Ireland - Premier DivisionData current as of 17 July 2026

St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford: match statistics

St Patrick's Athl. crest
St Patrick's Athl.
4 : 1half-time 1:1
Waterford crest
Waterford

St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

St Patrick's Athl. play Waterford in Premier Division (Ireland). The match date is 8 May 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

St Patrick's Athl.: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Waterford: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

St Patrick's Athl. scores 1.63 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Waterford scores 1.38 and concedes 1.96. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: St Patrick's Athl. 38%, Waterford 63%. Over 2.5: St Patrick's Athl. 38%, Waterford 50%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

St Patrick's Athl. has higher xG: 1.96 vs 1.38. St Patrick's Athl.: 18.0 shots per match, Waterford: 12.7.

Match halves

St Patrick's Athl.: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.92. Waterford: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.79.

Goals by minute

St Patrick's Athl.: 76-90+ (9 goals). Waterford: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier Division: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

6 H2H matches: 3-3-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 67%.

Match description

I back the home win ('1') based on a clear statistical advantage: St Patrick's Athletic sit 2nd, with 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses this season, and win 71% of matches at home. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 14 goals (2.8 per match) and average 2.2 points over their last five, while Waterford have scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches (1.0 per match) and average only 0.6 points. Offensively St Patrick's register 2.29 goals per home game with xG 2.02 and 6.57 shots on target per match, whereas the visitors average 0.86 goals away with xG 1.31 and 3 shots on target, shot conversion 13% vs 7%. Defensively the hosts concede 0.57 goals on average at home and keep 43% clean sheets, while Waterford concede 2.71 goals away and have no clean sheets (0%), which strongly favors the home side.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
3 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

69Possession (%)31
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
24Shots11
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
11Shots on target4
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
2.81xG1.15
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
7Corners4
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
75Dangerous attacks24
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
8Fouls14
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
0Cards1
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
1.63Goals scored / match1.38
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
0.83Goals conceded / match1.96
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
55%Average possession38%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
5.54Shots on target / match3.83
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

18Shots per match12.67
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
5.54Shots on target3.83
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
9%Shot conversion10.9%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
55%Possession38%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
1.96xG for1.38
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
1.18xG against2.04
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford

Shooting quality

St Patrick's Athl.: DominantWaterford: Balanced
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
Accuracy (shots on target)31%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

St Patrick's Athl.
WWLWD
Season result split
50% W25% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-6-6
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-1-2
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.54Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Waterford
WLWWD
Season result split
17% W38% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-9-11
0.88 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-8
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.87BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

St Patrick's Athl. is 18% better for: goals scored per match.

1.63 goals / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 1.38 goals / match - Waterford

St Patrick's Athl. is 136% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.83 goals / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 1.96 goals / match - Waterford

St Patrick's Athl. scoring profile: very strong

St Patrick's Athl. scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Waterford keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 24 matches).

Waterford scoring profile: strong

Waterford scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while St Patrick's Athl. keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).

39Goals scored (season)33
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
20Goals conceded (season)47
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
2.46Average goals in match3.33
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
8Goals scored (last 5)12
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
3Goals conceded (last 5)7
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal67%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
50%2 goals38%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
33%3 goals25%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
17%4 goals8%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal92%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
21%2 goals58%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
0%3 goals25%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
0%4 goals17%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
St Patrick's Athl. - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.9 of 24 matches
60%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time29%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
0%BTTS in both halves13%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
29%Scored in both halves33%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
20%BTTS - last 560%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time92%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

St Patrick's Athl. is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.42 pts / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 1 pts / match - Waterford

St Patrick's Athl. - half-time state
33% leading42% draw25% trailing
Waterford - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.42Points per match (1st half)1
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.58
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
0.46Goals conceded (1st half)0.92
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
1.17Average goals (1st half)1.5
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
58%Clean sheet before half-time29%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
58%No goal before half-time50%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford

After half-time (2nd half)

1.71Points per match (2nd half)1.21
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
0.92Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)1.04
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.83
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
75%Clean sheet after half-time38%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
50%No goal after half-time50%
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford

St Patrick's Athl. - second-half results

46% W33% R21% P
34
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Waterford - second-half results

33% W21% R46% P
24
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding68%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

St Patrick's Athl. - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.00
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Waterford - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.80
Goals scored / match0.81.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.42.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

St Patrick's Athl.
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
5
1
16-30
6
3
31-45
8
0
46-60
5
5
61-75
9
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Waterford
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
3
8
16-30
8
7
31-45
4
5
46-60
6
5
61-75
9
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

St Patrick's Athl.

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.78
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Waterford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.66
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).

Teams vs league

St Patrick's Athl.LigaWaterford
Average goals in match 2.462.79 3.33
Both teams scored 38%60% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%53% 50%
Clean sheets 38%24% 8%
Goal before half-time 67%75% 92%
Goal after half-time 67%79% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.26
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): St Patrick's Athl. 3 - 3 - 0 Waterford. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Waterford FC
1 : 1
St Patrick's Athletic FC
Waterford FC
0 : 2
St Patrick's Athletic FC
St Patrick's Athletic FC
1 : 1
Waterford FC
Waterford FC
0 : 2
St Patrick's Athletic FC
St Patrick's Athletic FC
2 : 2
Waterford FC
Waterford FC
1 : 2
St Patrick's Athletic FC

FAQ

What was the result of St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?

The Premier Division match finished St Patrick's Athl. 4:1 Waterford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between St Patrick's Athl. and Waterford?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches St Patrick's Athl. won 3, Waterford won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?

St Patrick's Athl. score 1.63 goals per game on average and Waterford 1.38. The Premier Division average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 38% of St Patrick's Athl.'s matches and 63% of Waterford's.

What form are St Patrick's Athl. and Waterford in?

Over the last 5 games St Patrick's Athl. have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Waterford 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.