Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha: match statistics

The derby is shaping up to be a very even contest: Slavia lead the table, remain unbeaten after 5 matches (3 wins and 2 draws), and have scored 14 goals in that time compared with Sparta’s 10. However, the hosts have been perfect at home, winning both of their matches, averaging 3.5 goals scored and creating chances worth 2.33 xG per game. Slavia have shown a clearly stronger defensive record away from home, conceding just 0.5 goals per match while allowing opponents 1.24 xG, whereas Sparta concede an average of one goal and have yet to keep a clean sheet. Sparta take significantly more shots at home—20 per match compared with Slavia’s 12 away from home—but the visitors are more clinical, converting 21% of their attempts into goals compared with the opponents’ 18%. Sparta’s home advantage balances out the leaders’ consistency, while the fact that Slavia have drawn 50% of their away matches points towards a share of the spoils.

Sparta have recorded BTTS in 100% of their home matches, scoring an average of 3.0 goals, but have yet to keep a clean sheet and concede 1.33 goals per game. Slavia score an average of 2.5 goals, have failed to score in none of their matches, and found the net an average of 2.8 times across their last five appearances, with BTTS landing in 80% of them. The hosts create a high volume of chances, as reflected by their xG of 2.55 and an average of 7.33 shots on target, while Slavia’s away defense allows opponents an xG of 1.24. Although Slavia have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches and concede just 0.5 goals on average this season, their last five matches produced an average of 1.0 goals conceded, and Sparta possess enough attacking quality to exploit this weakness. The most likely scenario is therefore a goal for both teams — BTTS - Yes / Goal-Goal.

Both teams have exceeded 1.5 goals in 100% of their league matches so far, which is a very strong argument for an open game. In their last five matches, Sparta averaged 2.0 goals, while Slavia averaged as many as 2.8, with the league-wide average standing at 3.08 goals. Sparta create chances worth an average of 2.55 xG at home and record 7.33 shots on target per match, while Slavia generated 2.08 xG in their last five appearances. The visitors’ defense concedes just 0.50 goals per game this season, making the 2.5 line notably less safe than 1.5. Over 1.5 remains the strongest pick, as the profile of both attacks and the perfect record of at least two goals significantly reduce the risk of a low-scoring game.

Slavia make very strong starts: they were leading at the break in both of their two away matches so far, conceded no goals before half-time, and scored an average of 2.0 goals. In their last five appearances, the visitors were ahead after 45 minutes in 60% of matches and were never trailing, while Sparta were behind at half-time in 60% of their games. Slavia’s away defense allows an average of just 0.5 goals conceded per match, and the team remains unbeaten, recording 60% wins and 40% draws in their last five games. Sparta do, however, possess significant attacking potential, as reflected by an xG of 2.55 and an average of 24.33 shots compared with Slavia’s 1.39 xG and 12.0 shots, meaning turnaround scenarios still account for a significant share. Nevertheless, the strongest individual outcome remains an away lead and win, as their first-half advantage is supported by a highly disciplined defense.