Stal Mielec vs Puszcza Niepołomice: match statistics
Stal Mielec vs Puszcza Niepołomice: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stal Mielec play Puszcza Niepołomice in 1. Liga (Poland). The match date is 9 May 2026 at 19:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Stal Mielec: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Puszcza Niepołomice: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stal Mielec scores 1.50 and concedes 1.82 goals per match. Puszcza Niepołomice scores 1.32 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stal Mielec 74%, Puszcza Niepołomice 65%. Over 2.5: Stal Mielec 71%, Puszcza Niepołomice 53%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Stal Mielec has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.29. Stal Mielec: 12.4 shots per match, Puszcza Niepołomice: 10.2.
Match halves
Stal Mielec: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.79. Puszcza Niepołomice: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Stal Mielec: 76-90+ (12 goals). Puszcza Niepołomice: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict an away win (2): Puszcza Niepołomice sit 9th in the table while Stal Mielec are 15th, reflecting season-long differences. Puszcza’s main advantage is defense – the visitors have conceded 37 goals this season versus Stal’s 59, and the average goals conceded per match is 1.27 on Puszcza’s road games compared to 1.73 for Stal at home. Recent form over the last five matches also favors Puszcza: the visitors have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, averaging 2.0 points per game, whereas Stal have 2 wins and 3 losses, averaging 1.2 points per game. Offensively Stal attempt more shots at home (12.6 vs 9.87) and have a higher home xG (1.46 vs 1.29), and the hosts score 1.53 goals per home match versus Puszcza’s 1.40 on the road; however Puszcza register more shots on target (3.87 vs 3.33) and a higher conversion rate (14% vs 12%). Considering the more stable defense (1.27 goals conceded) and better form (2.0 pts in the last 5), I assign Puszcza a 45% chance to win, Stal 30% and 25% for a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stal Mielec | Puszcza Niepołomice | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Puszcza Niepołomice is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Stal Mielec · 1.6 pts / match - Puszcza Niepołomice
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stal Mielec is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Stal Mielec · 1.32 goals / match - Puszcza Niepołomice
Puszcza Niepołomice is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.82 goals / match - Stal Mielec · 1.18 goals / match - Puszcza Niepołomice
Stal Mielec scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Puszcza Niepołomice keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
Puszcza Niepołomice scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Stal Mielec keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Stal Mielec
Over / Under — Puszcza Niepołomice
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Puszcza Niepołomice is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Stal Mielec · 1.35 pts / match - Puszcza Niepołomice
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stal Mielec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Puszcza Niepołomice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stal Mielec
Puszcza Niepołomice
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Stal Mielec | Liga | Puszcza Niepołomice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.32 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 65% | • 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 20% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 81% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Stal Mielec 0 - 1 - 0 Puszcza Niepołomice. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stal Mielec vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
The 1. Liga match finished Stal Mielec 1:1 Puszcza Niepołomice. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stal Mielec vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
Stal Mielec score 1.50 goals per game on average and Puszcza Niepołomice 1.32. The 1. Liga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Stal Mielec's matches and 65% of Puszcza Niepołomice's.
What form are Stal Mielec and Puszcza Niepołomice in?
Over the last 5 games Stal Mielec have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Puszcza Niepołomice 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stal Mielec vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stal Mielec vs Puszcza Niepołomice: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.