Stabæk vs Ranheim: match statistics

Stabæk are the league leaders at home, having won 88% of their matches on their own turf, while Ranheim have lost 75% of their away fixtures. The hosts average 3.13 goals per home game from 16 shots per match, whereas the visitors concede as many as 3 goals per away game and have failed to keep a single clean sheet. Recent form further clearly favors Stabæk: they have won their last 5 matches, scoring 21 goals, while Ranheim have suffered 4 defeats in their last five outings and conceded 16 goals in the process. The hosts also hold the edge in terms of chance quality, with an average xG of 1.88 compared with Ranheim’s 1.33, while their opponents allow a high xG of 1.90. Ranheim may find the net, but the combination of Stabæk’s outstanding attacking power and the visitors’ extremely vulnerable defense points to a convincing home victory.

Seasonal BTTS indicators are very high: Stabæk record BTTS in 90% of their matches, while Ranheim do so in 75%, compared with the league average of 63%. At home, Stabæk score an average of 2.9 goals and concede 2.1, whereas Ranheim score 1.88 goals per match but allow opponents as many as 3.0 goals. A particularly strong argument for a home goal is the fact that Ranheim have kept no clean sheets, while Stabæk create an average of 1.90 xG and register 6.3 shots on target per game. The visitors have a full 100% BTTS record in their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals, although their defense conceded 3.2 goals per game during this period. Caution is warranted due to an improvement in Stabæk’s defensive performance, with the team allowing only 1.0 goal on average across their last five league fixtures; however, the overall profile of both teams still clearly supports a scenario with goals at both ends — BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal.

Stabæk are on an excellent run of five consecutive wins, scoring an average of 4.2 goals in their last 5 matches with an xG of 2.10. Over the same period, Ranheim conceded as many as 3.2 goals per game, while their average xG conceded stands at 2.04, strongly supporting a high-scoring output from the hosts. Over 1.5 goals landed in 100% of both teams’ matches, while the 2.5-goal line was surpassed in 90% of Stabæk’s games and 100% of Ranheim’s. In addition, the visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet in every match, while Stabæk average 16.7 shots and 6.3 shots on target per game. Over 1.5 is the strongest selection, as the hosts’ very high attacking quality and Ranheim’s poor defensive record clearly reduce the likelihood of a one-goal maximum.

Stabæk are in excellent form, having won their last five matches while scoring an average of 4.2 goals and conceding just 1.0 per game. Ranheim, meanwhile, have lost four of their last five fixtures and conceded an average of 3.2 goals. The hosts led at the break in 3 of their 10 league matches this season, but increased that rate to 60% across their last five; during the same period, Ranheim were trailing at half-time in 80% of their appearances. Stabæk’s advantage is particularly evident after the interval: they average 1.8 second-half goals compared with Ranheim’s 0.88, while the visitors concede as many as 2.13 goals per match in the second half. The hosts’ attacking potential is further supported by an xG of 1.90, an average of 16.7 shots and 6.3 shots on target—clearly higher than Ranheim’s 1.33 xG, 9.75 shots and 4.63 shots on target. The most compelling HT/FT scenario is therefore 1/1, with Stabæk leading at half-time and securing the full-time victory, although the hosts’ open defensive approach, resulting in an average of 2.1 goals conceded, leaves some risk of a response from the visitors.