St. Louis City II vs North Texas: match statistics
St. Louis City II vs North Texas: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
St. Louis City II played against North Texas in MLS Next Pro (United States). The game was played on May 30, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
St. Louis City II has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. North Texas has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
St. Louis City II scores 1.92 goals per game and allows 1.42. North Texas scores 1.83 and allows 1.42. Games in this league average 3.23 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of St. Louis City II's games and 58% of North Texas's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 58%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
St. Louis City II has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.41 per game. St. Louis City II takes 13.7 shots per game, while North Texas takes 11.6.
First-half and second-half trends
St. Louis City II leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.08 goals per game after halftime. North Texas leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
St. Louis City II's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For North Texas, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS Next Pro games average 3.23 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
St. Louis City II holds a clear advantage in chance creation: averaging 54% possession and 16.5 shots with 6.83 on target per home match, versus 46% possession and 10 shots with 3.86 on target away for North Texas. This translates into a higher expected goals for the hosts (xG 1.97) compared to the visitors (xG 1.24) and a home goals average of 2.33 versus 1.43 for North Texas on the road; additionally the hosts have scored in all home matches (0% matches without a goal), while North Texas failed to score in 43% of away games. A caveat is St. Louis City II’s recent form: only 1 win in the last five matches, 5 goals scored and 10 conceded, averaging 1 point per game, while North Texas over the same period has 2 wins, 9 goals and averages 1.4 points per game. The visitors’ defense looks vulnerable in terms of quality of opposition chances — average xG against for North Texas away is 2.0 with only 14% clean sheets, versus 1.3 xG against and 33% clean sheets for the hosts. Considering the superiority in possession, shots and xG plus the home advantage, I favor a St. Louis City II win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
St. Louis City II have a season BTTS rate of 80% and 0% clean sheets, meaning both teams scored in 80% of their matches. The home side average 2.4 goals (xG 1.66) and register 6.0 shots on target from 13.8 attempts per game, while North Texas average 1.43 goals (xG 1.24) and 3.86 shots on target from 10.0 attempts, but concede 2.0 xG on average. In the last 5 matches St. Louis conceded 10 goals (2.0 per game) and scored 5 (1.0 per game), and North Texas scored 9 (1.8 per game) and conceded 6 (1.2 per game), indicating both teams have recently been creating and conceding chances. Considering the league BTTS level of 61% and an average goals total of 3.22, plus the home attack advantage and St. Louis’ 0% clean sheets, I assess BTTS (Both Teams To Score / BTTS - Yes) probability at 68% and No Goal at 32%, therefore the "Yes" selection is the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The analysis indicates significant goal potential: St. Louis City II averages 2.4 goals per game, North Texas 1.43, and xG is 1.66 (home) vs 1.24 (away), yielding estimated xG of 1.83 for the home side and 1.51 for the away side (total 3.34). Additionally, hosts average 6.0 shots on target versus 3.86 for visitors, and the home conversion rate is 17% versus 14% for guests, which supports a higher-scoring scenario. St. Louis has 100% of matches over 1.5 goals this season, and North Texas 71%, so Over 1.5 is virtually certain statistically. 80% of home matches have finished Over 2.5 goals, and the league averages 3.22 goals per game, therefore Over 2.5 also looks attractive but has a lower probability than Over 1.5. Based on this, I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the strongest and most likely signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
St. Louis City II has a clear offensive edge: the home side averages 2.4 goals per game with an xG of 1.66 versus 1.43 goals and xG 1.24 for North Texas, alongside 6.0 on-target shots per match for the hosts compared to 3.86 for the visitors and a higher conversion rate (17% vs 14%). Despite this, North Texas more often holds the lead at the break — the visitors led in 4 matches (57%) while St. Louis led in 2 (40%), which is reinforced by the fact that visitors frequently score before half-time (North Texas 5 goals in 31–45' vs St. Louis 2). The key signal is the second half: the hosts average 2.2 points after the break and have won the second half in 60% of cases, whereas the visitors average only 0.43 points and have 0% second-half wins, so St. Louis has a real ability for a turnaround. Additionally, both teams score at the home ground in 80% of matches and the defensive gap is small (St. Louis concedes 1.6 goals on average vs 1.29 for the visitors), which supports a scenario of the visitors leading at half-time and the hosts winning after the break; therefore my most likely pick is HT/FT 2/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| St. Louis City II | North Texas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
North Texas is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - St. Louis City II · 1.4 pts / game - North Texas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
St. Louis City II is 5% better for: goals scored per game.
1.92 goals / game - St. Louis City II · 1.83 goals / game - North Texas
St. Louis City II scores in 92% of games (11 of 12 meczów), while North Texas keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 meczów).
North Texas scores in 67% of games (8 of 12 meczów), while St. Louis City II keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St. Louis City II
Over / Under - North Texas
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Louis City II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
North Texas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
St. Louis City II
North Texas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| St. Louis City II | Liga | North Texas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.33 | 3.23 | • 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▼ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 66% | ▼ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 22% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 84% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from St. Louis City II's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against North Texas. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Louis City II vs North Texas?
The MLS Next Pro match finished St. Louis City II 2:0 North Texas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between St. Louis City II and North Texas?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches St. Louis City II won 3, North Texas won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Louis City II vs North Texas?
St. Louis City II score 1.92 goals per game on average and North Texas 1.83. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 67% of St. Louis City II's matches and 58% of North Texas's.
What form are St. Louis City II and North Texas in?
Over the last 5 games St. Louis City II have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and North Texas 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Louis City II vs North Texas?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for St. Louis City II vs North Texas: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.