spaeri wins on the road but loses at home, while Samgurali has recorded a win and a draw in their recent away fixtures. Given the poor efficiency of both teams (low goal averages) and the defensive strength of the visitors, a draw or a narrow victory for either side seems the most probable outcome.
Spaeri vs Samgurali: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Spaeri play Samgurali in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match date is 16 March 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Spaeri: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Samgurali: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Spaeri scores 1.37 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Samgurali scores 1.32 and concedes 1.68. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Spaeri 58%, Samgurali 63%. Over 2.5: Spaeri 58%, Samgurali 58%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Samgurali has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.41. Spaeri: 10.7 shots per match, Samgurali: 11.2.
Match halves
Spaeri: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.95. Samgurali: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Spaeri: 76-90+ (9 goals). Samgurali: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Erovnuli Liga: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The analysis indicates a very tight match between two top league teams. Spaeri is in first place but has a disastrous home record - a 0% win rate and 100% loss rate at home, which is a serious issue. Second-placed Samgurali presents a solid defense in away games (100% clean sheets, 0 average goals conceded), though they struggle with scoring (50% FTS%). The key factor is form - Spaeri wins on the road but loses at home, while Samgurali has recorded a win and a draw in their recent away fixtures. Given the poor efficiency of both teams (low goal averages) and the defensive strength of the visitors, a draw or a narrow victory for either side seems the most probable outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Spaeri | Samgurali | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Samgurali is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Spaeri · 2 pts / match - Samgurali
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Spaeri is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Spaeri · 1.68 goals / match - Samgurali
Spaeri scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Samgurali keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Samgurali scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Spaeri keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Spaeri
Over / Under — Samgurali
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Spaeri is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Spaeri · 0.95 pts / match - Samgurali
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spaeri - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Samgurali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Spaeri
Samgurali
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Spaeri | Liga | Samgurali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.63 | 2.53 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 52% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 65% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 72% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Spaeri 0 - 1 - 0 Samgurali. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Spaeri vs Samgurali?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Spaeri 4:1 Samgurali. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Spaeri vs Samgurali?
Spaeri score 1.37 goals per game on average and Samgurali 1.32. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Spaeri's matches and 63% of Samgurali's.
What form are Spaeri and Samgurali in?
Over the last 5 games Spaeri have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Samgurali 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spaeri vs Samgurali?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.