Spezia vs Modena: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Spezia play Modena in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 13 December 2025 at 15:00. Final score: 0:2.

Current form

Spezia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Modena: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Spezia scores 1.13 and concedes 1.55 goals per match. Modena scores 1.26 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Spezia 58%, Modena 49%. Over 2.5: Spezia 45%, Modena 49%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Modena has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.31. Spezia: 11.4 shots per match, Modena: 15.2.

Match halves

Spezia: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.63. Modena: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.69.

Goals by minute

Spezia: 76-90+ (12 goals). Modena: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

59Possession (%)41
SpeziaModena
7Shots28
SpeziaModena
3Shots on target10
SpeziaModena
0.99xG2.83
SpeziaModena
3Corners9
SpeziaModena
46Dangerous attacks53
SpeziaModena
12Fouls24
SpeziaModena
4Cards5
SpeziaModena

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.13Goals scored / match1.26
SpeziaModena
1.55Goals conceded / match0.95
SpeziaModena
48%Average possession50%
SpeziaModena
3.95Shots on target / match4.67
SpeziaModena

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.45Shots per match15.15
SpeziaModena
3.95Shots on target4.67
SpeziaModena
9.9%Shot conversion8.3%
SpeziaModena
48%Possession50%
SpeziaModena
1.31xG for1.65
SpeziaModena
1.46xG against1.19
SpeziaModena

Shooting quality

Spezia: BalancedModena: Attacking
SpeziaModena
Accuracy (shots on target)34%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Spezia is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Spezia · 0.6 pts / match - Modena

Spezia
LWLDD
Season result split
21% W29% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-11-19
0.92 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-6-8
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Modena
LLWLL
Season result split
38% W26% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-10-14
1.41 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-6-7
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LDDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Modena is 12% better for: goals scored per match.

1.13 goals / match - Spezia · 1.26 goals / match - Modena

Modena is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.55 goals / match - Spezia · 0.95 goals / match - Modena

Spezia scoring profile: strong

Spezia scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).

Modena scoring profile: very strong

Modena scores in 72% of matches (28 of 39 matches), while Spezia keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).

43Goals scored (season)49
SpeziaModena
59Goals conceded (season)37
SpeziaModena
2.68Average goals in match2.21
SpeziaModena
11Goals scored (last 5)3
SpeziaModena
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
SpeziaModena

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal72%
SpeziaModena
21%2 goals44%
SpeziaModena
11%3 goals10%
SpeziaModena
8%4 goals0%
SpeziaModena

How often they concede at least...

84%1 goal64%
SpeziaModena
50%2 goals28%
SpeziaModena
16%3 goals3%
SpeziaModena
5%4 goals0%
SpeziaModena

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

32%BTTS at half-time10%
SpeziaModena
8%BTTS in both halves0%
SpeziaModena
16%Scored in both halves26%
SpeziaModena

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
SpeziaModena
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
SpeziaModena
80%BTTS - last 540%
SpeziaModena

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
SpeziaModena
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
SpeziaModena
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
SpeziaModena

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
SpeziaModena
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
SpeziaModena
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
SpeziaModena

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Modena is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.87 pts / match - Spezia · 1.46 pts / match - Modena

Spezia - half-time state
13% leading47% draw39% trailing
Modena - half-time state
38% leading31% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.87Points per match (1st half)1.46
SpeziaModena
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.56
SpeziaModena
0.79Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
SpeziaModena
1.29Average goals (1st half)1.03
SpeziaModena
32%Clean sheet before half-time62%
SpeziaModena
58%No goal before half-time54%
SpeziaModena

After half-time (2nd half)

1.08Points per match (2nd half)1.49
SpeziaModena
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
SpeziaModena
0.76Goals conceded (2nd half)0.49
SpeziaModena
1.39Average goals (2nd half)1.18
SpeziaModena
39%Clean sheet after half-time62%
SpeziaModena
58%No goal after half-time49%
SpeziaModena

Spezia - second-half results

24% W37% R39% P
33
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.87
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Modena - second-half results

36% W41% R23% P
57
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
58
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Spezia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.80
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.82.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet0%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Modena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Spezia
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
9
10
16-30
6
12
31-45
4
10
46-60
8
10
61-75
12
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Modena
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
7
4
16-30
9
9
31-45
9
7
46-60
7
5
61-75
11
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.45
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Spezia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
145%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Modena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-19.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.81
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

SpeziaLigaModena
Average goals in match 2.682.55 2.21
Both teams scored 58%53% 49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 45%48% 49%
Clean sheets 16%27% 36%
Goal before half-time 79%70% 74%
Goal after half-time 79%78% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Spezia 0 - 0 - 1 Modena. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Spezia vs Modena?

The Serie B match finished Spezia 0:2 Modena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Spezia vs Modena?

Spezia score 1.13 goals per game on average and Modena 1.26. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Spezia's matches and 49% of Modena's.

What form are Spezia and Modena in?

Over the last 5 games Spezia have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Modena 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spezia vs Modena?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.