Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely result. Stirling Albion has weak effectiveness in home matches with only 15% wins and a goal difference of -9, though they recently improved form by winning 2 of their last 5 matches. Dumbarton presents even weaker form away with 54% losses, zero percent clean sheets, and a dismal streak of 0 wins in the last 5 matches. Both teams have an identical goal difference on their pitches (-9), similar xG indicators, and high percentages of failing to score (31%). Considering the weak form of both teams, the high probability of a draw (38% for the hosts, 23% for the visitors in their matches), and the fact that both teams occupy bottom positions in the table, I expect a tight, ineffective encounter ending in a sharing of points.
Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Stirling Albion played against Dumbarton in League Two (Scotland). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Stirling Albion has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Dumbarton has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Stirling Albion scores 1.28 goals per game and allows 1.64. Dumbarton scores 1.32 and allows 1.80. Games in this league average 2.98 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Stirling Albion's games and 76% of Dumbarton's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 60%, compared with league averages of 65% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Stirling Albion has the higher season xG average, 1.15 to 0.99 per game. Stirling Albion takes 8.6 shots per game, while Dumbarton takes 6.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Stirling Albion leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Dumbarton leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.72 after halftime.
When the teams score
Stirling Albion's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Dumbarton, it is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.98 goals. Both teams score in 65% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely result. Stirling Albion has weak effectiveness in home matches with only 15% wins and a goal difference of -9, though they recently improved form by winning 2 of their last 5 matches. Dumbarton presents even weaker form away with 54% losses, zero percent clean sheets, and a dismal streak of 0 wins in the last 5 matches. Both teams have an identical goal difference on their pitches (-9), similar xG indicators, and high percentages of failing to score (31%). Considering the weak form of both teams, the high probability of a draw (38% for the hosts, 23% for the visitors in their matches), and the fact that both teams occupy bottom positions in the table, I expect a tight, ineffective encounter ending in a sharing of points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Stirling Albion | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Stirling Albion is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Stirling Albion · 0.4 pts / game - Dumbarton
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stirling Albion is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.64 goals / game - Stirling Albion · 1.8 goals / game - Dumbarton
Stirling Albion scores in 72% of games (18 of 25 meczów), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 25 meczów).
Dumbarton scores in 80% of games (20 of 25 meczów), while Stirling Albion keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stirling Albion
Over / Under - Dumbarton
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stirling Albion - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Dumbarton - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Stirling Albion
Dumbarton
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Stirling Albion | Liga | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.92 | 2.98 | ▲ 3.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 21% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 79% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Stirling Albion's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Dumbarton. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton?
The League Two match finished Stirling Albion 1:1 Dumbarton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stirling Albion and Dumbarton?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Stirling Albion won 1, Dumbarton won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton?
Stirling Albion score 1.28 goals per game on average and Dumbarton 1.32. The League Two average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Stirling Albion's matches and 76% of Dumbarton's.
What form are Stirling Albion and Dumbarton in?
Over the last 5 games Stirling Albion have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Dumbarton 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.