Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Stenhousemuir played against Inverness CT in League One (Scotland). The game was played on December 20, 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Stenhousemuir has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Inverness CT has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Stenhousemuir scores 1.18 goals per game and allows 0.94. Inverness CT scores 1.94 and allows 0.56. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 47% of Stenhousemuir's games and 31% of Inverness CT's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 44%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Inverness CT has the higher season xG average, 1.86 to 1.21 per game. Stenhousemuir takes 8.9 shots per game, while Inverness CT takes 15.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Stenhousemuir leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Inverness CT leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Stenhousemuir's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Inverness CT, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

34Possession (%)66
StenhousemuirInverness CT
3Shots14
StenhousemuirInverness CT
3Shots on target2
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.62xG1.47
StenhousemuirInverness CT
3Corners9
StenhousemuirInverness CT
30Dangerous attacks62
StenhousemuirInverness CT
18Fouls7
StenhousemuirInverness CT
5Cards1
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

StenhousemuirInverness CT
1.18Goals scored / game1.94
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.94Goals allowed / game0.56
StenhousemuirInverness CT
50%Average possession52%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
4.41Shots on target / game6.75
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.94Shots per game15
StenhousemuirInverness CT
4.41Shots on target6.75
StenhousemuirInverness CT
13.2%Shot conversion12.9%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
50%Possession52%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
1.21xG for1.86
StenhousemuirInverness CT
1.23xG against0.85
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Shooting quality

Stenhousemuir: Efficient finishingInverness CT: Attacking
StenhousemuirInverness CT
Accuracy (shots on target)49%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Inverness CT is 160% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Stenhousemuir · 2.6 pts / game - Inverness CT

Stenhousemuir
DLWDL
Season result split
41% W35% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-4
1.59 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-4-1
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DWWDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Inverness CT
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
75% W13% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-2-2
2.38 pts / game · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-1
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WWLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 0.61BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inverness CT is 64% better for: goals scored per game.

1.18 goals / game - Stenhousemuir · 1.94 goals / game - Inverness CT

Inverness CT is 68% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.94 goals / game - Stenhousemuir · 0.56 goals / game - Inverness CT

Stenhousemuir scoring profile: more difficult

Stenhousemuir scores in 65% of games (11 of 17 meczów), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 69% (11 of 16 meczów).

Inverness CT scoring profile: very strong

Inverness CT scores in 100% of games (16 of 16 meczów), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 meczów).

20Goals scored (season)31
StenhousemuirInverness CT
16Goals conceded (season)9
StenhousemuirInverness CT
2.12Average goals per game2.5
StenhousemuirInverness CT
6Goals scored (last 5)11
StenhousemuirInverness CT
7Goals conceded (last 5)1
StenhousemuirInverness CT

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal100%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
29%2 goals50%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
18%3 goals25%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
6%4 goals19%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal31%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
24%2 goals19%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
6%3 goals6%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0%4 goals0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

43%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time19%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0%BTTS in both halves0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
24%Scored in both halves44%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS19%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
40%BTTS - last 520%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inverness CT is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.24 pts / game - Stenhousemuir · 1.88 pts / game - Inverness CT

Stenhousemuir - half-time state
24% leading53% draw24% trailing
Inverness CT - half-time state
50% leading38% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per game (1st half)1.88
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.94
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.31
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.94Average goals (1st half)1.25
StenhousemuirInverness CT
59%Clean sheet before half-time75%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
59%No goal before half-time31%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per game (2nd half)2.19
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)1
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.25
StenhousemuirInverness CT
1.18Average goals (2nd half)1.25
StenhousemuirInverness CT
53%Clean sheet after half-time81%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
53%No goal after half-time25%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Stenhousemuir - second-half results

35% W41% R24% P
21
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding171%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Inverness CT - second-half results

69% W13% R19% P
30
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Stenhousemuir - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.40
Goals scored / game0.21.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game0.81.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Inverness CT - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.602.00
Goals scored / game1.21.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.2
Average goals per game1.21.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+6+4
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Stenhousemuir
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
4
31-45
5
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
7
2
31-45
6
1
46-60
7
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.31
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
39%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Stenhousemuir

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.59
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
163%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
41%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

StenhousemuirLigaInverness CT
Average goals per game 2.122.57 2.50
Both teams scored 47%43% 31%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%54% 44%
Clean sheets 35%32% 69%
Goal before half-time 65%73% 75%
Goal after half-time 71%82% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per game
43%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.38
Home goals / game
1.19
Away goals / game
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defensive advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Inverness CTYellow cardDaniel Devine
  2. StenhousemuirYellow cardLeyton Grant
  3. StenhousemuirYellow cardRoss Taylor
  4. StenhousemuirYellow cardArchie Graham
  5. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Luis LongstaffOff: David Wotherspoon
  6. StenhousemuirSubstitutionOn: Zeke CameronOff: Ross Taylor
  7. StenhousemuirGoalOlly WhyteAssist: Matthew Aitken
  8. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Billy McKayOff: Liam Sole
  9. StenhousemuirYellow cardMatthew Aitken
  10. StenhousemuirYellow cardLeyton Grant
  11. StenhousemuirSubstitutionOn: Scott McGillOff: Matthew Aitken

Head-to-head

Record from Stenhousemuir's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Inverness CT. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
1 : 2
Stenhousemuir FC

FAQ

What was the result of Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?

The League One match finished Stenhousemuir 1:0 Inverness CT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?

Stenhousemuir score 1.18 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 1.94. The League One average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Stenhousemuir's matches and 31% of Inverness CT's.

What form are Stenhousemuir and Inverness CT in?

Over the last 5 games Stenhousemuir have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Inverness CT 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.