Sporting CP vs Santa Clara: match statistics
Sporting CP vs Santa Clara: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sporting CP played against Santa Clara in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on April 3, 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Recent form
Sporting CP has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Santa Clara has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Sporting CP scores 2.62 goals per game and allows 0.58. Santa Clara scores 0.89 and allows 1.15. Games in this league average 2.71 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Sporting CP's games and 41% of Santa Clara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 69% and 33%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sporting CP has the higher season xG average, 2.02 to 1.27 per game. Sporting CP takes 17.9 shots per game, while Santa Clara takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Sporting CP leads at halftime in 58% of its games and scores 1.54 goals per game after halftime. Santa Clara leads at halftime in 11% and scores 0.52 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sporting CP's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (18 goals). For Santa Clara, it is minutes 0-15 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.71 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sporting CP is the clear favorite in this match — at home they score an average of 3.0 goals and concede only 0.33 goals per game, have an 83% win rate and 75% clean sheets in home matches. Their home xG averages 2.24 versus xG against 0.8, and the hosts average 19.83 shots per game (7.75 on target) with 60% possession, indicating a large advantage in chance quality. Santa Clara on the road scores 0.85 goals on average, concedes 1.31 goals and averages 12.77 shots (3.46 on target), with a conversion rate around 7% and 38% of away games without scoring. The difference in goal differential (Sporting +32 at home vs Santa Clara -6 away) and the superiority in xG (2.24 vs 1.3) and shots on target (7.75 vs 3.46) all point clearly to the hosts. Although both teams have won 3 of their last 5 matches overall, the gap in chance quality (xG 2.24 vs 1.3) and defensive stability (0.33 goals conceded per home game for the hosts versus 1.31 for the visitors) leads to backing a Sporting win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project a 60% probability for BTTS = No and 40% for BTTS - Yes. Sporting at home records a 43% clean sheet rate and a season average of goals conceded of 1.0 (1.2 in the last 5), indicating strong ability by the home side to limit opponents. Santa Clara scores only 0.85 goals per game this season and has a 15% clean sheet rate away, despite a season BTTS rate of 46%; this means they occasionally feature in matches with both teams scoring but their overall scoring output is low. Season BTTS rates are 36% for Sporting and 46% for Santa Clara versus a league level of 46%, and the last 5 matches average for both teams is 40% each, yielding a raw average of about 42% for Yes and 58% for No (I round to a 40/60 split for the recommendation). Additionally, xG shows similar attacking potential (xG_for 1.25 Sporting vs 1.30 Santa Clara) with shot conversion of 8% vs 7%, but Sporting’s higher clean sheet percentage and Santa Clara’s low goals average (0.85) tip the balance in favor of the No option (clean sheet expected/defensive struggle).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model gives Sporting 1.23 goals (xG_for_home 1.25 vs xG_against_away 1.21) and Santa Clara 1.20 (xG_for_away 1.30 vs xG_against_home 1.09), totaling 2.43 expected goals. With λ=2.43 the Poisson distribution yields roughly a 70% chance of at least 2 goals in the match (Over 1.5) with P(0)+P(1)≈30%, while Over 2.5 is estimated at ~44%. Additionally, Sporting scored an average of 2.4 goals in the last 5 matches (12 goals) and Santa averaged 1.4 goals (7 goals), and the Over 2.5 rate in the last 5 is 80% for the home side vs 20% for the away side, which strengthens the signal for more than 1.5 goals. Seasonal data, however, show moderate caution for over 2.5 (36% Sporting, 31% Santa), so I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest play.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I select the 1/1 scenario (Sporting leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time) because in 3 of the last 5 matches Sporting led at the break (60%) and in the last 5 fixtures they averaged 0.8 goals by Half-Time versus 0.6 for Santa Clara. Despite similar xG (Sporting 1.25 vs Santa Clara 1.30), Sporting converts chances better (conversion rate 8% vs 7%) and has a higher proportion of clean sheets at home (43% vs Santa Clara’s 15% away), and keeps a clean sheet at Half-Time in 64% of cases. Additionally Sporting scored 5 goals in minutes 0–15 and conceded only 1, while Santa Clara conceded 4 goals in those minutes, which increases the probability of the home side scoring before the break. For these reasons the 1/1 bet is the strongest signal; alternatively X/1 or X/X are possible but less likely given the above figures.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sporting CP | Santa Clara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sporting CP is 18% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Sporting CP · 2.2 pts / game - Santa Clara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting CP is 194% better for: goals scored per game.
2.62 goals / game - Sporting CP · 0.89 goals / game - Santa Clara
Sporting CP is 98% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.58 goals / game - Sporting CP · 1.15 goals / game - Santa Clara
Sporting CP scores in 100% of games (26 of 26 meczów), while Santa Clara keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 meczów).
Santa Clara scores in 63% of games (17 of 27 meczów), while Sporting CP keeps a clean sheet in 50% (13 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sporting CP
Over / Under - Santa Clara
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting CP is 121% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.12 pts / game - Sporting CP · 0.96 pts / game - Santa Clara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sporting CP - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 58% of games and wins 77%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Santa Clara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Sporting CP | Liga | Santa Clara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.19 | 2.71 | ▼ 2.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 56% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 30% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 70% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 79% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Sporting CP's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Santa Clara. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Sporting CP vs Santa Clara?
The Liga NOS match finished Sporting CP 4:2 Santa Clara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sporting CP vs Santa Clara?
Sporting CP score 2.62 goals per game on average and Santa Clara 0.89. The Liga NOS average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Sporting CP's matches and 41% of Santa Clara's.
What form are Sporting CP and Santa Clara in?
Over the last 5 games Sporting CP have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Santa Clara 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sporting CP vs Santa Clara?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.