Stjarnan vs KA: match statistics
Stjarnan vs KA: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Stjarnan played against KA in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The game was played on June 28, 2026. Venue: Samsung völlurinn. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Stjarnan has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. KA has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Stjarnan scores 1.92 goals per game and allows 2.33. KA scores 1.45 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 4.06 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 92% of Stjarnan's games and 64% of KA's. The Over 2.5 rates are 83% and 55%, compared with league averages of 72% for BTTS and 72% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Stjarnan has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.65 per game. Stjarnan takes 14.8 shots per game, while KA takes 14.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Stjarnan leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. KA leads at halftime in 9% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Stjarnan's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). For KA, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Úrvalsdeild games average 4.06 goals. Both teams score in 72% of games, and 72% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistically both teams present similar offensive capabilities: Stjarnan scored 23 goals this season (10 in the last 5 matches) and KA 16 goals (9 in the last 5), with an average xG of 1.85 for the home side versus 1.79 for KA on the road. The hosts dominate possession (57% vs 46%) and average 6 shots on target per home match with 15 total shots, compared to 4.8 on target and 14.8 total for KA, indicating superior chance creation by Stjarnan. However, the home defense is vulnerable — Stjarnan concedes an average of 2.71 goals per home match (28 conceded this season, 13 in the last 5), and the hosts have 0% clean sheets at home versus 20% for KA away. Additionally, Stjarnan win only 14% of home matches, while KA win 40% of their away games, and over the last 5 fixtures they average 0.8 points (Stjarnan) versus 0.6 points (KA), giving the visitors an edge in converting chances into results. Considering Stjarnan’s poor goal protection, KA’s better away metrics and the fact both teams frequently score and concede (average goals when home 4.57 and away 3.6), I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess BTTS as highly likely and assign 85% to 'yes' vs 15% to 'no', because in the Úrvalsdeild BTTS occurs in 72% of matches, KA has 80% season-long BTTS, and Stjarnan has 100% BTTS in the last 5 fixtures. Both teams score and concede heavily: this season Stjarnan averages 1.33 goals (23 for, 28 against), KA 1.6 (16 for, 22 against); in the last 5 matches Stjarnan scores 2.0 and concedes 2.6 (10 for, 13 against), KA scores 1.8 and concedes 2.8 (9 for, 14 against). xG and chance analysis confirm this: last 5 xG are 1.82 (Stjarnan) and 1.84 (KA), with xG against 1.63 and 2.01; average shots 14.5 vs 14.8 and shots on target 4.33 vs 4.8 with conversion rates 9% and 11% show both sides create real chances. Additionally, clean sheet rates are low (17% home, 20% away), the league has a high average of 4.06 goals per game and over 2.5 occurs in 50–60% of home/away matches, which supports a both-sides-to-score scenario. Given the consistent and strong signals (72% league, 80% KA season, 100% Stjarnan in L5 and high goals conceded 2.0–2.8), the most confident pick is BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams generate plenty of chances: Stjarnan’s xG is 1.54 while xG against them vs KA is 2.07, yielding an expected goals for the home side of ~1.81; conversely KA’s xG is 1.79 and xG against vs Stjarnan is 1.66, giving an expected 1.72 for the away side (total 3.53). Seasonally both teams have a high share of matches over 1.5 goals: 83% for Stjarnan and 80% for KA, and the league average is as high as 4.06 goals per game, which favors overs. A Poisson model with 3.53 goals per match gives roughly an 87% chance of Over 1.5, about 69% for Over 2.5 and around 47% for Over 3.5. Additionally, in the last 5 matches Stjarnan has 1.82 xG, KA 1.84 xG, and in those five fixtures Stjarnan had 100% of games over 2.5 while KA had 80%, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals. Based on this, the strongest and most reliable signal is a bet on Over 1.5 (highest probability and strong statistical support).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a KA win after the match (X/2); KA has a 40% win rate this season versus Stjarnan’s 17% and averages 1.4 points per match compared to the home side’s 0.5. At half-time the visitors average 0.0 goals while Stjarnan averages 0.83 first-half goals and 12 HT goals versus 5 for KA; the percentage of half-time draws is 33% (Stjarnan) and 40% (KA), so a draw HT is realistic. In the second half KA dominates — 80% of second-half wins and an average of 2.4 points in the second half, and the visitors scored 7 goals in minutes 61–90 (3 in 61–75 and 4 in 76–90) versus 2 goals for the home side in that period, suggesting a turnaround after the break. Additionally, xG of 1.79 for KA versus 1.54 for Stjarnan and a higher shot conversion rate (11% vs 9%) argue that KA has greater scoring potential after the break, hence X/2 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Stjarnan | KA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Stjarnan is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Stjarnan · 0.6 pts / game - KA
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stjarnan is 32% better for: goals scored per game.
1.92 goals / game - Stjarnan · 1.45 goals / game - KA
KA is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.33 goals / game - Stjarnan · 2 goals / game - KA
Stjarnan scores in 92% of games (11 of 12 meczów), while KA keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 meczów).
KA scores in 82% of games (9 of 11 meczów), while Stjarnan keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 12 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stjarnan
Over / Under - KA
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stjarnan is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / game - Stjarnan · 0.64 pts / game - KA
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stjarnan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
KA - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Stjarnan
KA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Stjarnan | Liga | KA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.25 | 4.06 | ▼ 3.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 92% | 72% | ▼ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 72% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 14% | ▲ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 84% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 88% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Stjarnan's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against KA. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Stjarnan vs KA?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Stjarnan 3:1 KA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stjarnan and KA?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Stjarnan won 2, KA won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stjarnan vs KA?
Stjarnan score 1.92 goals per game on average and KA 1.45. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 92% of Stjarnan's matches and 64% of KA's.
What form are Stjarnan and KA in?
Over the last 5 games Stjarnan have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and KA 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stjarnan vs KA?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stjarnan vs KA: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.