St. Pauli vs Freiburg: match statistics
Freiburg appears to be the favorite in this match despite their poor away form. St. Pauli occupies a very low 16th place in the table and has a negative goal difference (-5) at home, with as many as 42% of their home matches ending in a clean sheet against them. Freiburg, although conceding an average of 2.08 goals away, possesses better offensive metrics (averaging 1 goal per away match compared to St. Pauli's 1.08 at home) and a higher average xG (1.17 vs 1.33 for the hosts, but against the opponent's significantly weaker defense). The recent form of both teams is poor; however, Freiburg, in 8th place in the standings and with greater experience, should exploit St. Pauli's defensive issues, having conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match at home. I expect a difficult but favorable outcome for the visitors.
St. Pauli vs Freiburg: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
St. Pauli played against Freiburg in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on March 22, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
St. Pauli has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Freiburg has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
St. Pauli scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 1.62. Freiburg scores 1.42 and allows 1.65. Games in this league average 3.17 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of St. Pauli's games and 58% of Freiburg's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 62%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Freiburg has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.21 per game. St. Pauli takes 10.3 shots per game, while Freiburg takes 12.7.
First-half and second-half trends
St. Pauli leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.54 goals per game after halftime. Freiburg leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.81 after halftime.
When the teams score
St. Pauli's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Freiburg, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.17 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Freiburg appears to be the favorite in this match despite their poor away form. St. Pauli occupies a very low 16th place in the table and has a negative goal difference (-5) at home, with as many as 42% of their home matches ending in a clean sheet against them. Freiburg, although conceding an average of 2.08 goals away, possesses better offensive metrics (averaging 1 goal per away match compared to St. Pauli's 1.08 at home) and a higher average xG (1.17 vs 1.33 for the hosts, but against the opponent's significantly weaker defense). The recent form of both teams is poor; however, Freiburg, in 8th place in the standings and with greater experience, should exploit St. Pauli's defensive issues, having conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match at home. I expect a difficult but favorable outcome for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| St. Pauli | Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
St. Pauli is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - St. Pauli · 0.8 pts / game - Freiburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Freiburg is 61% better for: goals scored per game.
0.88 goals / game - St. Pauli · 1.42 goals / game - Freiburg
St. Pauli scores in 58% of games (15 of 26 meczów), while Freiburg keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 meczów).
Freiburg scores in 69% of games (18 of 26 meczów), while St. Pauli keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St. Pauli
Over / Under - Freiburg
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Freiburg is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / game - St. Pauli · 1.31 pts / game - Freiburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Pauli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Freiburg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
St. Pauli
Freiburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| St. Pauli | Liga | Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.50 | 3.17 | • 3.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | • 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 62% | • 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 23% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 76% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 84% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from St. Pauli's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Freiburg. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Pauli vs Freiburg?
The Bundesliga match finished St. Pauli 1:2 Freiburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Pauli vs Freiburg?
St. Pauli score 0.88 goals per game on average and Freiburg 1.42. The Bundesliga average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 50% of St. Pauli's matches and 58% of Freiburg's.
What form are St. Pauli and Freiburg in?
Over the last 5 games St. Pauli have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Freiburg 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Pauli vs Freiburg?
The statistical background for St. Pauli vs Freiburg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.