Spartans vs Kelty Hearts: match statistics
Spartans vs Kelty Hearts: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Spartans played against Kelty Hearts in League Two (Scotland). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Venue: Ainslie Park Stadium. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Spartans has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Kelty Hearts has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Spartans scores 2.38 goals per game and allows 1.88. Kelty Hearts scores 1.38 and allows 2.25. Games in this league average 3.48 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Spartans's games and 75% of Kelty Hearts's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 75%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Spartans has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 0.99 per game. Spartans takes 9.5 shots per game, while Kelty Hearts takes 6.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Spartans leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 1.75 goals per game after halftime. Kelty Hearts leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
Spartans's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Kelty Hearts, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 3.48 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Spartans are 4th in the table, while Kelty Hearts are 9th. The hosts are unbeaten in all 4 home matches, whereas the visitors have lost all 4 away games. At home, Spartans score an average of 3.25 goals per match and register 5.75 shots on target, while Kelty Hearts manage just 0.5 goals and 2.5 shots on target away from home. The hosts’ edge in chance creation is reflected in the xG figures: 1.51 for Spartans compared with 0.72 for Kelty Hearts in away matches. Kelty Hearts concede an average of 2.75 goals on the road and have let in 13 goals across their last 5 matches, boosting the hosts’ chances despite Spartans’ own average of 2.25 goals conceded at home. Spartans’ three draws in 4 home matches warrant some caution, but the visitors’ away record clearly points towards a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams scored in 100% of Spartans’ home matches and 50% of Kelty Hearts’ away matches, giving the BTTS - Yes scenario a moderate edge. Spartans average 2.25 goals at home, while the visitors concede 2.75 away, so a Spartans goal looks likely. The visitors are the bigger unknown: they score just 0.5 goals per away match and have failed to score in 50% of those games. However, their last 5 matches offer a stronger attacking signal — an average of 2.0 goals scored and BTTS in 80% of games — while Spartans concede an average of 1.75 goals at home. Therefore, despite the risk that Kelty Hearts may fail to score, BTTS - Yes has a slight edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Spartans’ matches have averaged 4.0 goals so far, while Kelty Hearts’ matches have averaged 3.25, pointing to favourable conditions for at least two goals. The Over 1.5 goals line has landed in 100% of the home team’s matches and 75% of the away team’s matches. Spartans score an average of 2.25 goals, while Kelty Hearts concede 2.75, although the hosts’ lower xG of 1.28 calls for caution with higher lines. The visitors score just 0.5 goals per match in the split analyzed, but Spartans concede an average of 1.75, so an away goal remains possible. With a projected total of 3.35 goals, Over 1.5 is the strongest pick; Over 2.5 offers a smaller edge, as it has landed in 50% of Kelty Hearts’ matches so far.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Spartans led at the break in 3 of their 4 home matches, while Kelty Hearts were trailing at half-time in all 4 of their away games, making a home lead after 45 minutes the most likely outcome. Spartans averaged 1.25 goals before the break, while the visitors scored none in that period away from home and conceded an average of 1.25 goals. The full-time record also points to the hosts holding on to their lead: Spartans won 3 of 4 home matches and scored an average of 2.25 goals, while Kelty lost all 4 away games, conceding an average of 2.75 goals. Spartans’ attacking edge is further reflected in their average xG of 1.28 against the visitors’ 0.72, as well as 5.75 shots on target per match compared with 2.5. There is some risk of a turnaround, as Kelty won the second half in 4 of their last 5 matches; however, their away record makes 1/1 the strongest pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Spartans | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 60% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Spartans is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Spartans · 1.2 pts / game - Kelty Hearts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Spartans is 72% better for: goals scored per game.
2.38 goals / game - Spartans · 1.38 goals / game - Kelty Hearts
Spartans is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.88 goals / game - Spartans · 2.25 goals / game - Kelty Hearts
Spartans scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 games), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 games).
Kelty Hearts scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 games), while Spartans keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Spartans
Over / Under - Kelty Hearts
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kelty Hearts is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / game - Spartans · 1.13 pts / game - Kelty Hearts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spartans - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Spartans
Kelty Hearts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Spartans | Liga | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.25 | 3.48 | ▲ 3.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 65% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Spartans vs Kelty Hearts?
The League Two match finished Spartans 0:2 Kelty Hearts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Spartans vs Kelty Hearts?
Spartans score 2.38 goals per game on average and Kelty Hearts 1.38. The League Two average is 3.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Spartans's matches and 75% of Kelty Hearts's.
What form are Spartans and Kelty Hearts in?
Over the last 5 games Spartans have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Kelty Hearts 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spartans vs Kelty Hearts?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.