Sporting Braga vs Vitória Guimarães: match statistics
Sporting Braga are displaying significantly better home form with a 60% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +15 in home matches. The hosts have won four of their last five home games, conceding only 2 goals in their last 5 matches overall, which points to a solid defense. Vitória Guimarães have very poor away results – 60% losses, a mere 30% win rate, and a negative goal difference of -8, while failing to score in half of their away matches. The difference in quality is also evident in the xG statistics: Braga generates an average of 1.55 xG at home while conceding 0.88 xG, whereas Guimarães on the road achieve 1.43 xG but concede as many as 1.31 xG. Considering all these factors, especially Braga's home advantage and the visitors' poor away form, the hosts are the clear favorites.
Sporting Braga vs Vitória Guimarães: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sporting Braga played against Vitória Guimarães in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Sporting Braga has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Vitória Guimarães has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Sporting Braga scores 2.05 goals per game and allows 0.91. Vitória Guimarães scores 1.14 and allows 1.41. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 45% of Sporting Braga's games and 41% of Vitória Guimarães's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 45%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sporting Braga has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.45 per game. Sporting Braga takes 13.1 shots per game, while Vitória Guimarães takes 13.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Sporting Braga leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. Vitória Guimarães leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.59 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sporting Braga's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (11 goals). For Vitória Guimarães, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sporting Braga are displaying significantly better home form with a 60% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +15 in home matches. The hosts have won four of their last five home games, conceding only 2 goals in their last 5 matches overall, which points to a solid defense. Vitória Guimarães have very poor away results – 60% losses, a mere 30% win rate, and a negative goal difference of -8, while failing to score in half of their away matches. The difference in quality is also evident in the xG statistics: Braga generates an average of 1.55 xG at home while conceding 0.88 xG, whereas Guimarães on the road achieve 1.43 xG but concede as many as 1.31 xG. Considering all these factors, especially Braga's home advantage and the visitors' poor away form, the hosts are the clear favorites.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sporting Braga | Vitória Guimarães | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sporting Braga is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Sporting Braga · 1.2 pts / game - Vitória Guimarães
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting Braga is 80% better for: goals scored per game.
2.05 goals / game - Sporting Braga · 1.14 goals / game - Vitória Guimarães
Sporting Braga is 55% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.91 goals / game - Sporting Braga · 1.41 goals / game - Vitória Guimarães
Sporting Braga scores in 86% of games (19 of 22 meczów), while Vitória Guimarães keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).
Vitória Guimarães scores in 64% of games (14 of 22 meczów), while Sporting Braga keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sporting Braga
Over / Under - Vitória Guimarães
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting Braga is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / game - Sporting Braga · 1.18 pts / game - Vitória Guimarães
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sporting Braga - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Vitória Guimarães - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +8 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sporting Braga
Vitória Guimarães
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Sporting Braga | Liga | Vitória Guimarães | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.95 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | • 45% | 46% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 56% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 30% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 95% | 71% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 79% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Sporting Braga's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Vitória Guimarães. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Sporting Braga vs Vitória Guimarães?
The Liga NOS match finished Sporting Braga 3:2 Vitória Guimarães. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sporting Braga vs Vitória Guimarães?
Sporting Braga score 2.05 goals per game on average and Vitória Guimarães 1.14. The Liga NOS average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Sporting Braga's matches and 41% of Vitória Guimarães's.
What form are Sporting Braga and Vitória Guimarães in?
Over the last 5 games Sporting Braga have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Vitória Guimarães 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sporting Braga vs Vitória Guimarães?
The statistical background for Sporting Braga vs Vitória Guimarães — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.