Stockport County vs Blackpool: match statistics

Blackpool have shown significantly more consistent form across their last five matches: they have won 4, drawn once and suffered no defeats, while Stockport’s record stands at 3 wins, a draw and a loss. The visitors have conceded just 2 goals during this period—three times fewer than the 6 goals conceded by the hosts—which highlights their greater defensive solidity. Stockport have scored slightly more goals over their last five matches, 8 compared to 7, but Blackpool combine almost comparable attacking efficiency with much better defensive protection. The hosts won the only previous league meeting 3:1, while Blackpool drew 1:1; however, the recent form trend more strongly favors the away side. The visitors’ advantage is not substantial due to Stockport’s home advantage, but their unbeaten run and tighter defense make them slight favorites.

The BTTS pick is primarily based on the current attacking form of both teams: Stockport averaged 1.6 goals over their last 5 matches, while Blackpool averaged 1.4. During this period, the hosts conceded 1.2 goals per game, whereas Blackpool, despite conceding just 0.4 goals, allowed opponents to generate 1.48 xG. Blackpool produced an average of 1.48 xG, which, combined with the 1.34 xG conceded by Stockport, points to a realistic chance of an away goal. BTTS occurred in 60% of Stockport’s last five matches and in 40% of Blackpool’s fixtures, while the league average for this market is a high 75%. A Goal/Goal scenario is therefore slightly more likely, although Blackpool’s strong defensive run limits the advantage of the BTTS - Yes pick.

In their last five matches, Stockport averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Blackpool scored 1.4 goals and conceded just 0.4. However, both sides’ attacking potential is moderate: their average xG over the last five matches stands at 1.28 for the hosts and 1.48 for the visitors, pointing to a result closer to 2–3 goals than an open, high-scoring game. Over 2.5 goals landed in only 40% of Stockport’s last five matches and 20% of Blackpool’s, despite the league-wide average being 3.17 goals. Blackpool are also enjoying a strong defensive run, having conceded just 2 goals in their last five outings. Therefore, Under 3.5 goals has the strongest statistical backing: the projected total of 2.55 goals leaves a clear margin below the four-goal line.

Stockport have averaged 1.6 goals over their last five matches, scoring 1.0 goal in the first half while conceding just 0.2. The hosts led at the break in 2 of those 5 games and have not trailed at half-time in any of them, whereas Blackpool have averaged only 0.4 goals before the break. Stockport’s superiority in chance creation is also evident in their home data, with an average xG of 2.26, alongside 21 shots and 7 shots on target. Blackpool are nevertheless in excellent form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches and averaging 1.0 goal after half-time, meaning turnaround scenarios remain relevant. However, the strongest individual outcome is still Stockport leading at the break and securing the win, driven by the hosts’ significantly superior attacking output at home.