Stoke City vs Millwall: match statistics
Stoke City vs Millwall: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stoke City play Millwall in Championship (England). The match date is 21 April 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Stoke City: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Millwall: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stoke City scores 1.11 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Millwall scores 1.33 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stoke City 43%, Millwall 48%. Over 2.5: Stoke City 43%, Millwall 46%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Millwall has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.28. Stoke City: 11.2 shots per match, Millwall: 12.9.
Match halves
Stoke City: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.61. Millwall: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Stoke City: 46-60 (13 goals). Millwall: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Millwall are the favorites in this matchup: they sit 3rd in the table versus Stoke’s 17th, with 22 wins this season compared to Stoke’s 15 home wins, and a superior goal record of 58–49. The form gap is clear — Millwall average 1.6 points over the last 5 matches (2-2-1, 6 scored, 4 conceded), while Stoke average 0.8 points (1-1-3, 4 scored, 8 conceded). Factors in Stoke’s favor are their home metrics: 53% possession, 4.86 shots on target and 1.52 goals per game with xG 1.47, versus Millwall’s away numbers of 44% possession, 3.71 shots on target and 1.29 goals per game (xG 1.29). Defensively both teams concede on average 1.05 goals per game, but Millwall’s away xG against is higher (1.59) while they still limit actual goals conceded to 1.05, indicating efficiency in final outcomes. Considering the league position advantage, superior season-long record and double the PPG in the last 5 matches (1.6 vs 0.8), I tip an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stoke City | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Millwall is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Stoke City · 1.6 pts / match - Millwall
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Millwall is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Stoke City · 1.33 goals / match - Millwall
Millwall is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Stoke City · 1.06 goals / match - Millwall
Stoke City scores in 63% of matches (29 of 46 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 40% (19 of 48 matches).
Millwall scores in 79% of matches (38 of 48 matches), while Stoke City keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Stoke City
Over / Under — Millwall
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Millwall is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Stoke City · 1.46 pts / match - Millwall
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stoke City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stoke City
Millwall
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Stoke City | Liga | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 57% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 50% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 25% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Stoke City 0 - 0 - 1 Millwall. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stoke City vs Millwall?
The Championship match finished Stoke City 1:3 Millwall. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stoke City vs Millwall?
Stoke City score 1.11 goals per game on average and Millwall 1.33. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Stoke City's matches and 48% of Millwall's.
What form are Stoke City and Millwall in?
Over the last 5 games Stoke City have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Millwall 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stoke City vs Millwall?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.