Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison: match statistics
Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Spokane Velocity played against Forward Madison in USL League One (United States). The game was played on July 2, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Spokane Velocity has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Forward Madison has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Spokane Velocity scores 1.31 goals per game and allows 1.31. Forward Madison scores 1.75 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 2.90 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of Spokane Velocity's games and 58% of Forward Madison's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 58%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Forward Madison has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.38 per game. Spokane Velocity takes 11.8 shots per game, while Forward Madison takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Spokane Velocity leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.54 goals per game after halftime. Forward Madison leads at halftime in 58% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Spokane Velocity's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Forward Madison, it is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL League One games average 2.90 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Spokane Velocity holds a clear table advantage (5th) over Forward Madison (8th) and a superior goal differential at home (+6 versus -2 on the guests’ road games). The hosts have scored 17 goals this season (5 in the last 5 matches) and concede 1.13 goals per home match, while the visitors have 21 goals this season (9 in the last 5) and concede 1.38 on the road. Spokane generates more chances — 11.63 shots per home match with 3.13 on target and a 16% conversion rate, versus Forward Madison’s 9.63 shots, 3.5 on target and 12% conversion; the hosts also enjoy higher possession (53% vs 46%). A major home advantage is only 13% of home matches without scoring compared to 38% of the visitors’ away matches without a goal, alongside a higher clean sheet rate for the hosts (25% vs 13%); in the last 5 matches the hosts averaged 1.2 points and the visitors 1.4 points. Considering an 88% home win rate for Spokane, similar xG (1.36 for Spokane vs 1.22 for Forward Madison) and the hosts’ superiority in chance creation, a home win is more likely (60%), draw 20%, away win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistically the BTTS scenario is strongly supported: Spokane has a season BTTS rate of 75% versus Forward Madison’s 50%, the league BTTS is 56%, and in the last 5 matches both teams have BTTS in 60% of games. Offensively Spokane is clearly stronger: season goals 3.0 and xG 2.05 with 7.25 shots on target and 19.0 shots per match, while Forward average 1.13 goals, xG 1.22, 3.5 shots on target and 9.63 shots. Defensively Forward concede more — season 1.38 goals and conceded xG 1.43 versus Spokane, who concede 0.75 goals seasonally and have a 25% clean sheet rate; this increases the likelihood that the visitors will be scored on. In the short term Spokane look worse form-wise — in the last 5 matches they scored 5 goals total (1.0 per game) and conceded 9 (1.8 per game), while Forward over the same period scored 9 (1.8) and conceded 6 (1.2), which confirms a realistic chance for both teams to get on the scoresheet. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at 70% (Yes) versus 30% (No) and recommend: yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Spokane Velocity average 3.0 goals scored per home game with an xG of 2.05 from 19.0 shots and 7.25 on target, while Forward Madison have an attacking xG of 1.22, average 9.63 shots (3.5 on target) and concede 1.38 goals away. Combined xG (2.05 vs away defense 1.43 and 1.22 vs home defense 1.09) gives estimated 1.74 goals for Spokane ((2.05+1.43)/2) and 1.16 for Madison ((1.22+1.09)/2), totaling 2.90 expected goals. A distribution model around a 2.90 total projects roughly a 79% probability of Over 1.5, ~55% for Over 2.5 and ~33% for Over 3.5 (Unders: 21%, 45%, 67%). Season data reinforce these signals: Spokane have 100% of home matches Over 1.5 and 75% Over 2.5, and 75% of home games featured goals from both sides, boosting the likelihood of at least two goals. Based on this, I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (over, 1.5) — high home goals average 3.0, shot advantage 19.0 vs 9.63 and estimated total 2.90 support this selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is Spokane Velocity leading at half-time and winning at full-time (1/1), because at home Spokane led at the break in 4 of 4 matches (100%), scoring an average of 1.5 goals by half-time and conceding none (0.0). On the season the home side averages 3.0 goals per game and concedes 0.75, while Forward Madison averages 1.13 scored and 1.38 conceded, with home win percentages of 75% versus 38% for the visitors. The quality gap is also visible in xG and shots — Spokane’s xG is 2.05 compared to 1.22 for the visitors, and they average 19 shots (7.25 on target) versus Forward Madison’s 9.63 (3.5 on target). At the same time Spokane concedes more often after the break (0.75 in the second half) and have 75% BTTS at home, so a realistic course is a lead at the break and a final win with a permissible scoreline of 2-1. Based on these numbers I assigned a 64% probability to 1/1, 21% to 1/X, 6% to X/1, 5% to X/X and 1% each to the remaining scenarios.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Spokane Velocity | Forward Madison | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Forward Madison is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Spokane Velocity · 2 pts / game - Forward Madison
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forward Madison is 34% better for: goals scored per game.
1.31 goals / game - Spokane Velocity · 1.75 goals / game - Forward Madison
Forward Madison is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.31 goals / game - Spokane Velocity · 1.17 goals / game - Forward Madison
Spokane Velocity scores in 69% of games (9 of 13 meczów), while Forward Madison keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 meczów).
Forward Madison scores in 75% of games (9 of 12 meczów), while Spokane Velocity keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Spokane Velocity
Over / Under - Forward Madison
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forward Madison is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / game - Spokane Velocity · 1.92 pts / game - Forward Madison
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spokane Velocity - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Forward Madison - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 58% of games and wins 50%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Spokane Velocity
Forward Madison
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Spokane Velocity | Liga | Forward Madison | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.62 | 2.90 | • 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 57% | • 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 59% | • 58% |
| Clean sheets | • 23% | 24% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 73% | ▲ 92% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 82% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Spokane Velocity's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Forward Madison. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison?
The USL League One match finished Spokane Velocity 0:1 Forward Madison. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Spokane Velocity and Forward Madison?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Spokane Velocity won 2, Forward Madison won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison?
Spokane Velocity score 1.31 goals per game on average and Forward Madison 1.75. The USL League One average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Spokane Velocity's matches and 58% of Forward Madison's.
What form are Spokane Velocity and Forward Madison in?
Over the last 5 games Spokane Velocity have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Forward Madison 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.