Stabæk vs Raufoss: match statistics
Stabæk vs Raufoss: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Stabæk played against Raufoss in First Division (Norway). The game was played on May 16, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Stabæk has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Raufoss has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Stabæk scores 2.50 goals per game and allows 1.00. Raufoss scores 0.67 and allows 2.17. Games in this league average 3.40 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Stabæk's games and 67% of Raufoss's. The Over 2.5 rates are 83% and 50%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 71% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Stabæk has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.12 per game. Stabæk takes 13.5 shots per game, while Raufoss takes 11.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Stabæk leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.17 goals per game after halftime. Raufoss leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Stabæk's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Raufoss, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First Division games average 3.40 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 71% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stabæk is the clear favorite: they sit 3rd while Raufoss are 15th. At home Stabæk have scored 15 goals this season (avg. 3.5 per match) and 14 in their last 5 appearances, with an offensive xG of 1.7, whereas Raufoss have 4 goals this season, 3 in their last 5 matches and an offensive xG of 0.93. The hosts average 16 shots and 4.5 on target per match with a conversion rate of 22%, while the visitors average only 9.67 shots and 1 on target away with a 7% conversion; additionally Raufoss have 33% of away matches without scoring, Stabæk 0%. Defensively Stabæk concede 1.0 goal at home on average and have an xG against of 1.24, whereas Raufoss concede 2.67 goals away with an xG against of 2.01; the hosts also have 50% clean sheets at home, the visitors 0%. Form confirms the advantage: Stabæk in their last 5 matches have 4 wins and 1 draw (2.6 pts per match), Raufoss 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses (0.2 pts per match), therefore I predict a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season-long stats show a high BTTS participation: 67% for Stabæk and 67% for Raufoss, versus a league average of 53%. However, form over the last 5 matches signals the opposite for the home side — Stabæk in their last 5 games averaged 2.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (14 scored and 4 conceded), and their BTTS rate in those five matches is only 40%. Raufoss has a seasonally weak attack (0.67 goals away, 4 goals in the season) and in the last 5 matches scored only 3 goals (0.6 per game), with only 1.0 on-target shot on average and xG around 0.96. Raufoss, however, concedes a lot: seasonally 2.67 goals conceded away and xG against 2.01, while Stabæk creates more chances (home xG 1.32, 12.33 shots and 2.33 on target), suggesting a home advantage and likely results of 1-0 or 2-0. Considering these numbers (high season-long BTTS 67% versus Stabæk’s concrete advantage in the last 5 and Raufoss’s offensive weakness), I assign 55% to 'No' and 45% to 'BTTS - Yes', selecting 'No' as the stronger signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model forecasts 1.67 expected goals for Stabæk and 1.04 for Raufoss (total 2.71), calculated as the xG average: Stabæk has an attacking xG of 1.32 while Raufoss concedes 2.01 xG per match; Raufoss has an attacking xG of 0.93 with 1.15 xG conceded by Stabæk. With a sum λ=2.71 the Poisson distribution yields about a 75% chance of more than 1.5 goals, ~51% for over 2.5 goals and ~29% for over 3.5 goals. Form support is clear: Stabæk scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches (2.8 avg), while Raufoss scored 3 (0.6) and conceded 10 (2.0), which favors intensified home attacking. Seasonal stats also support goals – both teams have 'over 1.5' in 67% of matches, the league averages 3.34 goals per match, and Stabæk attempts 12.33 shots per game (2.33 on target) versus Raufoss 9.67 (1.0), increasing goal probability. Based on this, the strongest signal is a bet on Over 1.5 with an estimated probability of ~75%, while Over 2.5 has only moderate support (~51%) and Over 3.5 is less likely (~29%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Stabæk is the clear favorite: in the last 5 matches the home side won 4 of 5 (80%), were leading at the break in 3 of 5 (60%) and score on average 1.6 goals by half-time, while Raufoss in their last 5 have 0 wins, led at the break in 0 matches and score on average 0.2 goals by half-time. Additionally Stabæk generate higher xG (1.32 vs 0.93) and more shots (12.33 vs 9.67), and across the last 5 matches score on average 2.8 goals versus Raufoss’s 0.6, which translates into a greater ability to score in both the first and second half. Raufoss have clear defensive issues: seasonally they concede an average of 2.67 goals per match, 2.0 in the last 5 matches, and have 0 points per game with a 100% loss rate this season, which limits the likelihood of a turnaround after the break. Given these data I consider the scenario of Stabæk leading at the break and maintaining the win to full-time (1/1) the strongest and assign it a 55% probability; alternatives are draw/draw (X/X) 12% or draw then home win after the break (X/1) 10%, and the possibility of a Raufoss comeback (1/2, X/2, 2/2) I assess collectively at only 8%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Stabæk | Raufoss | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 15% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Stabæk is 1200% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Stabæk · 0.2 pts / game - Raufoss
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stabæk is 273% better for: goals scored per game.
2.5 goals / game - Stabæk · 0.67 goals / game - Raufoss
Stabæk is 117% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Stabæk · 2.17 goals / game - Raufoss
Stabæk scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 meczów), while Raufoss keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 meczów).
Raufoss scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 meczów), while Stabæk keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stabæk
Over / Under - Raufoss
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stabæk is 455% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / game - Stabæk · 0.33 pts / game - Raufoss
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stabæk - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Raufoss - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Stabæk
Raufoss
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Stabæk | Liga | Raufoss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.50 | 3.40 | ▼ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 71% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 85% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Stabæk's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Raufoss. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Stabæk vs Raufoss?
The First Division match finished Stabæk 1:2 Raufoss. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stabæk and Raufoss?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Stabæk won 1, Raufoss won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stabæk vs Raufoss?
Stabæk score 2.50 goals per game on average and Raufoss 0.67. The First Division average is 3.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Stabæk's matches and 67% of Raufoss's.
What form are Stabæk and Raufoss in?
Over the last 5 games Stabæk have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Raufoss 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stabæk vs Raufoss?
The statistical background for Stabæk vs Raufoss — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.