Sporting Covilhã vs Caldas: match statistics
Sporting Covilhã are displaying poor home form with just 11% wins at home and a high draw rate (56%). The hosts score an average of only 0.56 goals per match in home games, with 56% of matches ending without a goal, indicating serious offensive issues. Caldas have a better away record with 33% wins, but their recent away form is concerning with four losses in their last five away matches. Both teams have an identical average of goals conceded per match (1.22), and their xG values are similar, suggesting a balanced contest. Considering the hosts' high tendency for draws, the poor form of both teams, and Caldas's slight overall advantage, the most likely scenario is a points split.
Sporting Covilhã vs Caldas: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sporting Covilhã played against Caldas in Liga 3 (Portugal). The game was played on February 22, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Sporting Covilhã has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Caldas has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Sporting Covilhã scores 0.68 goals per game and allows 1.26. Caldas scores 1.00 and allows 1.26. Games in this league average 2.18 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Sporting Covilhã's games and 47% of Caldas's. The Over 2.5 rates are 32% and 42%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 37% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Caldas has the higher season xG average, 1.24 to 0.96 per game. Sporting Covilhã takes 6.8 shots per game, while Caldas takes 9.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Sporting Covilhã leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.37 goals per game after halftime. Caldas leads at halftime in 16% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sporting Covilhã's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Caldas, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 3 games average 2.18 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 37% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sporting Covilhã are displaying poor home form with just 11% wins at home and a high draw rate (56%). The hosts score an average of only 0.56 goals per match in home games, with 56% of matches ending without a goal, indicating serious offensive issues. Caldas have a better away record with 33% wins, but their recent away form is concerning with four losses in their last five away matches. Both teams have an identical average of goals conceded per match (1.22), and their xG values are similar, suggesting a balanced contest. Considering the hosts' high tendency for draws, the poor form of both teams, and Caldas's slight overall advantage, the most likely scenario is a points split.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sporting Covilhã | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Caldas is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Sporting Covilhã · 1.2 pts / game - Caldas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caldas is 47% better for: goals scored per game.
0.68 goals / game - Sporting Covilhã · 1 goals / game - Caldas
Sporting Covilhã scores in 53% of games (10 of 19 meczów), while Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 meczów).
Caldas scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while Sporting Covilhã keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sporting Covilhã
Over / Under - Caldas
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting Covilhã is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Sporting Covilhã · 0.95 pts / game - Caldas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sporting Covilhã - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 16%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Caldas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sporting Covilhã
Caldas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Sporting Covilhã | Liga | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.95 | 2.18 | • 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 46% | • 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 37% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 33% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 64% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 73% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Sporting CovilhãSubstitutionOn: Tomás Costa Branco novais OliveiraOff: Fábio Alexandre Ferreira Cruz
Head-to-head
Record from Sporting Covilhã's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Caldas. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Sporting Covilhã vs Caldas?
The Liga 3 match finished Sporting Covilhã 1:0 Caldas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sporting Covilhã and Caldas?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sporting Covilhã won 1, Caldas won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sporting Covilhã vs Caldas?
Sporting Covilhã score 0.68 goals per game on average and Caldas 1.00. The Liga 3 average is 2.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Sporting Covilhã's matches and 47% of Caldas's.
What form are Sporting Covilhã and Caldas in?
Over the last 5 games Sporting Covilhã have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Caldas 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sporting Covilhã vs Caldas?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.