Spezia vs Monza: match statistics
Monza is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 18 wins this season. Their form is excellent - 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches, with just 2 goals conceded. Spezia, meanwhile, finds itself in 19th position with only 6 victories all season and a negative goal difference (-8) at home. The hosts have won only 21% of their home games and failed to score in 36% of matches, which, combined with poor form (1 win in the last 5 matches), makes them very vulnerable to defeat. Monza boasts better statistics in all key aspects: more shots on target (4.21 vs 3.71), higher conversion rate (10% vs 7%), superior ball possession, and a significantly better defense. The gap in class between the two teams is evident, arguing for a confident victory for the visitors.
Spezia vs Monza: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Spezia played against Monza in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Recent form
Spezia has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Monza has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Spezia scores 0.89 goals per game and allows 1.32. Monza scores 1.57 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 2.52 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Spezia's games and 50% of Monza's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 46%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Monza has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.29 per game. Spezia takes 11.1 shots per game, while Monza takes 14.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Spezia leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.46 goals per game after halftime. Monza leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.93 after halftime.
When the teams score
Spezia's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Monza, it is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.52 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Monza is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 18 wins this season. Their form is excellent - 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches, with just 2 goals conceded. Spezia, meanwhile, finds itself in 19th position with only 6 victories all season and a negative goal difference (-8) at home. The hosts have won only 21% of their home games and failed to score in 36% of matches, which, combined with poor form (1 win in the last 5 matches), makes them very vulnerable to defeat. Monza boasts better statistics in all key aspects: more shots on target (4.21 vs 3.71), higher conversion rate (10% vs 7%), superior ball possession, and a significantly better defense. The gap in class between the two teams is evident, arguing for a confident victory for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Spezia | Monza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Monza is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Spezia · 2.6 pts / game - Monza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Monza is 76% better for: goals scored per game.
0.89 goals / game - Spezia · 1.57 goals / game - Monza
Monza is 76% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.32 goals / game - Spezia · 0.75 goals / game - Monza
Spezia scores in 64% of games (18 of 28 meczów), while Monza keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 meczów).
Monza scores in 86% of games (24 of 28 meczów), while Spezia keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Spezia
Over / Under - Monza
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Monza is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / game - Spezia · 1.54 pts / game - Monza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spezia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Monza - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 64%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Spezia
Monza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Spezia | Liga | Monza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.21 | 2.52 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 49% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 26% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Spezia's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Monza. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Spezia vs Monza?
The Serie B match finished Spezia 4:2 Monza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Spezia vs Monza?
Spezia score 0.89 goals per game on average and Monza 1.57. The Serie B average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Spezia's matches and 50% of Monza's.
What form are Spezia and Monza in?
Over the last 5 games Spezia have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Monza 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spezia vs Monza?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.