Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon: match statistics
Stevenage displays solid home form with a 53% home win rate and an impressive +9 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored an average of 1.18 goals per game in home fixtures, while maintaining a 47% clean sheet rate. AFC Wimbledon has a much weaker away disposition - only a 33% away win rate, a negative goal difference of -10, and an average of 1.94 goals conceded per match. Although the visitors are in good form recently (2 PPG in their last 5 matches), their defensive weaknesses in away games (only 11% clean sheets) and a high defeat rate (44%) speak in favor of the hosts. Considering Stevenage's advantage in home fixtures and AFC Wimbledon's away problems, the most likely result is a home win, although a draw also remains a viable option due to the even ball possession of both teams (45% each).
Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stevenage play AFC Wimbledon in EFL League One (England). The match date is 14 March 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Stevenage: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. AFC Wimbledon: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stevenage scores 1.02 and concedes 1.02 goals per match. AFC Wimbledon scores 1.11 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stevenage 44%, AFC Wimbledon 46%. Over 2.5: Stevenage 35%, AFC Wimbledon 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Stevenage: 10.0 shots per match, AFC Wimbledon: 10.5.
Match halves
Stevenage: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.58. AFC Wimbledon: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Stevenage: 16-30 (10 goals). AFC Wimbledon: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Stevenage displays solid home form with a 53% home win rate and an impressive +9 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored an average of 1.18 goals per game in home fixtures, while maintaining a 47% clean sheet rate. AFC Wimbledon has a much weaker away disposition - only a 33% away win rate, a negative goal difference of -10, and an average of 1.94 goals conceded per match. Although the visitors are in good form recently (2 PPG in their last 5 matches), their defensive weaknesses in away games (only 11% clean sheets) and a high defeat rate (44%) speak in favor of the hosts. Considering Stevenage's advantage in home fixtures and AFC Wimbledon's away problems, the most likely result is a home win, although a draw also remains a viable option due to the even ball possession of both teams (45% each).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stevenage | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stevenage is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Stevenage · 0.6 pts / match - AFC Wimbledon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AFC Wimbledon is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.02 goals / match - Stevenage · 1.11 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon
Stevenage is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.02 goals / match - Stevenage · 1.57 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon
Stevenage scores in 73% of matches (35 of 48 matches), while AFC Wimbledon keeps a clean sheet in 17% (8 of 46 matches).
AFC Wimbledon scores in 59% of matches (27 of 46 matches), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 40% (19 of 48 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Stevenage
Over / Under — AFC Wimbledon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stevenage is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Stevenage · 1.22 pts / match - AFC Wimbledon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stevenage - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AFC Wimbledon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stevenage
AFC Wimbledon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Stevenage | Liga | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.04 | 2.62 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 52% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 27% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 81% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Stevenage 0 - 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon?
The EFL League One match finished Stevenage 1:0 AFC Wimbledon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon?
Stevenage score 1.02 goals per game on average and AFC Wimbledon 1.11. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Stevenage's matches and 46% of AFC Wimbledon's.
What form are Stevenage and AFC Wimbledon in?
Over the last 5 games Stevenage have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and AFC Wimbledon 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.