Paraguay - Division ProfesionalData current as of 23 July 2026

Sportivo Luqueño vs Nacional Asunción: match statistics

125%(3.68)
X25%(2.80)
250%(2.20)

Nacional Asunción displays significantly better form in the last five matches with a record of 4 wins and 1 draw (form: wwwdw), resulting in an impressive 2.6 points per match. The visiting team has scored 9 goals in the last 5 meetings without conceding a single one, proving excellent defensive organization and attacking efficiency. Sportivo Luqueño has weaker form with only 2 victories in the last 5 matches (form: lwllw) and an 8:10 goal difference, indicating defensive problems. Although the hosts won their last match of the season 2:1, Nacional also won 1:0 in the current season without conceding, confirming their solidity. Given the clear advantage in form and defense of the visitors, Nacional Asunción has a higher chance of victory in this match.

Sportivo Luqueño vs Nacional Asunción: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sportivo Luqueño play Nacional Asunción in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match date is 27 January 2026 at 22:00. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Sportivo Luqueño: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Nacional Asunción: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sportivo Luqueño scores 1.09 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Nacional Asunción scores 1.41 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.44 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sportivo Luqueño 64%, Nacional Asunción 68%. Over 2.5: Sportivo Luqueño 55%, Nacional Asunción 45%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Nacional Asunción has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.25. Sportivo Luqueño: 11.4 shots per match, Nacional Asunción: 12.6.

Match halves

Sportivo Luqueño: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.41. Nacional Asunción: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.86.

Goals by minute

Sportivo Luqueño: 31-45+ (6 goals). Nacional Asunción: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

5 H2H matches: 2-1-2. Average goals 3.40, BTTS 80%.

Match description

Nacional Asunción displays significantly better form in the last five matches with a record of 4 wins and 1 draw (form: wwwdw), resulting in an impressive 2.6 points per match. The visiting team has scored 9 goals in the last 5 meetings without conceding a single one, proving excellent defensive organization and attacking efficiency. Sportivo Luqueño has weaker form with only 2 victories in the last 5 matches (form: lwllw) and an 8:10 goal difference, indicating defensive problems. Although the hosts won their last match of the season 2:1, Nacional also won 1:0 in the current season without conceding, confirming their solidity. Given the clear advantage in form and defense of the visitors, Nacional Asunción has a higher chance of victory in this match.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
14Shots7
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
5Shots on target4
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
1.53xG0.94
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
4Corners4
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
41Dangerous attacks29
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
8Fouls12
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
1Cards2
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
1.09Goals scored / match1.41
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
1.5Goals conceded / match1
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
48%Average possession53%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
4.18Shots on target / match4.09
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.45Shots per match12.64
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
4.18Shots on target4.09
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
9.5%Shot conversion11.2%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
48%Possession53%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
1.25xG for1.34
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
1.44xG against1.09
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción

Shooting quality

Sportivo Luqueño: BalancedNacional Asunción: Balanced
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
Accuracy (shots on target)37%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nacional Asunción is 160% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 2.6 pts / match - Nacional Asunción

Sportivo Luqueño
WDLDL
Season result split
23% W23% R55% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-12
0.91 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-7
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Nacional Asunción
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
45% W41% R14% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-9-3
1.77 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-6-2
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DLDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 0.91BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nacional Asunción is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

1.09 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.41 goals / match - Nacional Asunción

Nacional Asunción is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1 goals / match - Nacional Asunción

Sportivo Luqueño scoring profile: strong

Sportivo Luqueño scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).

Nacional Asunción scoring profile: very strong

Nacional Asunción scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Sportivo Luqueño keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).

24Goals scored (season)31
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
33Goals conceded (season)22
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
2.59Average goals in match2.41
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
5Goals scored (last 5)8
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal86%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
41%2 goals36%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
5%3 goals9%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
0%4 goals5%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción

How often they concede at least...

91%1 goal73%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
45%2 goals23%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
14%3 goals5%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
0%4 goals0%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
Sportivo Luqueño - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 22 matches
68%
Nacional Asunción - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 22 matches
51%
League average

Goal patterns

36%BTTS at half-time32%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
9%BTTS in both halves0%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
23%Scored in both halves18%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
60%BTTS - last 580%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sportivo Luqueño is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.23 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.14 pts / match - Nacional Asunción

Sportivo Luqueño - half-time state
23% leading55% draw23% trailing
Nacional Asunción - half-time state
23% leading45% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.23Points per match (1st half)1.14
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.55
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
1.36Average goals (1st half)1.18
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
45%Clean sheet before half-time45%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
50%No goal before half-time55%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción

After half-time (2nd half)

0.82Points per match (2nd half)1.77
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
0.41Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)0.36
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
1.23Average goals (2nd half)1.23
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
36%Clean sheet after half-time73%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción
64%No goal after half-time41%
Sportivo LuqueñoNacional Asunción

Sportivo Luqueño - second-half results

14% W41% R45% P
27
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nacional Asunción - second-half results

45% W41% R14% P
25
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding196%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Sportivo Luqueño - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Nacional Asunción - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.00
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sportivo Luqueño
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
5
6
16-30
6
6
31-45
4
9
46-60
2
4
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Nacional Asunción
ScoredConceded
2
6
0-15
5
3
16-30
5
5
31-45
5
2
46-60
4
3
61-75
10
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+36%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sportivo Luqueño

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
143%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Nacional Asunción

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
134%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.83
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).

Teams vs league

Sportivo LuqueñoLigaNacional Asunción
Average goals in match 2.592.44 2.41
Both teams scored 64%51% 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 55%43% 45%
Clean sheets 9%29% 27%
Goal before half-time 68%63% 68%
Goal after half-time 77%78% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.44
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / match
1.05
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Sportivo Luqueño 2 - 1 - 2 Nacional Asunción. Average goals 3.40, both teams scored in 80% matches.

Nacional Asunción
3 : 2
Sportivo Luqueño
Club Nacional
1 : 1
Club Sportivo Luqueño
Club Sportivo Luqueño
2 : 1
Club Nacional
Club Nacional
4 : 0
Club Sportivo Luqueño
Club Sportivo Luqueño
2 : 1
Club Nacional

FAQ

What was the result of Sportivo Luqueño vs Nacional Asunción?

The Division Profesional match finished Sportivo Luqueño 1:2 Nacional Asunción. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Sportivo Luqueño and Nacional Asunción?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Luqueño won 2, Nacional Asunción won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Sportivo Luqueño vs Nacional Asunción?

Sportivo Luqueño score 1.09 goals per game on average and Nacional Asunción 1.41. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Sportivo Luqueño's matches and 68% of Nacional Asunción's.

What form are Sportivo Luqueño and Nacional Asunción in?

Over the last 5 games Sportivo Luqueño have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Nacional Asunción 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sportivo Luqueño vs Nacional Asunción?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.