Stranraer vs Dumbarton: match statistics
Stranraer vs Dumbarton: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stranraer play Dumbarton in League Two (Scotland). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Stranraer: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Dumbarton: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stranraer scores 1.22 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Dumbarton scores 1.31 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stranraer 67%, Dumbarton 69%. Over 2.5: Stranraer 47%, Dumbarton 56%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Stranraer has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.03. Stranraer: 9.6 shots per match, Dumbarton: 7.2.
Match halves
Stranraer: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.53. Dumbarton: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Stranraer: 31-45+ (12 goals). Dumbarton: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I back the away win (2) due to their markedly better recent form. Dumbarton have 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals and averaging 2.2 points per game over that span, whereas Stranraer have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses with 5 goals and an average of 0.8 points per game. Hosts, however, generate more chances at home — on average 9.67 shots, 4.27 on target and xG 1.29 per match — while Dumbarton away record is 7.33 shots, 3.47 on target and xG 1.05, but they are more efficient (conversion 18% vs 12% for Stranraer). Defensively Stranraer perform better at their stadium (1.33 conceded goals per game and xG against 1.25) than Dumbarton away (1.93 conceded and xG against 1.35), although the hosts have only 7% clean sheets and the visitors 0% on the road. Considering the away side’s advantage in form and efficiency alongside Stranraer’s limited edge in chance creation, I assign a 45% probability to Dumbarton winning, 30% to Stranraer and 25% to a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stranraer | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stranraer is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Stranraer · 0.8 pts / match - Dumbarton
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dumbarton is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Stranraer · 1.31 goals / match - Dumbarton
Stranraer is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Stranraer · 1.67 goals / match - Dumbarton
Stranraer scores in 75% of matches (27 of 36 matches), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 11% (4 of 36 matches).
Dumbarton scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Stranraer keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Stranraer
Over / Under — Dumbarton
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stranraer is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Stranraer · 1.03 pts / match - Dumbarton
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stranraer - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dumbarton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stranraer
Dumbarton
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Stranraer | Liga | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.92 | • 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 56% | • 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 22% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Stranraer 1 - 1 - 1 Dumbarton. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stranraer vs Dumbarton?
The League Two match finished Stranraer 1:1 Dumbarton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stranraer and Dumbarton?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Stranraer won 1, Dumbarton won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stranraer vs Dumbarton?
Stranraer score 1.22 goals per game on average and Dumbarton 1.31. The League Two average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Stranraer's matches and 69% of Dumbarton's.
What form are Stranraer and Dumbarton in?
Over the last 5 games Stranraer have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Dumbarton 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stranraer vs Dumbarton?
The statistical background for Stranraer vs Dumbarton — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.