Spezia vs Avellino: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams in this encounter. Spezia occupies a weak 18th position in the table with just a 20% win rate at home and a negative run (0.6 points per match in the last 5 games). Avellino performs little better away - only 20% away wins and 40% losses, although they possess slightly better form (1 point per match). The key factor is the identical goal difference of both teams (-6 for the hosts at home and -6 for the visitors away) and similar xG values, suggesting comparable offensive and defensive potential. Spezia has the home field advantage, but very poor form (4 losses in the last 5 matches) makes it difficult to pinpoint a favorite. Avellino's high percentage of away draws (40%) and the defensive problems of both teams (averaging 1.4 and 1.6 conceded goals) point to a draw as the most probable scenario.
Spezia vs Avellino: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Spezia played against Avellino in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on January 24, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Spezia has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Avellino has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Spezia scores 0.90 goals per game and allows 1.40. Avellino scores 1.20 and allows 1.65. Games in this league average 2.47 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Spezia's games and 55% of Avellino's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 50%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Spezia has the higher season xG average, 1.23 to 1.14 per game. Spezia takes 10.4 shots per game, while Avellino takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Spezia leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Avellino leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.55 after halftime.
When the teams score
Spezia's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Avellino, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.47 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams in this encounter. Spezia occupies a weak 18th position in the table with just a 20% win rate at home and a negative run (0.6 points per match in the last 5 games). Avellino performs little better away - only 20% away wins and 40% losses, although they possess slightly better form (1 point per match). The key factor is the identical goal difference of both teams (-6 for the hosts at home and -6 for the visitors away) and similar xG values, suggesting comparable offensive and defensive potential. Spezia has the home field advantage, but very poor form (4 losses in the last 5 matches) makes it difficult to pinpoint a favorite. Avellino's high percentage of away draws (40%) and the defensive problems of both teams (averaging 1.4 and 1.6 conceded goals) point to a draw as the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Spezia | Avellino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Avellino is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Spezia · 1 pts / game - Avellino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Avellino is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
0.9 goals / game - Spezia · 1.2 goals / game - Avellino
Spezia is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.4 goals / game - Spezia · 1.65 goals / game - Avellino
Spezia scores in 70% of games (14 of 20 meczów), while Avellino keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 meczów).
Avellino scores in 65% of games (13 of 20 meczów), while Spezia keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Spezia
Over / Under - Avellino
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Avellino is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / game - Spezia · 1.4 pts / game - Avellino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spezia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Avellino - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Spezia
Avellino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Spezia | Liga | Avellino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.30 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 55% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 27% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 75% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Spezia's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Avellino. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Spezia vs Avellino?
The Serie B match finished Spezia 1:0 Avellino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Spezia vs Avellino?
Spezia score 0.90 goals per game on average and Avellino 1.20. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Spezia's matches and 55% of Avellino's.
What form are Spezia and Avellino in?
Over the last 5 games Spezia have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Avellino 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spezia vs Avellino?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.