St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake: match statistics
St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
St. Louis City played against Real Salt Lake in MLS (United States). The game was played on August 2, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
St. Louis City has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Real Salt Lake has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
St. Louis City scores 1.35 goals per game and allows 1.35. Real Salt Lake scores 1.75 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 3.25 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of St. Louis City's games and 75% of Real Salt Lake's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 75%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Real Salt Lake has the higher season xG average, 1.69 to 1.60 per game. St. Louis City takes 14.4 shots per game, while Real Salt Lake takes 15.4.
First-half and second-half trends
St. Louis City leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. Real Salt Lake leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.69 after halftime.
When the teams score
St. Louis City's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Real Salt Lake, it is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.25 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
St. Louis City are the favorites in this matchup: at home they have a 63% win rate and a +6 goal difference, whereas Real Salt Lake win only 13% of their away games and have a -6 goal difference. The hosts score 1.88 goals per home match on average (xG 1.83) and have netted 12 goals in their last 5 matches, while the visitors average 1.25 goals on the road (xG 1.44) and have 9 goals in their last 5. Real’s defense looks weaker — they concede 2.00 goals per away game on average (xG against 1.58) and have 0% clean sheets away, whereas St. Louis concede 1.13 goals at home and keep clean sheets in 25% of home matches. Additionally, the hosts create more chances: on average 16.25 shots and 5.38 shots on target per home game with a 12% conversion rate, versus 13.5 shots and 4.13 on target for Real (9% conversion). Considering form (St. Louis 4 wins and 1 draw in the last five, PPG 2.6 vs Real 2W-1D-2L, PPG 1.4) and the advantage in chance quality and defense, I predict a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show a strong signal for BTTS - Yes: St. Louis City has a seasonal BTTS rate of 63% (60% in last 5), while Real Salt Lake sits at 88% for the season and 100% in the last 5; league average BTTS is 60%. Real Salt Lake virtually never keeps a clean sheet (0% this season), and St. Louis only in 25% of matches, meaning RSL concedes in 100% of games and St. Louis in 75% of games. xG and shots favor both sides: St. Louis posts xG 1.93 and 7.25 on-target shots on average with xG against 1.29, while RSL has xG 1.44 and 4.13 on-target shots with xG against 1.58, so both teams create and allow scoring opportunities. In the last 5 matches St. Louis scored 12 goals (2.4 avg) and conceded 5 (1.0 avg), RSL scored 9 (1.8 avg) and conceded 8 (1.6 avg), confirming regular scoring and conceding. Considering seasonal BTTS 63%/88%, last-5 60%/100%, clean sheets 0%/25% and the xG and shot-quality profile, I price BTTS at 85% vs 15% and recommend a 'BTTS - Yes' bet as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
St. Louis City scores on average 2.25 goals at home, Real Salt Lake scores 1.25 goals away and concedes 2.00 goals on the road; a simple average of these parameters yields expected 2.13 goals for the home side and 1.12 for the visitors, i.e. roughly 3.25 goals total. xG also confirms a high volume of chances: St. Louis xG_for is 1.93, Real xG_for 1.44, and Real concedes 1.58 xG away, indicating RSL defensive vulnerability. The hosts average 17.25 shots (7.25 on target) versus Real’s 13.5 (4.13 on target), and season Over 1.5 rates are 100% for St. Louis and 88% for RSL, with Over 2.5 at 75% for both teams (last 5 matches Over 2.5: 80%). Additionally, BTTS occurs in 63% of the hosts’ matches and 88% of Real’s matches, increasing the likelihood of at least two goals. As a result, the strongest signal from the data is the over at the 1.5 line (estimated 95%), with strong confirmation for Over 2.5 (estimated 78%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
St. Louis City are clear favorites: average goals 2.25 versus 1.25, points per match 2.63 versus 0.63 and win rate 88% versus 13% for Real Salt Lake. At Half-Time the home side score on average 1.25 goals, have led at the break in 4 matches (50%) and kept a halftime clean sheet in 63% of games, while the visitors average 0.88 goals at Half-Time and led at the break in 3 matches (38%). St. Louis generate more chances: xG 1.93 versus 1.44 and shots on target 7.25 versus 4.13, and with a higher conversion rate (13% versus 9%) they have the better chance to open the scoring and maintain the lead. Real Salt Lake have a high BTTS rate (88%), so an away goal is possible, but their poor away form (seasonPPG_away 0.63 and ppg_2hg_away 0.38) reduces the probability of a turnaround. In light of these figures the most likely scenario is St. Louis leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time, therefore I select 1/1 (HT/FT).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| St. Louis City | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
St. Louis City is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - St. Louis City · 1.4 pts / game - Real Salt Lake
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Salt Lake is 30% better for: goals scored per game.
1.35 goals / game - St. Louis City · 1.75 goals / game - Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.35 goals / game - St. Louis City · 1.5 goals / game - Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City scores in 76% of games (13 of 17 games), while Real Salt Lake keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 games).
Real Salt Lake scores in 88% of games (14 of 16 games), while St. Louis City keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St. Louis City
Over / Under - Real Salt Lake
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Salt Lake is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / game - St. Louis City · 1.75 pts / game - Real Salt Lake
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Louis City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Real Salt Lake - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| St. Louis City | Liga | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.71 | 3.25 | • 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 59% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 22% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 77% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 80% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake?
The MLS match finished St. Louis City 1:1 Real Salt Lake. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake?
St. Louis City score 1.35 goals per game on average and Real Salt Lake 1.75. The MLS average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 59% of St. Louis City's matches and 75% of Real Salt Lake's.
What form are St. Louis City and Real Salt Lake in?
Over the last 5 games St. Louis City have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Real Salt Lake 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.