Scotland - ChampionshipOchilview ParkData current as of November 03, 2026

Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath: match statistics

Stenhousemuir crest
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0half-time 1:0
Arbroath crest
Arbroath

Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Stenhousemuir played against Arbroath in Championship (Scotland). The game was played on September 19, 2026. Venue: Ochilview Park. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Stenhousemuir has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Arbroath has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Stenhousemuir scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 0.33. Arbroath scores 0.67 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.00 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Stenhousemuir's games and 33% of Arbroath's. The Over 2.5 rates are 17% and 33%, compared with league averages of 35% for BTTS and 23% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Stenhousemuir has the higher season xG average, 1.03 to 0.71 per game. Stenhousemuir takes 6.0 shots per game, while Arbroath takes 3.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Stenhousemuir leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.17 goals per game after halftime. Arbroath leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Stenhousemuir's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Arbroath, it is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.00 goals. Both teams score in 35% of games, and 23% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Stenhousemuir are unbeaten this season, with a record of 4 wins and 1 draw, and have won 4 of their last five matches. At home, the hosts have won both games, scoring an average of 2.5 goals and conceding just 0.5, while Arbroath score only 0.67 goals away from home and allow opponents 2.33 goals per match. The difference in chance quality is reflected in the average xG: 1.39 for Stenhousemuir at home compared with 0.91 for Arbroath away. The visitors have failed to score in 67% of their away matches and have kept no clean sheets on the road, which, combined with the hosts’ 28% conversion rate, strongly points towards a win for the league leaders. Arbroath do average 65% possession away from home, but this translates into just 5 shots per match, so they should struggle to make effective use of that advantage.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS is below the league average: both teams have recorded this outcome in 33% of their matches this season, compared with 38% across the competition. Stenhousemuir keep a clean sheet in 67% of their home matches and concede just 0.33 goals on average there, while Arbroath fail to score in 67% of their away games. The visitors score only 0.67 goals per away match, with an xG of 0.91; additionally, they have averaged just 0.8 goals over their last five fixtures. The hosts are in good form, with 7 goals scored and 4 conceded in their last 5 matches, but their low xG of 0.98 over this period supports a controlled win rather than an open game in which both sides score. The most likely scenario is therefore BTTS - No, primarily due to the high risk that Arbroath will fail to breach the hosts’ well-organized defense.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Stenhousemuir defend very well at home, conceding an average of just 0.33 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 67% of such matches. Arbroath score only 0.67 goals per away game, while their average xG stands at 0.91, limiting the visitors’ projected goal tally to around 0.72. The hosts should benefit from their opponents’ weak defensive record, with Arbroath conceding an average of 2.33 goals away from home; however, Stenhousemuir’s own average xG of 0.51 does not suggest a high-scoring game. The 3.5-goal line was not exceeded in 100% of Stenhousemuir’s home matches and 67% of Arbroath’s away games, while the league-wide average is just 2.03 goals. The projected total of 2.00 goals and the low percentage of league matches featuring at least three goals, at 24%, strongly support the Under 3.5 goals bet.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Stenhousemuir win at full-time, as the hosts have drawn the first half in all three of their home matches so far, scoring and conceding no goals before the break. Arbroath concede an average of 1.33 goals in the first half away from home, but their last five matches have produced a half-time draw in 60% of cases, which still supports the prospect of a cautious opening. After the break, the hosts’ advantage becomes significantly more pronounced: they score an average of 0.67 goals and concede just 0.33, while Arbroath allow opponents an average of 1.00 goal in the second half away from home. Stenhousemuir have won four of their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 0.8, whereas Arbroath concede an average of 2.33 goals per match away from home.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

50Possession (%)50
StenhousemuirArbroath
8Shots5
StenhousemuirArbroath
4Shots on target3
StenhousemuirArbroath
1.35xG0.97
StenhousemuirArbroath
5Corners4
StenhousemuirArbroath
77Dangerous attacks60
StenhousemuirArbroath
15Fouls11
StenhousemuirArbroath
3Cards2
StenhousemuirArbroath

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

StenhousemuirArbroath
1.67Goals scored / game0.67
StenhousemuirArbroath
0.33Goals allowed / game1.33
StenhousemuirArbroath
51%Average possession45%
StenhousemuirArbroath
3.67Shots on target / game2.17
StenhousemuirArbroath

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6Shots per game3.5
StenhousemuirArbroath
3.67Shots on target2.17
StenhousemuirArbroath
27.8%Shot conversion19%
StenhousemuirArbroath
51%Possession45%
StenhousemuirArbroath
1.03xG for0.71
StenhousemuirArbroath
1.22xG against1.15
StenhousemuirArbroath

Shooting quality

Stenhousemuir: Efficient finishingArbroath: Counter-attacking
StenhousemuirArbroath
Accuracy (shots on target)61%62%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.20
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.460.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Stenhousemuir is 88% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / game - Stenhousemuir · 1.6 pts / game - Arbroath

Stenhousemuir
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
83% W17% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-0
2.67 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 at home
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Arbroath
DWWDL
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-2
1.33 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
LWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.65Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Stenhousemuir is 149% better for: goals scored per game.

1.67 goals / game - Stenhousemuir · 0.67 goals / game - Arbroath

Stenhousemuir is 303% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.33 goals / game - Stenhousemuir · 1.33 goals / game - Arbroath

Stenhousemuir scoring profile: very strong

Stenhousemuir scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Arbroath keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 games).

Arbroath scoring profile: more difficult

Arbroath scores in 50% of games (3 of 6 games), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 67% (4 of 6 games).

10Goals scored (season)4
StenhousemuirArbroath
2Goals conceded (season)8
StenhousemuirArbroath
2Average goals per game2
StenhousemuirArbroath
9Goals scored (last 5)4
StenhousemuirArbroath
1Goals conceded (last 5)6
StenhousemuirArbroath

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal50%
StenhousemuirArbroath
50%2 goals17%
StenhousemuirArbroath
17%3 goals0%
StenhousemuirArbroath
0%4 goals0%
StenhousemuirArbroath

How often they concede at least...

33%1 goal67%
StenhousemuirArbroath
0%2 goals33%
StenhousemuirArbroath
0%3 goals17%
StenhousemuirArbroath
0%4 goals17%
StenhousemuirArbroath

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time0%
StenhousemuirArbroath
0%BTTS in both halves0%
StenhousemuirArbroath
17%Scored in both halves17%
StenhousemuirArbroath

BTTS and goal count

17%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
StenhousemuirArbroath
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
StenhousemuirArbroath
20%BTTS - last 540%
StenhousemuirArbroath

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
StenhousemuirArbroath
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
StenhousemuirArbroath
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
StenhousemuirArbroath

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
StenhousemuirArbroath
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
StenhousemuirArbroath
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
StenhousemuirArbroath

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Stenhousemuir is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / game - Stenhousemuir · 1 pts / game - Arbroath

Stenhousemuir - half-time state
33% leading67% draw0% trailing
Arbroath - half-time state
17% leading50% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per game (1st half)1
StenhousemuirArbroath
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.17
StenhousemuirArbroath
0.17Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
StenhousemuirArbroath
0.67Average goals (1st half)0.83
StenhousemuirArbroath
83%Clean sheet before half-time67%
StenhousemuirArbroath
50%No goal before half-time83%
StenhousemuirArbroath

After half-time (2nd half)

2.33Points per game (2nd half)1
StenhousemuirArbroath
1.17Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
StenhousemuirArbroath
0.17Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
StenhousemuirArbroath
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.17
StenhousemuirArbroath
83%Clean sheet after half-time33%
StenhousemuirArbroath
33%No goal after half-time50%
StenhousemuirArbroath

Stenhousemuir - second-half results

67% W33% D0% L
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding252%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 83%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Arbroath - second-half results

17% W50% D33% L
6
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Stenhousemuir - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.60
Goals scored / game0.41.4
Goals allowed / game0.00.2
Average goals per game0.41.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+2+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Arbroath - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.20
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game0.81.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Stenhousemuir
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
4
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Arbroath
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 0.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
33%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Stenhousemuir

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.89
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
39%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Arbroath

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

StenhousemuirLigaArbroath
Average goals per game• 2.002.00• 2.00
Both teams scored▼ 33%35%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 17%23%▲ 33%
Clean sheets▲ 67%37%▼ 33%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%65%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time• 67%68%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.00
Average goals per game
35%
Both teams scored
23%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.16
Home goals / game
0.84
Away goals / game
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defensive advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. StenhousemuirGoalLewis O'Donnell
  2. ArbroathSubstitutionOn: Andrew WinterOff: Jude Bonnar
  3. ArbroathYellow cardSean Mackie
  4. ArbroathSubstitutionOn: Ryan DowOff: Rudi Allan Molotnikov
  5. StenhousemuirSubstitutionOn: Hamzad KargboOff: Andrew Shinnie
  6. StenhousemuirSubstitutionOn: Matthew GilliesOff: Finn Robson
  7. ArbroathYellow cardBrody Paterson
  8. StenhousemuirYellow cardScott Bright
  9. ArbroathSubstitutionOn: Cormac DalyOff: Michael McKenna
  10. StenhousemuirSubstitutionOn: Callum PenmanOff: Ross Meechan
  11. StenhousemuirYellow cardCallum Penman
  12. StenhousemuirYellow cardMatthew Gillies

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath?

The Championship match finished Stenhousemuir 1:0 Arbroath. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath?

Stenhousemuir score 1.67 goals per game on average and Arbroath 0.67. The Championship average is 2.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 23% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Stenhousemuir's matches and 33% of Arbroath's.

What form are Stenhousemuir and Arbroath in?

Over the last 5 games Stenhousemuir have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Arbroath 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.