St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig: match statistics
RB Leipzig is the clear favorite for this encounter. St. Pauli occupies 17th place in the table with just 25% home wins and a negative goal difference (-7) in home matches, conceding an average of 1.88 goals per game. The hosts' form is alarming – they haven't secured a single victory in their last 5 matches, and in half of their home fixtures, they failed to score at all. RB Leipzig, despite slightly poorer recent form, boasts 44% away wins, averaging 1.56 goals scored and maintaining a solid 56% clean sheet rate in away games. The offensive quality of the visitors (averaging 15.11 shots per away match) combined with St. Pauli's weak defense points towards a win for RB Leipzig. The predicted outcome is an away victory, though a draw cannot be completely ruled out should Leipzig have an off day.
St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
St. Pauli played against RB Leipzig in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on January 27, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
St. Pauli has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. RB Leipzig has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
St. Pauli scores 0.89 goals per game and allows 1.72. RB Leipzig scores 2.00 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 3.23 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of St. Pauli's games and 44% of RB Leipzig's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 61%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
RB Leipzig has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.21 per game. St. Pauli takes 10.2 shots per game, while RB Leipzig takes 16.3.
First-half and second-half trends
St. Pauli leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. RB Leipzig leads at halftime in 44% and scores 1.06 after halftime.
When the teams score
St. Pauli's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For RB Leipzig, it is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.23 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
RB Leipzig is the clear favorite for this encounter. St. Pauli occupies 17th place in the table with just 25% home wins and a negative goal difference (-7) in home matches, conceding an average of 1.88 goals per game. The hosts' form is alarming – they haven't secured a single victory in their last 5 matches, and in half of their home fixtures, they failed to score at all. RB Leipzig, despite slightly poorer recent form, boasts 44% away wins, averaging 1.56 goals scored and maintaining a solid 56% clean sheet rate in away games. The offensive quality of the visitors (averaging 15.11 shots per away match) combined with St. Pauli's weak defense points towards a win for RB Leipzig. The predicted outcome is an away victory, though a draw cannot be completely ruled out should Leipzig have an off day.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| St. Pauli | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
RB Leipzig is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - St. Pauli · 1.2 pts / game - RB Leipzig
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RB Leipzig is 125% better for: goals scored per game.
0.89 goals / game - St. Pauli · 2 goals / game - RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.72 goals / game - St. Pauli · 1.33 goals / game - RB Leipzig
St. Pauli scores in 56% of games (10 of 18 meczów), while RB Leipzig keeps a clean sheet in 50% (9 of 18 meczów).
RB Leipzig scores in 89% of games (16 of 18 meczów), while St. Pauli keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St. Pauli
Over / Under - RB Leipzig
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
RB Leipzig is 121% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.78 pts / game - St. Pauli · 1.72 pts / game - RB Leipzig
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Pauli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
RB Leipzig - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 61%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| St. Pauli | Liga | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.61 | 3.23 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 64% | ▼ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 24% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 82% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig?
The Bundesliga match finished St. Pauli 1:1 RB Leipzig. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig?
St. Pauli score 0.89 goals per game on average and RB Leipzig 2.00. The Bundesliga average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 50% of St. Pauli's matches and 44% of RB Leipzig's.
What form are St. Pauli and RB Leipzig in?
Over the last 5 games St. Pauli have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and RB Leipzig 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.