Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Stenhousemuir play Inverness CT in League One (Scotland). The match date is 20 December 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Stenhousemuir: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Inverness CT: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Stenhousemuir scores 1.36 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Inverness CT scores 1.67 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.62 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Stenhousemuir 39%, Inverness CT 47%. Over 2.5: Stenhousemuir 33%, Inverness CT 39%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.20. Stenhousemuir: 8.9 shots per match, Inverness CT: 13.4.

Match halves

Stenhousemuir: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.75. Inverness CT: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.89.

Goals by minute

Stenhousemuir: 46-60 (11 goals). Inverness CT: 61-75 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 1-2-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

34Possession (%)66
StenhousemuirInverness CT
3Shots14
StenhousemuirInverness CT
3Shots on target2
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.62xG1.47
StenhousemuirInverness CT
3Corners9
StenhousemuirInverness CT
30Dangerous attacks62
StenhousemuirInverness CT
18Fouls7
StenhousemuirInverness CT
5Cards1
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

StenhousemuirInverness CT
1.36Goals scored / match1.67
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.75Goals conceded / match0.67
StenhousemuirInverness CT
50%Average possession56%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
4.28Shots on target / match5.81
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.86Shots per match13.39
StenhousemuirInverness CT
4.28Shots on target5.81
StenhousemuirInverness CT
15.4%Shot conversion12.4%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
50%Possession56%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
1.2xG for1.69
StenhousemuirInverness CT
1.18xG against0.81
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Shooting quality

Stenhousemuir: Efficient finishingInverness CT: Balanced
StenhousemuirInverness CT
Accuracy (shots on target)48%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Inverness CT is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Stenhousemuir · 2.2 pts / match - Inverness CT

Stenhousemuir
WDLWW
Season result split
50% W36% R14% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-13-5
1.86 pts / match · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-7-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Inverness CT
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
58% W31% R11% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-11-4
2.06 pts / match · goal difference +36
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-7-3
Last 5 away
1-4-0
DDDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inverness CT is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

1.36 goals / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.67 goals / match - Inverness CT

Inverness CT is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.75 goals / match - Stenhousemuir · 0.67 goals / match - Inverness CT

Stenhousemuir scoring profile: strong

Stenhousemuir scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 50% (18 of 36 matches).

Inverness CT scoring profile: strong

Inverness CT scores in 92% of matches (33 of 36 matches), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 50% (18 of 36 matches).

49Goals scored (season)60
StenhousemuirInverness CT
27Goals conceded (season)24
StenhousemuirInverness CT
2.11Average goals in match2.33
StenhousemuirInverness CT
7Goals scored (last 5)7
StenhousemuirInverness CT
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
StenhousemuirInverness CT

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal92%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
39%2 goals44%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
14%3 goals22%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
6%4 goals8%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal50%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
22%2 goals14%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
3%3 goals3%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0%4 goals0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time14%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0%BTTS in both halves3%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
31%Scored in both halves33%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
20%BTTS - last 560%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time72%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inverness CT is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.58 pts / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.81 pts / match - Inverness CT

Stenhousemuir - half-time state
39% leading42% draw19% trailing
Inverness CT - half-time state
47% leading39% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.58Points per match (1st half)1.81
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.78
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.28
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.94Average goals (1st half)1.06
StenhousemuirInverness CT
69%Clean sheet before half-time75%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
50%No goal before half-time39%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

After half-time (2nd half)

1.72Points per match (2nd half)1.83
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.89
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.42Goals conceded (2nd half)0.39
StenhousemuirInverness CT
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1.28
StenhousemuirInverness CT
64%Clean sheet after half-time67%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
42%No goal after half-time36%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Stenhousemuir - second-half results

47% W31% R22% P
57
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
62
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.58
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Inverness CT - second-half results

53% W25% R22% P
65
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
+18
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
+18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.81
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Stenhousemuir - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Inverness CT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Stenhousemuir
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
8
5
16-30
8
4
31-45
11
7
46-60
5
3
61-75
11
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
10
2
0-15
7
4
16-30
11
4
31-45
11
3
46-60
13
5
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.23
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
85%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+5%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Stenhousemuir

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.88
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-19.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
48%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

StenhousemuirLigaInverness CT
Average goals in match 2.112.62 2.33
Both teams scored 39%50% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%49% 39%
Clean sheets 50%28% 50%
Goal before half-time 69%73% 72%
Goal after half-time 75%83% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Stenhousemuir 1 - 2 - 0 Inverness CT. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?

The League One match finished Stenhousemuir 1:0 Inverness CT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Stenhousemuir and Inverness CT?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Stenhousemuir won 1, Inverness CT won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?

Stenhousemuir score 1.36 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 1.67. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Stenhousemuir's matches and 47% of Inverness CT's.

What form are Stenhousemuir and Inverness CT in?

Over the last 5 games Stenhousemuir have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Inverness CT 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.