Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon: match statistics
Stevenage displays solid home form with a 53% home win rate and an impressive +9 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored an average of 1.18 goals per game in home fixtures, while maintaining a 47% clean sheet rate. AFC Wimbledon has a much weaker away disposition - only a 33% away win rate, a negative goal difference of -10, and an average of 1.94 goals conceded per match. Although the visitors are in good form recently (2 PPG in their last 5 matches), their defensive weaknesses in away games (only 11% clean sheets) and a high defeat rate (44%) speak in favor of the hosts. Considering Stevenage's advantage in home fixtures and AFC Wimbledon's away problems, the most likely result is a home win, although a draw also remains a viable option due to the even ball possession of both teams (45% each).
Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Stevenage played against AFC Wimbledon in EFL League One (England). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Stevenage has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. AFC Wimbledon has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Stevenage scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 1.06. AFC Wimbledon scores 1.31 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 51% of Stevenage's games and 51% of AFC Wimbledon's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 51%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Stevenage has the higher season xG average, 1.20 to 1.19 per game. Stevenage takes 9.9 shots per game, while AFC Wimbledon takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Stevenage leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.66 goals per game after halftime. AFC Wimbledon leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.74 after halftime.
When the teams score
Stevenage's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). For AFC Wimbledon, it is minutes 61-75 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stevenage displays solid home form with a 53% home win rate and an impressive +9 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored an average of 1.18 goals per game in home fixtures, while maintaining a 47% clean sheet rate. AFC Wimbledon has a much weaker away disposition - only a 33% away win rate, a negative goal difference of -10, and an average of 1.94 goals conceded per match. Although the visitors are in good form recently (2 PPG in their last 5 matches), their defensive weaknesses in away games (only 11% clean sheets) and a high defeat rate (44%) speak in favor of the hosts. Considering Stevenage's advantage in home fixtures and AFC Wimbledon's away problems, the most likely result is a home win, although a draw also remains a viable option due to the even ball possession of both teams (45% each).
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Stevenage | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
AFC Wimbledon is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Stevenage · 2 pts / game - AFC Wimbledon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AFC Wimbledon is 18% better for: goals scored per game.
1.11 goals / game - Stevenage · 1.31 goals / game - AFC Wimbledon
Stevenage is 32% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.06 goals / game - Stevenage · 1.4 goals / game - AFC Wimbledon
Stevenage scores in 74% of games (26 of 35 meczów), while AFC Wimbledon keeps a clean sheet in 20% (7 of 35 meczów).
AFC Wimbledon scores in 66% of games (23 of 35 meczów), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 34% (12 of 35 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stevenage
Over / Under - AFC Wimbledon
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AFC Wimbledon is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / game - Stevenage · 1.31 pts / game - AFC Wimbledon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stevenage - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
AFC Wimbledon - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Stevenage
AFC Wimbledon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Stevenage | Liga | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.17 | 2.62 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | • 51% | 52% | • 51% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 51% | • 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 26% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 51% | 70% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Stevenage's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against AFC Wimbledon. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon?
The EFL League One match finished Stevenage 1:0 AFC Wimbledon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon?
Stevenage score 1.11 goals per game on average and AFC Wimbledon 1.31. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 51% of Stevenage's matches and 51% of AFC Wimbledon's.
What form are Stevenage and AFC Wimbledon in?
Over the last 5 games Stevenage have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and AFC Wimbledon 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.