St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC: match statistics
St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
St. Louis City played against Los Angeles FC in MLS (United States). The game was played on May 14, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
St. Louis City has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Los Angeles FC has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
St. Louis City scores 0.91 goals per game and allows 1.64. Los Angeles FC scores 1.67 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 3.27 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of St. Louis City's games and 33% of Los Angeles FC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 27% and 50%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
St. Louis City has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.50 per game. St. Louis City takes 13.7 shots per game, while Los Angeles FC takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
St. Louis City leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Los Angeles FC leads at halftime in 25% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
St. Louis City's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Los Angeles FC, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.27 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite is Los Angeles FC: they have 6 wins this season versus St. Louis’s 2 and a superior goal record of 20–12 compared to 10–18. LAFC’s away defense looks solid — 0.8 goals conceded per game on average and 60% clean sheets, while St. Louis concedes 1.5 goals at home and has 0% clean sheets, giving the visitors a clear defensive edge. However, the hosts create more chances: St. Louis’s home xG is 1.97 with 16.5 shots and 6.75 shots on target per game, whereas LAFC away has 1.43 xG and 4.4 shots on target, so St. Louis has realistic scoring potential. In the last 5 matches both teams scored 6 goals each, with St. Louis conceding 10 and LAFC 11, suggesting a risk of an open game with goals from both sides. Considering LAFC’s better overall record (6 wins vs 2), their defensive advantage on the road and the hosts’ chance creation, I predict an away win (50%); home 30%, draw 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I pick BTTS - Yes because in the last 5 matches both teams produced BTTS in 60% of cases, and over that period they conceded on average 2.0 (St. Louis) and 2.2 (LAFC) goals, which increases the likelihood of both scoring. Both sides scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches (avg 1.2 per game) and generate xG 1.45 (St. Louis) vs 1.23 (LAFC), while xG against is 1.42 and 1.83 respectively, meaning both teams create and concede chances. Seasonal signals are mixed: seasonal BTTS is 29% for St. Louis and 40% for LAFC with very high clean sheet percentages of 71% and 60%, which argues against BTTS. However, seasonal xG for 1.55 vs 1.43, shots per game 13.71 vs 12.8 and shots on target 4.71 vs 4.4 show both teams can create opportunities, and the league has 59% BTTS and an average 3.21 goals per game, so overall I favor the "yes" outcome (60% vs 40%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Forecast based on xG: home attack xG = 1.55, away attack xG = 1.43; xG conceded are 1.43 for St. Louis and 1.44 for LAFC, which averaged gives expected goals 1.50 for St. Louis and 1.43 for LAFC, total 2.93 goals. A Poisson distribution with mean 2.93 yields P(0)=5.3% and P(1)=15.6%, so Under 1.5 ≈21% and Over 1.5 ≈79%. Further calculations show P(2)=22.9% (hence Under 2.5 ≈44% / Over 2.5 ≈56%) and P(3)=22.4% (hence Under 3.5 ≈66% / Over 3.5 ≈34%). Seasonal indicators support this picture: St. Louis records Over 1.5 in 71% and Over 2.5 in 57% of matches, LAFC has Over 1.5 in 60% and Over 2.5 in 40% of matches, which reinforces the signal toward the lower Over lines. Additionally, St. Louis averages 13.71 shots with a 15% conversion vs LAFC 12.8 shots and 9% conversion, increasing the likelihood of more goals from the home side.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the most likely outcome is a draw: St. Louis were level at the break in 57% of matches and average 1.0 goal by half-time, while LAFC only average 0.2 goals by half-time, and the home side lead at the break in 29% of cases. After the break the data favor St. Louis — the hosts win 57% of matches this season, have a higher xG (1.55 vs 1.43 for the visitors) and better shot conversion (15% vs 9%), and in 56% of second halves they are dominant and average 1.86 goals in the second half. Additionally St. Louis keep 86% clean sheets at half-time and have a low BTTS rate (29%), which increases the likelihood of a low-scoring, even first act that can be broken after the break by the home team. For these reasons the strongest signal from the data is a half-time draw and a home win at full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| St. Louis City | Los Angeles FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Los Angeles FC is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - St. Louis City · 1 pts / game - Los Angeles FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Los Angeles FC is 84% better for: goals scored per game.
0.91 goals / game - St. Louis City · 1.67 goals / game - Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC is 64% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.64 goals / game - St. Louis City · 1 goals / game - Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City scores in 64% of games (7 of 11 meczów), while Los Angeles FC keeps a clean sheet in 67% (8 of 12 meczów).
Los Angeles FC scores in 83% of games (10 of 12 meczów), while St. Louis City keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St. Louis City
Over / Under - Los Angeles FC
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Los Angeles FC is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / game - St. Louis City · 1.25 pts / game - Los Angeles FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Louis City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Los Angeles FC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| St. Louis City | Liga | Los Angeles FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.55 | 3.27 | ▼ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 60% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 23% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 75% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from St. Louis City's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Los Angeles FC. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
The MLS match finished St. Louis City 2:1 Los Angeles FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
St. Louis City score 0.91 goals per game on average and Los Angeles FC 1.67. The MLS average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 55% of St. Louis City's matches and 33% of Los Angeles FC's.
What form are St. Louis City and Los Angeles FC in?
Over the last 5 games St. Louis City have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Los Angeles FC 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
The statistical background for St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.