Stjarnan vs Valur: match statistics
Stjarnan vs Valur: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stjarnan play Valur in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match date is 27 April 2026 at 21:15. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Stjarnan: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Valur: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stjarnan scores 1.87 and concedes 2.40 goals per match. Valur scores 1.63 and concedes 2.00. League average: 4.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stjarnan 87%, Valur 69%. Over 2.5: Stjarnan 87%, Valur 69%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.
xG, shots and style
Stjarnan has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.67. Stjarnan: 15.0 shots per match, Valur: 14.0.
Match halves
Stjarnan: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.80. Valur: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Stjarnan: 0-15 (6 goals). Valur: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 4.04 goals per match, BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 4.33, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Stjarnan are the favorites and I predict a home win. At home they score on average 3.0 goals per game, register 21 shots with 6 on target and have an average xG of 2.52, with a conversion rate of 14% and 0% of matches without a goal — this demonstrates significant attacking strength. Valur have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches (1.8 per game) but conceded 12 (2.4 per game) and have 1.2 points per game in that run, while Stjarnan have 2.0 points per game in their last 5 and a 100% home win rate this season. Defensively Stjarnan concede on average 2.0 goals at home with an xG against of 1.55, which suggests opponents are finishing their chances, but the hosts’ attacking xG (2.52) exceeds Valur’s recent goals conceded average (2.4), so Stjarnan dictate the tempo. Considering superior chance creation (21 shots and xG 2.52), higher efficiency and the points advantage (2.0 vs 1.2), I give Stjarnan the better odds, though I expect a moderately open game.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stjarnan | Valur | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stjarnan is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Stjarnan · 0.8 pts / match - Valur
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stjarnan is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.87 goals / match - Stjarnan · 1.63 goals / match - Valur
Valur is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.4 goals / match - Stjarnan · 2 goals / match - Valur
Stjarnan scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Valur keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
Valur scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Stjarnan keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Stjarnan
Over / Under — Valur
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Valur is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Stjarnan · 1.31 pts / match - Valur
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stjarnan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Valur - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stjarnan
Valur
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Stjarnan | Liga | Valur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.27 | 4.04 | ▼ 3.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 87% | 74% | ▼ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 87% | 73% | ▼ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 14% | • 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 93% | 82% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | • 87% | 88% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Stjarnan 2 - 0 - 1 Valur. Average goals 4.33, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stjarnan vs Valur?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Stjarnan 2:4 Valur. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stjarnan and Valur?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Stjarnan won 2, Valur won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stjarnan vs Valur?
Stjarnan score 1.87 goals per game on average and Valur 1.63. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 87% of Stjarnan's matches and 69% of Valur's.
What form are Stjarnan and Valur in?
Over the last 5 games Stjarnan have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Valur 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stjarnan vs Valur?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.