Iceland - ÚrvalsdeildData current as of 05 August 2026

Stjarnan vs Keflavík: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Stjarnan vs Keflavík: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Stjarnan play Keflavík in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match date is 9 August 2026.

Current form

Stjarnan: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Keflavík: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Stjarnan scores 1.88 and concedes 2.53 goals per match. Keflavík scores 1.56 and concedes 2.06. League average: 3.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Stjarnan 88%, Keflavík 88%. Over 2.5: Stjarnan 88%, Keflavík 69%. League level: BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 71%.

xG, shots and style

Stjarnan has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.70. Stjarnan: 15.7 shots per match, Keflavík: 15.5.

Match halves

Stjarnan: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.88. Keflavík: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Stjarnan: 0-15 (6 goals). Keflavík: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Úrvalsdeild: 3.94 goals per match, BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 71%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.99)
(4.20)
(3.01)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.88Goals scored / match1.56
StjarnanKeflavík
2.53Goals conceded / match2.06
StjarnanKeflavík
56%Average possession45%
StjarnanKeflavík
6.18Shots on target / match4.75
StjarnanKeflavík

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.71Shots per match15.5
StjarnanKeflavík
6.18Shots on target4.75
StjarnanKeflavík
12%Shot conversion10.1%
StjarnanKeflavík
56%Possession45%
StjarnanKeflavík
1.86xG for1.7
StjarnanKeflavík
1.92xG against1.63
StjarnanKeflavík

Shooting quality

Stjarnan: DominantKeflavík: Attacking
StjarnanKeflavík
Accuracy (shots on target)39%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Stjarnan
WDLLW
Season result split
29% W18% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-9
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-5
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 2.09Opponent xG: 2.04BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Keflavík
WDLWL
Season result split
31% W25% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-7
1.19 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-5
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.98Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Stjarnan is 21% better for: goals scored per match.

1.88 goals / match - Stjarnan · 1.56 goals / match - Keflavík

Keflavík is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.53 goals / match - Stjarnan · 2.06 goals / match - Keflavík

Stjarnan scoring profile: very strong

Stjarnan scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Keflavík keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).

Keflavík scoring profile: very strong

Keflavík scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Stjarnan keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 17 matches).

32Goals scored (season)25
StjarnanKeflavík
43Goals conceded (season)33
StjarnanKeflavík
4.41Average goals in match3.63
StjarnanKeflavík
9Goals scored (last 5)11
StjarnanKeflavík
15Goals conceded (last 5)12
StjarnanKeflavík

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal94%
StjarnanKeflavík
59%2 goals31%
StjarnanKeflavík
35%3 goals19%
StjarnanKeflavík
6%4 goals6%
StjarnanKeflavík

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal88%
StjarnanKeflavík
76%2 goals56%
StjarnanKeflavík
41%3 goals31%
StjarnanKeflavík
24%4 goals13%
StjarnanKeflavík

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

72%
League average

Goal patterns

47%BTTS at half-time19%
StjarnanKeflavík
29%BTTS in both halves6%
StjarnanKeflavík
35%Scored in both halves25%
StjarnanKeflavík

BTTS and goal count

82%Min. 3 goals and BTTS69%
StjarnanKeflavík
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
StjarnanKeflavík
80%BTTS - last 5100%
StjarnanKeflavík

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

94%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
StjarnanKeflavík
76%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
StjarnanKeflavík
35%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
StjarnanKeflavík

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
StjarnanKeflavík
76%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
StjarnanKeflavík
47%Min. 3 goals after half-time44%
StjarnanKeflavík

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Keflavík is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.06 pts / match - Stjarnan · 1.25 pts / match - Keflavík

Stjarnan - half-time state
24% leading35% draw41% trailing
Keflavík - half-time state
31% leading31% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.06Points per match (1st half)1.25
StjarnanKeflavík
1Goals scored (1st half)0.56
StjarnanKeflavík
1.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
StjarnanKeflavík
2.29Average goals (1st half)1.31
StjarnanKeflavík
24%Clean sheet before half-time44%
StjarnanKeflavík
35%No goal before half-time50%
StjarnanKeflavík

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)1.38
StjarnanKeflavík
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)1
StjarnanKeflavík
1.24Goals conceded (2nd half)1.31
StjarnanKeflavík
2.12Average goals (2nd half)2.31
StjarnanKeflavík
24%Clean sheet after half-time31%
StjarnanKeflavík
41%No goal after half-time31%
StjarnanKeflavík

Stjarnan - second-half results

29% W29% R41% P
18
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Keflavík - second-half results

38% W25% R38% P
20
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Stjarnan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match1.61.4
Average goals in match2.62.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%80%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Keflavík - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.8
Average goals in match1.43.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Stjarnan
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
6
9
16-30
5
6
31-45
5
10
46-60
4
5
61-75
6
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Keflavík
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
1
4
16-30
6
3
31-45
6
8
46-60
5
2
61-75
5
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.01
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
88%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-50%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Stjarnan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.61
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
144%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Keflavík

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).

Teams vs league

StjarnanLigaKeflavík
Average goals in match 4.413.94 3.63
Both teams scored 88%72% 88%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 88%71% 69%
Clean sheets 0%16% 13%
Goal before half-time 94%81% 88%
Goal after half-time 88%86% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.94
Average goals per match
72%
Both teams scored
71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
16%
Clean sheets
2.18
Home goals / match
1.76
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
13%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
63%
2 goals
42%
3 goals
20%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Stjarnan 0 - 1 - 0 Keflavík. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Stjarnan and Keflavík play?

Stjarnan face Keflavík on 9 August 2026 in Úrvalsdeild. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Stjarnan vs Keflavík?

Stjarnan score 1.88 goals per game on average and Keflavík 1.56. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 88% of Stjarnan's matches and 88% of Keflavík's.

What form are Stjarnan and Keflavík in?

Over the last 5 games Stjarnan have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Keflavík 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stjarnan vs Keflavík?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.