Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic: match statistics
Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stenhousemuir play Alloa Athletic in League One (Scotland). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Stenhousemuir: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Alloa Athletic: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stenhousemuir scores 1.36 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Alloa Athletic scores 1.39 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stenhousemuir 39%, Alloa Athletic 42%. Over 2.5: Stenhousemuir 33%, Alloa Athletic 44%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Alloa Athletic has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.20. Stenhousemuir: 8.9 shots per match, Alloa Athletic: 9.8.
Match halves
Stenhousemuir: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.75. Alloa Athletic: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Stenhousemuir: 46-60 (11 goals). Alloa Athletic: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-2-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Stenhousemuir holds a clear home advantage: at home they score an average of 1.71 goals and concede 0.71 per match, while Alloa on the road score 1.29 and concede 1.18. The difference in finishing efficiency is significant — the home side have a conversion rate of 19% and average 4.88 shots on target per game, whereas the visitors only 13% and 4.29 SoT; Alloa register 29% of matches without scoring compared to 12% for Stenhousemuir. xG indicates a slight home edge: Stenhousemuir’s average xG for is 1.29 versus Alloa’s 1.22, and xG against is 1.22 versus 1.34, pointing to better home defending. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 8 goals and average 1.6 points per game, the visitors 5 goals and 1.4 points; additionally the hosts keep clean sheets in 53% of home matches versus 35% for the away side. Considering higher shot efficiency (19% vs 13%), lower average goals conceded (0.71 vs 1.18) and stronger recent form, I assign a 60% probability to a home win, 25% to a draw and 15% to an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stenhousemuir | Alloa Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stenhousemuir is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.2 pts / match - Alloa Athletic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stenhousemuir is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.03 goals / match - Alloa Athletic
Stenhousemuir scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Alloa Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 matches).
Alloa Athletic scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 50% (18 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Stenhousemuir
Over / Under — Alloa Athletic
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stenhousemuir - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Alloa Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stenhousemuir
Alloa Athletic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Stenhousemuir | Liga | Alloa Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 49% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 28% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 73% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 83% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Stenhousemuir 0 - 2 - 1 Alloa Athletic. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic?
The League One match finished Stenhousemuir 1:0 Alloa Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stenhousemuir and Alloa Athletic?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Stenhousemuir won 0, Alloa Athletic won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic?
Stenhousemuir score 1.36 goals per game on average and Alloa Athletic 1.39. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Stenhousemuir's matches and 42% of Alloa Athletic's.
What form are Stenhousemuir and Alloa Athletic in?
Over the last 5 games Stenhousemuir have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Alloa Athletic 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.