St. Mirren vs Falkirk: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced rivalry between two teams of similar disposition. St. Mirren presents stable form at home with 50% clean sheets and a goal difference of -1, however, they score an average of just 0.7 goals per match with 50% of games without scoring. Falkirk has weaker form on the road with 50% losses and a goal difference of -7, but their average of 0.8 goals per match and better shot conversion (7% vs 6%) give them a chance for points. Both teams have been earning a similar number of points in the last 5 matches (1.4 vs 1.2 PPG), and their recent meetings are characterized by low offensive efficiency. Considering the high probability of ineffectiveness for both sides (FTS% 50% for both), I predict a draw as the most likely outcome of this fixture.
St. Mirren vs Falkirk: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
St. Mirren played against Falkirk in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on January 10, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
St. Mirren has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Falkirk has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
St. Mirren scores 0.84 goals per game and allows 1.37. Falkirk scores 1.05 and allows 1.35. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of St. Mirren's games and 45% of Falkirk's. The Over 2.5 rates are 37% and 55%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
St. Mirren has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.36 per game. St. Mirren takes 12.4 shots per game, while Falkirk takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
St. Mirren leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.53 goals per game after halftime. Falkirk leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.70 after halftime.
When the teams score
St. Mirren's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Falkirk, it is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premiership games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced rivalry between two teams of similar disposition. St. Mirren presents stable form at home with 50% clean sheets and a goal difference of -1, however, they score an average of just 0.7 goals per match with 50% of games without scoring. Falkirk has weaker form on the road with 50% losses and a goal difference of -7, but their average of 0.8 goals per match and better shot conversion (7% vs 6%) give them a chance for points. Both teams have been earning a similar number of points in the last 5 matches (1.4 vs 1.2 PPG), and their recent meetings are characterized by low offensive efficiency. Considering the high probability of ineffectiveness for both sides (FTS% 50% for both), I predict a draw as the most likely outcome of this fixture.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| St. Mirren | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
St. Mirren is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - St. Mirren · 1.2 pts / game - Falkirk
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Falkirk is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
0.84 goals / game - St. Mirren · 1.05 goals / game - Falkirk
St. Mirren scores in 58% of games (11 of 19 meczów), while Falkirk keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 meczów).
Falkirk scores in 65% of games (13 of 20 meczów), while St. Mirren keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St. Mirren
Over / Under - Falkirk
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
St. Mirren is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / game - St. Mirren · 0.75 pts / game - Falkirk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Mirren - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Falkirk - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
St. Mirren
Falkirk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| St. Mirren | Liga | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.21 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 50% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 29% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 75% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from St. Mirren's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Falkirk. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Mirren vs Falkirk?
The Premiership match finished St. Mirren 0:2 Falkirk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Mirren vs Falkirk?
St. Mirren score 0.84 goals per game on average and Falkirk 1.05. The Premiership average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 42% of St. Mirren's matches and 45% of Falkirk's.
What form are St. Mirren and Falkirk in?
Over the last 5 games St. Mirren have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Falkirk 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Mirren vs Falkirk?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.