Stockport County vs Leicester City: match statistics

Stockport County have a clearly better record over their last five matches: they have won 3 games, scored 16 goals and averaged 1.8 points, while Leicester City have scored just 4 goals and collected 0.8 points per game. At home, the hosts create a high volume of chances, averaging 22.5 shots and 8 shots on target, with an xG of 2.61 compared with Leicester’s 1.12 xG conceded away from home. Stockport score an average of 3 goals per home game and have failed to score in none of them, whereas Leicester score just 0.5 goals away from home and draw a blank in 50% of such matches. However, the visitors are capable of limiting damage on the road to 0.5 goals per game and have recorded two draws, increasing the likelihood of a closely contested match. Despite this defensive stability, Stockport’s advantage in current attacking form and the quality of chances created points towards a home win.

Seasonal BTTS figures are below the league average of 66%: 33% for Stockport and 50% for Leicester. Leicester scores just 0.5 goals per match on average, failed to score in 50% of its games, and simultaneously kept a clean sheet in 50%, strongly supporting the outcome that at least one team will fail to score. Stockport is in significantly better offensive form, averaging 3.2 goals and an xG of 2.12 across its last five matches, while Leicester has scored only 0.8 goals during the same period. The visitors do create chances worth 1.90 xG and record 4.5 shots on target per match, but their conversion rate is just 3%, making a Leicester goal far from certain. The last five matches provide moderate signals for both teams to score, with BTTS landing in 60% of Stockport’s games and 40% of Leicester’s, but the visitors’ weak seasonal scoring output shifts the prediction towards BTTS - No.

Stockport have averaged 3.2 goals scored across their last five matches, while Leicester have conceded 1.8 goals per game over the same period, clearly supporting goals for the hosts. The quality of chances created is also high: Stockport’s average xG over their last five outings stands at 2.12, while Leicester allowed their opponents 1.40 xG. Leicester scored just 0.8 goals per game in this run, but generated as much as 1.90 xG, and Stockport conceded an average of 1.6 goals, making a goal for the visitors a realistic scenario. Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of Stockport’s last five matches and in 60% of Leicester’s games, with the league average at 3.17 goals. However, the strongest selection remains Over 1.5 goals, as the combination of the hosts’ high attacking potential and both sides’ recent defensive weaknesses gives a very high probability of at least two goals.

The strongest scenario is for Stockport County to lead at the break and maintain their advantage to win, as the hosts were ahead after 45 minutes in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Leicester managed this only once. Stockport have recently averaged 3.2 goals per match, whereas Leicester have conceded 1.8, which clearly strengthens the outlook for a home victory. In the first halves of their last five matches, Stockport averaged 1.6 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded, while Leicester scored only 0.6 goals. The hosts also look stronger after the break: they average 1.6 goals, compared with just 0.2 for the visitors, and Leicester have failed to win any of those second halves. Although the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches this season, their current form includes 3 defeats in 5 matches; therefore, the 1/1 HT/FT pick receives the highest rating.