Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven: match statistics
Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sporting Charleroi played against OH Leuven in Pro League (Belgium). The game was played on May 19, 2026. Venue: Stade du Pays de Charleroi. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Sporting Charleroi has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. OH Leuven has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Sporting Charleroi scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 1.29. OH Leuven scores 1.05 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.67 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Sporting Charleroi's games and 47% of OH Leuven's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 47%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sporting Charleroi has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.41 per game. Sporting Charleroi takes 12.7 shots per game, while OH Leuven takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Sporting Charleroi leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.61 goals per game after halftime. OH Leuven leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.55 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sporting Charleroi's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For OH Leuven, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Pro League games average 2.67 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win for Sporting Charleroi (1). At home Charleroi shows superior offensive metrics: 1.32 goals per game, 13.47 shots per match of which 4.68 are on target, and xG 1.54, whereas OH Leuven away averages 0.95 goals, 11.21 shots (3.53 on target) and xG 1.25. The defensive gap is even more pronounced — hosts concede 1.32 goals per home game and have let in 2 goals in the last 5 matches, while Leuven concedes 1.68 on the road and have shipped 9 goals in their last 5. Charleroi is also more efficient in finishing chances (conversion 10% vs 8%) and less likely to finish goalless (21% of matches without scoring vs 37% for Leuven), and form confirms the edge: hosts average 2.0 points per game in the last 5 matches versus 0.8 for the visitors. Given the xG advantage, better recent defensive record and a neutral goal differential at home (0) versus -14 for Leuven on the road, a Charleroi win looks more likely, with a moderate probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS of 47% (Sporting Charleroi 47%, OH Leuven 47%), below the league average of 54%, so this match shows lower tendencies for both teams to score than the league average. In the last 5 matches Charleroi has BTTS only 20% versus 40% for Leuven; the home side conceded a total of 2 goals in those five games (0.4 per game), while Leuven conceded 9 goals (1.8 per game), clearly indicating better defensive form for Charleroi. Offensive metrics also favor the hosts: 1.56 xG vs 1.25 xG for Leuven, 14.47 shots per game vs 11.21 and 4.68 shots on target vs 3.53, with an equal conversion rate of 8%, meaning Charleroi creates more and can control the match. Seasonally Leuven concedes 1.68 goals per game vs 1.32 for Charleroi, and both teams have only 26% of matches with a clean sheet expected this season; combined with the lower seasonal BTTS (47% vs 54% league) and home form (dwwwl vs lldlw) this signals No Goal. On this basis I assess BTTS probability at 38% and No BTTS at 62% and select 'No' as the recommended tip.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for both teams is approximately 2.97: home xG 1.56 and xG against the away defense 1.83 yield an expectation of ~1.70 goals for Sporting Charleroi, while away xG 1.25 and xG against the home defense 1.30 yield ~1.27 for OH Leuven. Season statistics show both teams have 74% of matches with more than 1.5 goals, so Over 1.5 has a strong historical signal; by comparison Over 2.5 occurs in 47% of both teams’ matches, giving a moderate chance to exceed 2.5. Charleroi averages 14.47 shots and 4.68 on target with an 8% conversion, and Leuven 11.21 and 3.53 on target with an 8% conversion, supporting the higher xG for the home side (1.56 vs 1.25). In the last 5 matches Leuven had 60% of games over 2.5 goals versus 0% for Charleroi, which introduces variability, but the total expected goals of 2.97 and the high season rate of matches over 1.5 (74%) argue for at least two goals. Additionally, both teams have a 47% rate of BTTS, and the season rate of matches with at least 0.5 goals is 95% for the home side and 89% for the away side; therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest and most probable signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time with the home side winning at full-time (X/1), because both teams drew at the break in 47% (Sporting Charleroi) and 53% (OH Leuven) of their matches, which strongly signals a half-time draw. The home side has higher xG and better attacking activity: Charleroi’s xG is 1.56 versus 1.25 for the visitors, and the hosts average 4.68 shots on target compared to 3.53 for OH Leuven, increasing the chances of scoring after the break. Particularly notable is OH Leuven’s defensive weakness after the break – the visitors concede an average of 1.21 goals in the second half versus 0.74 for Charleroi and have conceded as many as 11 goals in the 46–60 minute interval, so a post-break decision is likely. In the first half Charleroi average 0.63 goals while OH Leuven average 0.37, hence a greater probability of a narrow half-time draw (0:0 or 1:1), whereas the hosts’ superiority in the second 45 minutes is supported by form. Therefore I assign a 38% probability to X/1 as the strongest signal, 15% to 1/1 and 18% to X/X, reflecting the frequent first-half draws (47–53%) and Charleroi’s better post-break metrics (xG 1.56 vs 1.25).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sporting Charleroi | OH Leuven | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sporting Charleroi is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Sporting Charleroi · 0.8 pts / game - OH Leuven
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting Charleroi is 18% better for: goals scored per game.
1.24 goals / game - Sporting Charleroi · 1.05 goals / game - OH Leuven
Sporting Charleroi is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.29 goals / game - Sporting Charleroi · 1.5 goals / game - OH Leuven
Sporting Charleroi scores in 76% of games (29 of 38 meczów), while OH Leuven keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 meczów).
OH Leuven scores in 66% of games (25 of 38 meczów), while Sporting Charleroi keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sporting Charleroi
Over / Under - OH Leuven
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting Charleroi is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / game - Sporting Charleroi · 1.13 pts / game - OH Leuven
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sporting Charleroi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 34%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
OH Leuven - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -8 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sporting Charleroi
OH Leuven
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Sporting Charleroi | Liga | OH Leuven | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.53 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 54% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 71% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- OH LeuvenGoalMoyé Christ Souanga
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Sporting Charleroi's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against OH Leuven. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven?
The Pro League match finished Sporting Charleroi 1:1 OH Leuven. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sporting Charleroi and OH Leuven?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Sporting Charleroi won 1, OH Leuven won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven?
Sporting Charleroi score 1.24 goals per game on average and OH Leuven 1.05. The Pro League average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Sporting Charleroi's matches and 47% of OH Leuven's.
What form are Sporting Charleroi and OH Leuven in?
Over the last 5 games Sporting Charleroi have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and OH Leuven 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.