Germany - 2. BundesligaMillerntor-StadionData current as of November 02, 2026

St. Pauli vs Nürnberg: match statistics

St. Pauli crest
St. Pauli
1 : 3half-time 0:1
Nürnberg crest
Nürnberg

St. Pauli vs Nürnberg: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

St. Pauli played against Nürnberg in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on November 1, 2026. Venue: Millerntor-Stadion. Final score: 1:3.

Recent form

St. Pauli has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Nürnberg has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

St. Pauli scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 1.00. Nürnberg scores 2.33 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 3.01 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of St. Pauli's games and 67% of Nürnberg's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 67%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Nürnberg has the higher season xG average, 1.95 to 1.61 per game. St. Pauli takes 14.6 shots per game, while Nürnberg takes 19.0.

First-half and second-half trends

St. Pauli leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Nürnberg leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.22 after halftime.

When the teams score

St. Pauli's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Nürnberg, it is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

2. Bundesliga games average 3.01 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

St. Pauli have drawn 4 of their last 5 matches and concede an average of just 0.75 goals at home, pointing to a closely contested game. Nürnberg are 2nd in the table, compared with the hosts in 7th, and average 2 goals scored away from home, against St. Pauli’s 1.25 at home. The visitors are also more clinical in front of goal, converting 13% of their shots compared with 7%, although the hosts create slightly better chances: their home xG is 1.91, compared with Nürnberg’s away xG of 1.73. St. Pauli have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches, while Nürnberg have drawn 50% of their away games, making a draw the most likely outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Both teams regularly feature in matches with goals at both ends: St. Pauli have seen BTTS in 60% of their home games, while Nürnberg have done so in 75% of their away games, compared with a league average of 56%. The hosts score an average of 2.6 goals at home, while the visitors average 2.0 goals away and have yet to draw a blank on the road. Their attacking potential is reflected in xG figures of 2.13 for St. Pauli and 1.73 for Nürnberg, while their opponents concede 1.25 and 1.4 goals per game, respectively. However, the hosts’ last five matches warrant caution: they scored just 1.0 goal and conceded 0.6 on average. Even so, both teams had BTTS in 60% of their matches over that period. Therefore, BTTS - Yes is the more likely outcome, although St. Pauli’s improved defending limits confidence in the prediction.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

St. Pauli’s home matches have averaged 4.0 goals, while Nürnberg’s away matches have averaged 3.25, pointing to at least two goals. The hosts record an xG of 2.13 at home, compared with 1.73 for the visitors away; the teams also average 7.4 and 6.0 shots on target, respectively. Over 1.5 goals has landed in 80% of St. Pauli’s home matches and 75% of Nürnberg’s away matches, making it the strongest pick. Caution on higher goal lines is warranted by St. Pauli’s recent form: the team averaged 1.0 goal across five matches, and none of those games featured more than two goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Nürnberg were level at half-time in 3 of their 4 away matches and had not trailed after 45 minutes in any of them, pointing to a closely contested opening. St. Pauli were level at the break in 2 of 5 home matches, but scored an average of 1.4 goals after the interval, compared with the 0.5 goals conceded by the visitors in second halves away from home. The hosts’ attacking advantage supports a later shift in the result in their favor: at home, they average 2.13 xG and 7.4 shots on target, while Nürnberg record 1.73 xG and 6.0 shots on target away. The visitors are yet to lose on the road, so a draw at full-time remains a significant possibility; however, the combination of frequent half-time draws and St. Pauli’s greater attacking strength provides the strongest indication of an X/1 scenario in the HT/FT market.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 2
Second half

Game stats

47Possession (%)53
St. PauliNürnberg
24Shots14
St. PauliNürnberg
7Shots on target7
St. PauliNürnberg
2.44xG1.59
St. PauliNürnberg
4Corners2
St. PauliNürnberg
62Dangerous attacks28
St. PauliNürnberg
16Fouls13
St. PauliNürnberg
2Cards4
St. PauliNürnberg

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.22Goals scored / game2.33
St. PauliNürnberg
1Goals allowed / game1.33
St. PauliNürnberg
50%Average possession58%
St. PauliNürnberg
4.89Shots on target / game6.78
St. PauliNürnberg

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.56Shots per game19
St. PauliNürnberg
4.89Shots on target6.78
St. PauliNürnberg
8.4%Shot conversion12.3%
St. PauliNürnberg
50%Possession58%
St. PauliNürnberg
1.61xG for1.95
St. PauliNürnberg
1.4xG against1.44
St. PauliNürnberg

Shooting quality

St. Pauli: AttackingNürnberg: Dominant
St. PauliNürnberg
Accuracy (shots on target)34%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

St. Pauli is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - St. Pauli · 1.6 pts / game - Nürnberg

St. Pauli
WDWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
22% W67% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-6-1
1.33 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
DLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%
Nürnberg
WWDDL
Season result split
56% W33% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-1
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Last 5 away
2-2-0
WDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.12Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nürnberg is 91% better for: goals scored per game.

1.22 goals / game - St. Pauli · 2.33 goals / game - Nürnberg

St. Pauli is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - St. Pauli · 1.33 goals / game - Nürnberg

St. Pauli scoring profile: very strong

St. Pauli scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Nürnberg keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).

Nürnberg scoring profile: very strong

Nürnberg scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while St. Pauli keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).

11Goals scored (season)21
St. PauliNürnberg
9Goals conceded (season)12
St. PauliNürnberg
2.22Average goals per game3.67
St. PauliNürnberg
5Goals scored (last 5)8
St. PauliNürnberg
2Goals conceded (last 5)7
St. PauliNürnberg

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal89%
St. PauliNürnberg
33%2 goals67%
St. PauliNürnberg
0%3 goals44%
St. PauliNürnberg
0%4 goals33%
St. PauliNürnberg

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal78%
St. PauliNürnberg
33%2 goals33%
St. PauliNürnberg
0%3 goals11%
St. PauliNürnberg
0%4 goals11%
St. PauliNürnberg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time33%
St. PauliNürnberg
11%BTTS in both halves11%
St. PauliNürnberg
22%Scored in both halves56%
St. PauliNürnberg

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
St. PauliNürnberg
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
St. PauliNürnberg
40%BTTS - last 560%
St. PauliNürnberg

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
St. PauliNürnberg
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
St. PauliNürnberg
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
St. PauliNürnberg

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
St. PauliNürnberg
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
St. PauliNürnberg
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
St. PauliNürnberg

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nürnberg is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.44 pts / game - St. Pauli · 1.56 pts / game - Nürnberg

St. Pauli - half-time state
33% leading44% draw22% trailing
Nürnberg - half-time state
33% leading56% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.44Points per game (1st half)1.56
St. PauliNürnberg
0.56Goals scored (1st half)1.11
St. PauliNürnberg
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
St. PauliNürnberg
0.89Average goals (1st half)1.78
St. PauliNürnberg
67%Clean sheet before half-time56%
St. PauliNürnberg
56%No goal before half-time33%
St. PauliNürnberg

After half-time (2nd half)

1.44Points per game (2nd half)1.78
St. PauliNürnberg
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)1.22
St. PauliNürnberg
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
St. PauliNürnberg
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.89
St. PauliNürnberg
44%Clean sheet after half-time44%
St. PauliNürnberg
33%No goal after half-time22%
St. PauliNürnberg

St. Pauli - second-half results

33% W44% D22% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 22%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nürnberg - second-half results

44% W44% D11% L
14
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding170%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

St. Pauli - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.602.00
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game0.60.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Nürnberg - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.60
Goals scored / game0.41.2
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

St. Pauli
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
4
1
31-45
3
5
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Nürnberg
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
2
16-30
4
2
31-45
4
3
46-60
5
0
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.94
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
79%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

St. Pauli

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Nürnberg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
186%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

St. PauliLigaNürnberg
Average goals per game▼ 2.223.01▲ 3.67
Both teams scored▲ 67%56%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%56%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▲ 33%25%▼ 22%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%78%• 78%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%83%▲ 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.01
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / game
1.25
Away goals / game
+41%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defensive advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. St. PauliGoalEric Smith
  2. NürnbergYellow cardEric Porstner
  3. St. PauliGoalAbdoulie CeesayAssist: Arkadiusz Pyrka
  4. St. PauliSubstitutionOn: Samuel KleinOff: Mathias Rasmussen
  5. NürnbergYellow cardAlexios Kalogeropoulos
  6. NürnbergYellow cardSigurd Hauso Haugen
  7. NürnbergGoalSigurd Hauso Haugen
  8. St. PauliSubstitutionOn: Martijn KaarsOff: Branimir Hrgota
  9. NürnbergSubstitutionOn: Giannis MasourasOff: Julian Justvan
  10. St. PauliYellow cardJoel Chima Fujita
  11. NürnbergYellow cardRafael Lubach
  12. St. PauliSubstitutionOn: Youssoupha NiangOff: Lars Ritzka
  13. NürnbergGoalMarc Kornwachs BarjuanAssist: Eric Porstner
  14. St. PauliYellow cardDavid Nemeth

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of St. Pauli vs Nürnberg?

The 2. Bundesliga match finished St. Pauli 1:3 Nürnberg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before St. Pauli vs Nürnberg?

St. Pauli score 1.22 goals per game on average and Nürnberg 2.33. The 2. Bundesliga average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 67% of St. Pauli's matches and 67% of Nürnberg's.

What form are St. Pauli and Nürnberg in?

Over the last 5 games St. Pauli have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Nürnberg 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Pauli vs Nürnberg?

The statistical background for St. Pauli vs Nürnberg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.