St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake: match statistics
St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
St. Louis City played Real Salt Lake in MLS (United States). The match was played on 2 August 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
St. Louis City: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Real Salt Lake: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
St. Louis City scores 1.35 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Real Salt Lake scores 1.75 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: St. Louis City 59%, Real Salt Lake 75%. Over 2.5: St. Louis City 41%, Real Salt Lake 75%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Real Salt Lake has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.60. St. Louis City: 14.4 shots per match, Real Salt Lake: 15.4.
Match halves
St. Louis City: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.82. Real Salt Lake: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
St. Louis City: 76-90+ (6 goals). Real Salt Lake: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
St. Louis City are the favorites in this matchup: at home they have a 63% win rate and a +6 goal difference, whereas Real Salt Lake win only 13% of their away games and have a -6 goal difference. The hosts score 1.88 goals per home match on average (xG 1.83) and have netted 12 goals in their last 5 matches, while the visitors average 1.25 goals on the road (xG 1.44) and have 9 goals in their last 5. Real’s defense looks weaker — they concede 2.00 goals per away game on average (xG against 1.58) and have 0% clean sheets away, whereas St. Louis concede 1.13 goals at home and keep clean sheets in 25% of home matches. Additionally, the hosts create more chances: on average 16.25 shots and 5.38 shots on target per home game with a 12% conversion rate, versus 13.5 shots and 4.13 on target for Real (9% conversion). Considering form (St. Louis 4 wins and 1 draw in the last five, PPG 2.6 vs Real 2W-1D-2L, PPG 1.4) and the advantage in chance quality and defense, I predict a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show a strong signal for BTTS - Yes: St. Louis City has a seasonal BTTS rate of 63% (60% in last 5), while Real Salt Lake sits at 88% for the season and 100% in the last 5; league average BTTS is 60%. Real Salt Lake virtually never keeps a clean sheet (0% this season), and St. Louis only in 25% of matches, meaning RSL concedes in 100% of games and St. Louis in 75% of games. xG and shots favor both sides: St. Louis posts xG 1.93 and 7.25 on-target shots on average with xG against 1.29, while RSL has xG 1.44 and 4.13 on-target shots with xG against 1.58, so both teams create and allow scoring opportunities. In the last 5 matches St. Louis scored 12 goals (2.4 avg) and conceded 5 (1.0 avg), RSL scored 9 (1.8 avg) and conceded 8 (1.6 avg), confirming regular scoring and conceding. Considering seasonal BTTS 63%/88%, last-5 60%/100%, clean sheets 0%/25% and the xG and shot-quality profile, I price BTTS at 85% vs 15% and recommend a 'BTTS - Yes' bet as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
St. Louis City scores on average 2.25 goals at home, Real Salt Lake scores 1.25 goals away and concedes 2.00 goals on the road; a simple average of these parameters yields expected 2.13 goals for the home side and 1.12 for the visitors, i.e. roughly 3.25 goals total. xG also confirms a high volume of chances: St. Louis xG_for is 1.93, Real xG_for 1.44, and Real concedes 1.58 xG away, indicating RSL defensive vulnerability. The hosts average 17.25 shots (7.25 on target) versus Real’s 13.5 (4.13 on target), and season Over 1.5 rates are 100% for St. Louis and 88% for RSL, with Over 2.5 at 75% for both teams (last 5 matches Over 2.5: 80%). Additionally, BTTS occurs in 63% of the hosts’ matches and 88% of Real’s matches, increasing the likelihood of at least two goals. As a result, the strongest signal from the data is the over at the 1.5 line (estimated 95%), with strong confirmation for Over 2.5 (estimated 78%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
St. Louis City are clear favorites: average goals 2.25 versus 1.25, points per match 2.63 versus 0.63 and win rate 88% versus 13% for Real Salt Lake. At Half-Time the home side score on average 1.25 goals, have led at the break in 4 matches (50%) and kept a halftime clean sheet in 63% of games, while the visitors average 0.88 goals at Half-Time and led at the break in 3 matches (38%). St. Louis generate more chances: xG 1.93 versus 1.44 and shots on target 7.25 versus 4.13, and with a higher conversion rate (13% versus 9%) they have the better chance to open the scoring and maintain the lead. Real Salt Lake have a high BTTS rate (88%), so an away goal is possible, but their poor away form (seasonPPG_away 0.63 and ppg_2hg_away 0.38) reduces the probability of a turnaround. In light of these figures the most likely scenario is St. Louis leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time, therefore I select 1/1 (HT/FT).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| St. Louis City | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
St. Louis City is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - St. Louis City · 1.4 pts / match - Real Salt Lake
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Salt Lake is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - St. Louis City · 1.75 goals / match - Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - St. Louis City · 1.5 goals / match - Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Real Salt Lake keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
Real Salt Lake scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while St. Louis City keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — St. Louis City
Over / Under — Real Salt Lake
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Salt Lake is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - St. Louis City · 1.75 pts / match - Real Salt Lake
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Louis City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Real Salt Lake - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| St. Louis City | Liga | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.71 | 3.25 | • 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 59% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 22% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 77% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 80% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake?
The MLS match finished St. Louis City 1:1 Real Salt Lake. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake?
St. Louis City score 1.35 goals per game on average and Real Salt Lake 1.75. The MLS average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 59% of St. Louis City's matches and 75% of Real Salt Lake's.
What form are St. Louis City and Real Salt Lake in?
Over the last 5 games St. Louis City have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Real Salt Lake 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.