Stjarnan vs ÍBV: match statistics

Stjarnan head into this match in significantly better form, having won 4 of their last 5 games and scored 11 goals in that run, while ÍBV have failed to win any of their five matches and have scored just 4 goals. At home, the hosts create considerably more chances, averaging 17.7 shots and 7 on target per game, compared with 11.9 shots and 3.1 on target for the visitors away from home. Stjarnan’s advantage is also reflected in the quality of chances: the hosts’ average xG stands at 2.11, while ÍBV generate just 1.32 xG away from home. Both defenses concede an average of 2.2 goals in these respective conditions, but ÍBV have failed to keep a clean sheet in any away match and have lost 60% of those games. Stjarnan are not particularly solid defensively either, but with an average of 2.1 goals scored at home and ÍBV failing to score in 30% of their away matches, the hosts should make home advantage count.

BTTS has occurred in 73% of Stjarnan’s matches and 70% of ÍBV’s games throughout the season, closely matching the league average of 71%. The hosts score an average of 1.55 goals, while ÍBV average 1.30, with both defenses conceding heavily: 1.91 and 2.20 goals per match respectively. A particularly strong argument for a Stjarnan goal is the visitors’ weak defense, which allows an average xG against of 1.81, while the hosts have created as much as 2.26 xG and scored 11 goals in their last five matches. The main risk to BTTS is ÍBV’s current attacking form, as the team has scored only 4 goals in its last five games. However, Stjarnan conceded 1.4 goals per match during this period and kept a clean sheet in just 9% of their matches this season. Overall, the data still more clearly supports the scenario in which both teams score at least one goal.

Stjarnan score an average of 1.55 goals per game this season, while ÍBV concede as many as 2.20 goals per match and have yet to keep a clean sheet. The hosts are also in excellent attacking form: they have scored 11 goals in their last five matches, averaging 2.2 per game, with an average xG of 2.26. Over the same period, ÍBV conceded 9 goals in five appearances, while their average xG conceded stands at 1.55, which supports Stjarnan scoring at least twice. Over 1.5 goals has landed in 82% of the hosts' matches and 80% of the visitors' games, while the league-wide average is a very high 3.89 goals. The strongest option is Over 1.5 goals, as the data from both teams clearly reduces the risk of a tight, low-scoring match.

Stjarnan are in significantly better form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding 1.4, while ÍBV have failed to win any of their games, scoring just 0.8 goals and allowing opponents 1.8. The hosts also have a clear advantage before the break, averaging 1.4 first-half goals scored and 0.6 conceded during this run, whereas ÍBV have scored only 0.2 goals in the first half and were trailing at half-time in 80% of their matches. Across the season, Stjarnan create chances worth an average of 1.47 xG and record 4.55 shots on target per match, while ÍBV’s defense allows opponents 1.81 xG and concedes an average of 2.2 goals. The scenario of the hosts leading at the break and securing a full-time victory is further supported by their quality advantage after half-time: Stjarnan score an average of 1.0 goals in the second half, while ÍBV concede 1.3. The most likely outcome is therefore 1/1, although the relatively high number of goals conceded by the hosts leaves a significant chance of a draw at half-time followed by a Stjarnan victory at full-time.