Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets: match statistics
Ludogorets is the clear favorite in this match, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 15 wins this season. The away team shows dominance in away matches with a 54% win rate and a high 69% clean sheet rate, while conceding an average of just 0.69 goals per game. Spartak Varna finds itself in a difficult situation in 13th place, with only a 23% win rate at home and a negative goal difference (-8). The form of both teams also favors the visitors – Ludogorets has won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Spartak has recorded only 1 victory in that period. Ludogorets's advantage in ball possession (60% vs 43%), shot quality (5.54 vs 3.85 on target per match), and expected goals (xG 1.85 vs 1.29) further confirms their clear superiority. Considering all the statistics, an away victory appears to be the most likely scenario.
Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Spartak Varna played against Ludogorets in First League (Bulgaria). The game was played on March 19, 2026. Final score: 1:5.
Recent form
Spartak Varna has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Ludogorets has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Spartak Varna scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 1.54. Ludogorets scores 1.88 and allows 0.69. Games in this league average 2.31 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Spartak Varna's games and 42% of Ludogorets's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 50%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ludogorets has the higher season xG average, 2.14 to 1.09 per game. Spartak Varna takes 8.5 shots per game, while Ludogorets takes 16.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Spartak Varna leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Ludogorets leads at halftime in 35% and scores 1.23 after halftime.
When the teams score
Spartak Varna's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Ludogorets, it is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First League games average 2.31 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ludogorets is the clear favorite in this match, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 15 wins this season. The away team shows dominance in away matches with a 54% win rate and a high 69% clean sheet rate, while conceding an average of just 0.69 goals per game. Spartak Varna finds itself in a difficult situation in 13th place, with only a 23% win rate at home and a negative goal difference (-8). The form of both teams also favors the visitors – Ludogorets has won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Spartak has recorded only 1 victory in that period. Ludogorets's advantage in ball possession (60% vs 43%), shot quality (5.54 vs 3.85 on target per match), and expected goals (xG 1.85 vs 1.29) further confirms their clear superiority. Considering all the statistics, an away victory appears to be the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Spartak Varna | Ludogorets | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ludogorets is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Spartak Varna · 2 pts / game - Ludogorets
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ludogorets is 114% better for: goals scored per game.
0.88 goals / game - Spartak Varna · 1.88 goals / game - Ludogorets
Ludogorets is 123% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.54 goals / game - Spartak Varna · 0.69 goals / game - Ludogorets
Spartak Varna scores in 65% of games (17 of 26 meczów), while Ludogorets keeps a clean sheet in 58% (15 of 26 meczów).
Ludogorets scores in 85% of games (22 of 26 meczów), while Spartak Varna keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Spartak Varna
Over / Under - Ludogorets
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ludogorets is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Spartak Varna · 1.46 pts / game - Ludogorets
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spartak Varna - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 15%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Ludogorets - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Spartak Varna | Liga | Ludogorets | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.42 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 43% | • 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 35% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal before half-time | • 62% | 63% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 71% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Spartak Varna's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Ludogorets. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?
The First League match finished Spartak Varna 1:5 Ludogorets. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?
Spartak Varna score 0.88 goals per game on average and Ludogorets 1.88. The First League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Spartak Varna's matches and 42% of Ludogorets's.
What form are Spartak Varna and Ludogorets in?
Over the last 5 games Spartak Varna have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Ludogorets 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.